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Squawka / News / Leeds vs Sunderland: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Leeds vs Sunderland: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Leeds and Sunderland meet at Elland Road in a clash between two sides with plenty to prove as they aim to climb the Premier League table.

With just six points separating the teams and recent meetings often ending all-square, this fixture promises tension and tactical intrigue. Kick-off is at 19:30 on Tuesday 3 March, with both managers under pressure to turn solid performances into points.

Best Bets & Predictions

Based on season-long attacking patterns and defensive records, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in the Both Teams To Score market due to both sides’ issues with defensive consistency and ability to create chances.

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Both Teams to Score – Yes10/11 @ Bet365
(52.4%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐We are backing both teams to score because Leeds average 1.32 goals per game but have conceded 47 in 28 matches, while Sunderland have kept just 8 clean sheets and tend to find the net (29 goals) despite not being prolific. Four of the last six meetings also saw both teams score.
Leeds to Win20/21 @ Unibet
(51.2%)
⭐⭐⭐There’s value backing Leeds to win given their stronger attacking stats: 37 goals vs Sunderland’s 29, and the highest xG in this match-up (41.4 vs 29.6). Sunderland have just one win in their last seven meetings with Leeds, and Elland Road could be decisive.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.


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Leeds vs Sunderland match odds

How both teams head into Leeds vs Sunderland

Leeds United’s return to the Premier League for the 2025/26 campaign has been a season of resilience and consolidation under Daniel Farke. The Whites occupy 15th position, having secured 31 points from 28 fixtures. Their record of seven wins, ten draws, and eleven losses reflects a side that has proven difficult to beat, particularly at a formidable Elland Road.

Summer signing Dominic Calvert-Lewin has been a pivotal addition, leading the scoring charts with ten league goals. Support has come from Lukas Nmecha and Brenden Aaronson, while the midfield has been anchored by the impressive Anton Stach. Despite a recent narrow 1-0 defeat to Manchester City, Leeds remain six points clear of the relegation zone. Leeds are well-positioned to secure their top-flight status and build for the future.

Sunderland’s return to the Premier League for the 2025/26 campaign has been a resounding success under the guidance of Régis Le Bris. The Black Cats occupy a respectable 12th position, having accumulated 37 points from 28 matches. Their balanced record of nine wins, ten draws, and nine losses demonstrates a remarkable resilience for a newly promoted side, particularly at the Stadium of Light where they have secured seven victories.

The attack has been spearheaded by Brian Brobbey, who leads the club’s scoring with five goals, supported by the creative efforts of Enzo Le Fée and Wilson Isidor. Defensively, Daniel Ballard has been a standout performer, contributing to a solid structure that has conceded only 34 goals. Currently, Sunderland sit comfortably clear of the relegation zone, well-positioned to secure their top-flight status and potentially challenge for a very strong top-half finish in their first season back.

Leeds team news

Leeds United host Sunderland at Elland Road on Tuesday with manager Daniel Farke facing a touchline ban following his red card against Manchester City. The Whites have significant injury concerns over key defender Joe Rodon, who is a major doubt after sustaining a hamstring injury on Saturday. Winger Noah Okafor also remains sidelined with a similar issue. However, Farke is boosted by the availability of the rest of his squad, including top scorer Dominic Calvert-Lewin and midfielder Anton Stach. Leeds will look to capitalise on their strong home form to pull further away from the relegation zone this week now.

Sunderland team news

Sunderland face Leeds United with a mixed bag of team news. Midfielder Granit Xhaka and forward Bertrand Traore have both recently returned from injury, providing a boost to the squad. However, the Black Cats are still grappling with a significant injury list. Romaine Mundle (hamstring), Jocelin Ta Bi (ankle), Brian Brobbey (groin), Nordi Mukiele (calf), Dennis Cirkin (thigh), and Reinildo Mandava (knee) are all expected to be unavailable for the Premier League fixture. This leaves manager Regis Le Bris with limited defensive options, likely seeing Trai Hume continue at left-back.

Season Form & Standings

Both teams have found consistency hard to maintain. Sunderland sit 12th with 37 points from 28 games, while Leeds are 15th on 31 points. Leeds have struggled defensively with a -10 goal difference, whereas Sunderland have conceded fewer but also scored less.

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Sunderland122891092934-537
Leeds1528710113747-1031

Head-to-Head: Last 6 Meetings

Leeds hold the edge in recent matchups, unbeaten in the last four against Sunderland and with three of those ending in a draw. The last meeting finished 1-1, continuing a trend of tight contests.

DateScoreCompetition
28/12/25Sunderland 1-1 LeedsPremier League
17/02/25Leeds 2-1 SunderlandChampionship
04/10/24Sunderland 2-2 LeedsChampionship
09/04/24Leeds 0-0 SunderlandChampionship
12/12/23Sunderland 1-0 LeedsChampionship
07/04/18Leeds 1-1 SunderlandChampionship

Conclusion

With both teams eager to make up ground in the table and their recent head-to-head record suggesting another close encounter, will Leeds’ attacking edge finally translate into three points, or can Sunderland’s improved defence hold out? For those looking for value, the 10/11 (52.4%) on Both Teams To Score at Bet365 stands out — especially given both sides’ recent scoring and conceding patterns.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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