Sunderland host Liverpool at the Stadium of Light in a clash that pits one of the league’s most resilient defences against a Liverpool side boasting some of the highest attacking numbers in the Premier League.
Both teams are still in the hunt for European places, and with just three points separating them in the table, there’s plenty at stake. Kick-off is at 20:15 on Wednesday 11 February, and both sides will be desperate to take advantage of their rivals’ slip-ups in the race for the top six.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on Liverpool’s attacking firepower and Sunderland’s defensive solidity, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in Liverpool to win, given their huge advantage in possession and chance creation, but Sunderland’s record for low-scoring games makes the total goals market intriguing as well.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool to Win | 8/11 @ Spreadex (57.9%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | We’re backing Liverpool to win because they lead the league for attacking stats: 387 shots and 40 goals so far, with Hugo Ekitike in clinical form. Sunderland struggle to control possession (44%) and concede more chances than they create, which could be exposed by Liverpool’s pressing and ball retention. |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 4/5 @ Spreadex (55.6%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | There could be value here due to Liverpool’s attacking volume (averaging over 15 shots per game) and both teams’ tendency to get involved in open games. Sunderland’s attack is less prolific but they have scored in 9 of their last 12, while Liverpool have kept just 7 clean sheets. Both may contribute to a higher total. |
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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Sunderland vs Liverpool match odds
How both teams head into Sunderland vs Liverpool
It has been a hugely impressive return to the Premier League for Sunderland, who find themselves sitting comfortably in ninth place with 36 points after 25 games. The Black Cats have been a formidable force at the Stadium of Light, remaining unbeaten at home all season with seven wins and five draws. Their away form has been a different story, with just two wins on the road, but their home fortress has been the foundation of their success.
Under the guidance of Régis Le Bris, Sunderland have been well-organised and difficult to beat. While they don’t score a huge number of goals, with Brian Brobbey leading the way on just five, they have spread the goals around the team. The midfield duo of Granit Xhaka and Enzo Le Fée have been particularly influential, contributing a combined four goals and nine assists.
It has been a turbulent and emotional season for Liverpool, who find themselves in a disappointing sixth place in the Premier League with 39 points from 25 games. On the pitch, Arne Slot’s side have struggled for consistency, with eleven wins, six draws, and eight losses.
The Reds have been particularly vulnerable away from Anfield, losing five times on their travels. New signing Hugo Ekitike has been a bright spark, leading the line with ten league goals, while fellow new arrival Alexander Isak, a record signing, has chipped in with two. However, a leaky defence that has conceded 35 goals has undermined their progress. Fans will be hoping for a strong finish to a difficult season.
Sunderland team news
Sunderland are hoping to have midfielder Noah Sadiki available for the visit of Liverpool, after he came off with discomfort against Arsenal. However, the Black Cats will definitely be without key man Granit Xhaka, who is out for another two to three weeks. Winger Bertrand Traoré is also out with a knee injury.
Liverpool team news
Liverpool are facing a selection crisis ahead of their trip to Sunderland, with up to eight players potentially missing. Dominik Szoboszlai is suspended after his red card against Manchester City, while Jeremie Frimpong is out with a muscle injury. Joe Gomez is a major doubt, with Arne Slot not expecting him to be ready, leaving Liverpool without any real option at right back.
They join a lengthy injury list that includes Alexander Isak, Conor Bradley, and Stefan Bajcetic, who are all out long-term.
Season Form & Standings
Liverpool’s season has been defined by attacking intent, with more goals and shots than almost any rival, but defensive lapses have cost them points. Sunderland, meanwhile, have built success on discipline and structure, keeping more clean sheets (8) and conceding fewer than Liverpool, but at the expense of attacking output. Both sides are within striking distance of the European places.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 6 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 35 | +5 | 39 |
| Sunderland | 9 | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 36 |
Head-to-Head: Last 2 Meetings
There have been two recent meetings between Sunderland and Liverpool, with both ending all square after tense contests. Neither side has registered a win in this fixture in the last six years.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 03/12/25 | Liverpool 1-1 Sunderland | Premier League |
| 02/01/17 | Sunderland 2-2 Liverpool | Premier League |
Conclusion: Can Liverpool’s Attack Break Sunderland’s Defensive Resolve?
With Liverpool’s superior attacking numbers and Sunderland’s defensive structure, this is a fascinating clash of styles. Will Liverpool’s relentless pressing and creativity — led by Ekitike and Gakpo — finally break down a Sunderland back line that has kept eight clean sheets this season? Our standout pick is Liverpool to win at 8/11 (57.9%) with Spreadex, offering a good blend of value and statistical edge. For those after a bigger return, Over 2.5 Goals at 4/5 (55.6%) could also appeal, expecting both sides to play positively given their respective ambitions.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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