
Cape Verde shocked the World Cup on Monday night by holding tournament favourites Spain to a goalless draw in Atlanta.
Incredible performances from goalkeeper Vozinha and Irish-born centre-back Pico saw the tiny African nation earn a shock draw and even the introduction of Lamine Yamal and Nico Williams couldn’t force a breakthrough.
The result doesn’t change the odds too much. Cape Verde are priced at 1500/1 to win the tournament – but it does give them a great chance of progressing to the knock-out stages.
The Blue Sharks are one of the nations making their World Cup debut, which is a historic achievement on its own. But Cape Verde are also the second-smallest country by land area to ever qualify for the World Cup, and the third-smallest by population.
So, what can Cape Verde achieve?
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Cape Verde odds to win the World Cup
As you’d expect, Cape Verde’s odds of winning the 2026 World Cup are long. They started at around 2000/1 to be more blunt. That’s an implied probability of just 0.05%.
The odds have shortened to 1500/1 as a result of their draw with Spain. This shows that the result in this game was likely nothing more than a flash in the pan. But what a flash in the pan it was.
Cape Verde odds to win Group H
Check how that crazy result has altered the Group H odds below:
Cape Verde World Cup top goalscorer odds
Unsurprisingly, there are no odds for a Cape Verde player to win the Golden Boot at the 2026 World Cup.
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