Home » NFL News » Bills vs Jets Prediction, Picks & Odds

Bills vs Jets Prediction, Picks & Odds

Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets prediction, picks and odds for Week 10 of the 2026 NFL season

Buffalo scores 3.6 touchdowns a game, second only to San Francisco, and runs for 147 yards an afternoon. New York converts 40.7% in the red zone, 31st. Our Bills vs Jets prediction looks one-sided on paper.

The Buffalo Bills are 7-1 at +69. The New York Jets are 2-7 and have managed 182 points in nine games.

Week 10 · Editorial pick

Bills vs Jets: our editor’s props

Two editorial selections to sit with the live Signal read below.

Bills AT Jets

Our props

Player propBuffalo 3+ touchdownsThe Bills average 3.6 touchdowns a game, second in the NFL. New York gives up 3.0.
★★★★☆4/5 confidence
Player propNew York under 2 touchdownsThe Jets score 1.9 a game and convert 40.7% in the red zone, 31st in the league.
★★★☆☆3/5 confidence

An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Please play responsibly.

Bills vs Jets: 2026 form so far

The league’s second-best offence against a club that cannot finish drives. The table pairs every attacking number with the defensive number sitting opposite it.

Bills attack against the Jets defence

Per gameBills offenceJets allow
Passing yards239.8197.8
Rushing yards146.6128.0
Yards per carry4.54.1
Passer rating99.3103.5
Touchdowns3.63.0
Third-down conversion43.2%42.3%
Red-zone conversion66.7%66.7%
Sacks conceded / recorded2.12.4

Jets attack against the Bills defence

Per gameJets offenceBills allow
Passing yards204.7238.8
Rushing yards105.291.6
Yards per carry4.13.9
Passer rating100.589.3
Touchdowns1.92.8
Third-down conversion35.4%38.6%
Red-zone conversion40.7%63.3%
Sacks conceded / recorded3.12.1

The Jets convert 40.7% of their red-zone trips, 31st in the NFL, and that is where the afternoon turns.

Buffalo Bills 7-1 · average margin +8.6

+10−10+20−20Week 1: beat the Texans 36-31 (away)@HOU1Week 2: beat the Lions 41-31 (home)vDET2Week 3: beat the Chargers 24-16 (home)vLAC3Week 4: lost to the Patriots 26-29 (home)vNE4Week 5: beat the Rams 37-34 (away)@LA5Week 6: beat the Raiders 33-30 (away)@LV6Week 8: beat the Ravens 36-10 (home)vBAL8Week 9: beat the Vikings 23-6 (away)@MIN9

New York Jets 2-7 · average margin -4.6

+10−10+20−20Week 1: beat the Titans 23-10 (away)@TEN1Week 2: lost to the Packers 17-20 (home)vGB2Week 3: lost to the Lions 24-31 (away)@DET3Week 4: lost to the Bears 12-23 (away)@CHI4Week 5: beat the Browns 17-12 (home)vCLE5Week 6: lost to the Patriots 19-26 (away)@NE6Week 7: lost to the Dolphins 25-28 (home)vMIA7Week 8: lost to the Raiders 33-38 (home)vLV8Week 9: lost to the Chiefs 12-35 (away)@KC9
One bar per game this season, in week order. Bars above the line are wins and below are defeats, sized by margin. “v” is a home game and “@” an away game. Hover or tap a bar for the score. Bye weeks are left blank, so a gap in a run of form is visible rather than hidden.

Bills vs Jets quarterback matchup

Josh Allen threw for 234 yards and a score at 87.3 in a 23-6 win in Minnesota. Geno Smith completed 18 of 32 for 165 without a touchdown at 70.4.

TeamQuarterbackLast gameSeason to date
BillsJosh Allen21/31, 234 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT, 87.3 rtg156/236, 2027 yds, 12 TD, 6 INT, 99.3 rtg (8 games)
JetsGeno Smith18/32, 165 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 70.4 rtg183/271, 2078 yds, 12 TD, 3 INT, 100.5 rtg (9 games)
Last game is Week 9. Season figures are 2026 to date, with games played in brackets.

Bills vs Jets injury report and team news

Buffalo is 7-1 at +69 and scores 3.6 touchdowns a game, second in the NFL.

The Jets convert 40.7% in the red zone, 31st in the league.

Buffalo runs for 147 yards a game, behind only Tampa Bay.

The second-best offence in football against a red zone that does not work

Buffalo has no weak column. The Bills score 3.6 touchdowns a game, run for 147 yards and held Minnesota to six last week.

New York moves the ball well enough — 100.5 through the air is seventh in the league — and still scores 1.9 touchdowns a game.

The Bills give up 239 passing yards a game, 29th, so the Jets will gain yards. Turning them into points is the part that has not worked.

Buffalo BillsNew York Jets

Their own numbers

Touchdowns per gameBuffalo Bills: 3.6, 2nd of 32New York Jets: 1.9, 27th of 322nd3.61.927thPassing yards per gameBuffalo Bills: 240, 13th of 32New York Jets: 205, 22nd of 3213th24020522ndRushing yards per gameBuffalo Bills: 147, 2nd of 32New York Jets: 105, 20th of 322nd14710520thYards per carryBuffalo Bills: 4.49, 9th of 32New York Jets: 4.10, 17th of 329th4.494.1017thThird-down conversionBuffalo Bills: 43.2%, 8th of 32New York Jets: 35.4%, 26th of 328th43.2%35.4%26thRed-zone conversionBuffalo Bills: 66.7%, 7th of 32New York Jets: 40.7%, 31st of 327th66.7%40.7%31stSacks per gameBuffalo Bills: 2.1, 16th of 32New York Jets: 2.4, 13th of 3216th2.12.413thInterceptions per gameBuffalo Bills: 0.8, 13th of 32New York Jets: 0.1, 32nd of 3213th0.80.132nd
Each club’s own production, per game this season. The small grey number is the league rank out of 32.

What opponents have managed against them

Touchdowns per gameBuffalo Bills: 2.8, 19th of 32New York Jets: 3.0, 29th of 3219th2.83.029thPassing yards per gameBuffalo Bills: 239, 29th of 32New York Jets: 198, 4th of 3229th2391984thRushing yards per gameBuffalo Bills: 92, 7th of 32New York Jets: 128, 26th of 327th9212826thYards per carryBuffalo Bills: 3.88, 10th of 32New York Jets: 4.08, 16th of 3210th3.884.0816thThird-down conversionBuffalo Bills: 38.6%, 13th of 32New York Jets: 42.3%, 23rd of 3213th38.6%42.3%23rdRed-zone conversionBuffalo Bills: 63.3%, 18th of 32New York Jets: 66.7%, 24th of 3218th63.3%66.7%24thSacks per gameBuffalo Bills: 2.1, 14th of 32New York Jets: 3.1, 27th of 3214th2.13.127thInterceptions per gameBuffalo Bills: 0.8, 16th of 32New York Jets: 0.3, 5th of 3216th0.80.35th
What each club’s opponents have managed, per game. Ranks here run the other way: first is the lowest number conceded, not the highest. The ringed dot is the better figure.

Players to watch

  • Josh Allen (BUF, QB): Leads an attack scoring 3.6 touchdowns a game.
  • James Cook III (BUF, RB): Fronts a run game at 147 yards a game, second in the NFL.
  • Breece Hall (NYJ, RB): The most reliable way the Jets have of moving the ball.
  • Garrett Wilson (NYJ, WR): Primary target in a passing game rating 100.5.

How to watch Bills vs Jets in Canada

Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 15 at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford. CTV shows a Sunday afternoon game in each region, so check your local listings for this one, and RDS has the French-language call. DAZN carries every game of the season in Canada through NFL Game Pass. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.

DetailBills vs Jets
DateSunday, November 15, 2026
Kickoff1:00 PM ET / 12:00 PM CT / 10:00 AM PT
VenueMetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
TVCTV (regional) / TSN / RDS (French)
Live streamDAZN (NFL Game Pass)
WeekWeek 10, 2026 NFL season

Bills vs Jets prediction and score projection

Our Bills vs Jets prediction is Buffalo by 30-17. New York will find yardage against a secondary ranked 29th, but 40.7% inside the 20 will not beat a 7-1 club.

Signal’s live read on this game updates through the week.

Every Week 10 game, previewed

Kickoff (ET)GameOur predictionPreview
Thu 8:15 PMCommanders @ GiantsGiants 23-20Read
Sun 9:30 AMPatriots @ LionsLions 31-24Read
Sun 1:00 PMBills @ JetsBills 30-17You are here
Sun 1:00 PMPanthers @ SaintsSaints 27-24Read
Sun 1:00 PMTexans @ BrownsTexans 26-17Read
Sun 1:00 PMJaguars @ TitansJaguars 27-13Read
Sun 1:00 PMChiefs @ FalconsChiefs 27-16Read
Sun 1:00 PMDolphins @ ColtsColts 20-16Read
Sun 1:00 PMVikings @ PackersPackers 20-13Read
Sun 4:05 PMRams @ CardinalsRams 24-16Read
Sun 4:05 PMSeahawks @ RaidersSeahawks 27-13Read
Sun 4:25 PM49ers @ Cowboys49ers 34-24Read
Sun 8:20 PMSteelers @ BengalsBengals 27-23Read
Mon 8:15 PMChargers @ RavensRavens 23-13Read

You can find the other games on our NFL hub, with Signal’s read on all of Week 10 alongside them. Both sit in the same conference, which makes the AFC Championship odds the market to watch here; the NFC Championship odds are tracked on the same page.

Bills vs Jets FAQ

Who is favoured, the Bills or the Jets?

Buffalo. The Bills are 7-1 at +69 against a 2-7 New York club. The live number sits in the Signal card on this page.

What time is Bills vs Jets in Canada?

1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 15, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT, at MetLife Stadium.

How can I watch Bills vs Jets in Canada?

CTV’s Sunday afternoon game is a regional pick, so check your local listings. RDS has the French call. DAZN carries every game of the season in Canada through NFL Game Pass.

Why does New York score so little?

The red zone. The Jets rate 100.5 through the air but convert only 40.7% of red-zone trips.

19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC) | Please play responsibly | ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON) | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change