Our Patriots vs Jaguars prediction favours the visitors on the strength of a remarkable defensive start. Squawka Signal’s live read updates on this page through the week.
The Jacksonville Jaguars beat Cleveland 34-10 and then lost 20-13 at Denver without a touchdown pass. The New England Patriots have conceded a single touchdown across two games. Both sit at 1-1 with very different problems.
New England Patriots @ Jacksonville Jaguars
New England PatriotsWin prob49%
Jacksonville JaguarsWin prob51%Squawka Signal is our model’s read, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 19+ (18+ in AB/MB/QC). Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON). Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: bet365.
Patriots vs Jaguars: our editor’s props
Two editorial calls to sit alongside the live Signal numbers on this page.
AT 
Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Please play responsibly.
Patriots vs Jaguars: 2026 form so far
Matching records, opposite shapes. Each attack is set against what the opposite defence has actually allowed.
Patriots attack against the Jaguars defence
| Per game | Patriots offence | Jaguars allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 179.5 | 236.5 |
| Rushing yards | 122.5 | 95.5 |
| Yards per carry | 4.2 | 3.8 |
| Passer rating | 63.1 | 97.4 |
| Touchdowns | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Third-down conversion | 32.1% | 26.3% |
| Red-zone conversion | 33.3% | 28.6% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 3.0 | 2.5 |
Jaguars attack against the Patriots defence
| Per game | Jaguars offence | Patriots allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 203.5 | 166.0 |
| Rushing yards | 110.5 | 94.0 |
| Yards per carry | 3.9 | 4.2 |
| Passer rating | 110.6 | 78.1 |
| Touchdowns | 2.5 | 0.5 |
| Third-down conversion | 45.5% | 17.4% |
| Red-zone conversion | 75.0% | 0.0% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 1.5 | 3.0 |
Read these as a 2-game sample rather than settled form. Rates this early move a long way on one result.
New England have allowed one touchdown and 16 points in two games, the fewest in the league. Jacksonville’s own defence recorded five sacks in Week 1 and none in Week 2.
Patriots vs Jaguars injury report and team news
Trevor Lawrence completed 17 of 29 for 189 yards with an interception at Denver, and Jacksonville’s defence failed to register a sack.
Parker Washington caught seven for 98 yards in the same game.
This section updates as soon as the Out, Doubtful and Questionable tags land.
New England PatriotsJacksonville JaguarsThe matchup that settles it: Drake Maye’s interceptions against a defence that takes chances
New England’s defence is carrying the team, and their quarterback is the reason it has to. Four interceptions in two games at a 63.1 rating.
Jacksonville have the personnel to punish that, having intercepted two passes already, but their pass rush disappeared entirely at Denver.
TreVeyon Henderson is the steadier route for New England, with 76 yards and a score against Pittsburgh at 4.8 a carry.
Players to watch
- Drake Maye (NE, QB): 208 yards against Pittsburgh, but four interceptions across two games.
- TreVeyon Henderson (NE, RB): 16 carries for 76 yards and a touchdown in Week 2.
- Trevor Lawrence (JAC, QB): 189 yards and an interception at Denver, after four touchdowns in the opener.
- Parker Washington (JAC, WR): Seven catches for 98 yards at Denver.
How to watch Patriots vs Jaguars
The game kicks off at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, September 27, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT. CTV has the regional broadcast and RDS the French-language call, and DAZN carries every game of the season. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.
| Detail | Patriots vs Jaguars |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, September 27, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 1:00 PM ET / 12:00 PM CT / 10:00 AM PT |
| Venue | EverBank Stadium, Jacksonville, FL |
| TV | CTV (regional) / RDS (French) |
| Live stream | DAZN (NFL Game Pass) / CTV.ca |
| Week | Week 2, 2026 NFL season |
Patriots vs Jaguars prediction and score projection
Our Patriots vs Jaguars prediction is a New England win, 20-16. The Patriots concede so little that a modest offence is enough.
Signal’s live number updates on this page through the week.
Every Week 3 game, previewed
| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8:15 PM | Falcons @ Packers | Packers 23-10 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Panthers @ Browns | Panthers 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Bengals @ Steelers | Bengals 20-13 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Texans @ Colts | Colts 26-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Chiefs @ Dolphins | Chiefs 31-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Chargers @ Bills | Bills 31-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Patriots @ Jaguars | Patriots 20-16 | You are here |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Jets @ Lions | Lions 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Seahawks @ Commanders | Seahawks 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Titans @ Giants | Titans 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 4:05 PM | Cardinals @ 49ers | 49ers 30-13 | Read |
| Sun 4:05 PM | Vikings @ Buccaneers | Vikings 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Ravens @ Cowboys | Ravens 30-24 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Raiders @ Saints | Raiders 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 8:20 PM | Rams @ Broncos | Rams 26-17 | Read |
| Mon 8:15 PM | Eagles @ Bears | Eagles 24-20 | Read |
Every fixture in the round is covered across our NFL hub, and Signal rates every Week 3 game the same way. Compare the AFC Championship odds and NFC Championship odds as the season develops, and our guide to watching the NFL in Canada covers every window.
Patriots vs Jaguars FAQ
New England, on the road and narrowly. The Patriots have conceded 16 points in two games.
1:00 PM ET on Sunday, September 27, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT.
CTV has the regional broadcast and RDS the French. DAZN streams it too.
New England beat Pittsburgh 20-3. Jacksonville lost 20-13 at Denver.
19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC) | Please play responsibly | ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON) | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change