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Texans vs Jaguars Prediction, Picks & Odds

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars prediction, picks and odds for Week 6 of the 2026 NFL season

Jacksonville is back in London for the second week running, at a different stadium. Our Texans vs Jaguars prediction covers a 4-1 team that has conceded seven touchdowns all season.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have a +53 point differential, second only to San Francisco. The Houston Texans are 1-4 despite being outscored by just two points across five games, and they have a new receiver: Marvin Harrison Jr. arrived from Arizona on Sunday.

Week 6 · Editorial pick

Texans vs Jaguars: our editor’s props

Two calls from our editor, to read next to Signal’s live numbers.

Texans AT Jaguars

Our props

TotalUnder 41.5 pointsJacksonville gives up 2.93 a carry, the stingiest run defence in football, and lets opponents finish 33.3% of red-zone trips. Houston has 110 points in five games.
★★★☆☆3/5 confidence
Player propNico Collins 65+ receiving yardsHouston has thrown for 1,309 yards. Jacksonville has conceded 1,331 through the air, more than any team playing this week, even while allowing only seven scores.
★★☆☆☆2/5 confidence

An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Please play responsibly.

Texans vs Jaguars: 2026 form so far

A 4-1 team against a 1-4 team whose point differential is almost level. Each attack in the table is measured against the defence it meets, not against the league.

Texans attack against the Jaguars defence

Per gameTexans offenceJaguars allow
Passing yards261.8266.2
Rushing yards79.063.8
Yards per carry3.42.9
Passer rating97.682.3
Touchdowns2.21.4
Third-down conversion37.9%34.5%
Red-zone conversion55.6%33.3%
Sacks conceded / recorded2.82.2

Jaguars attack against the Texans defence

Per gameJaguars offenceTexans allow
Passing yards220.6234.0
Rushing yards114.278.4
Yards per carry4.13.3
Passer rating106.894.9
Touchdowns2.82.2
Third-down conversion45.9%37.5%
Red-zone conversion64.3%58.3%
Sacks conceded / recorded2.03.6

Figures are season to date, across 5 games.

Jacksonville has allowed 1,331 passing yards and seven touchdowns. It gives up ground between the 20s and almost nothing once the field shortens.

Texans vs Jaguars quarterback matchup

Jacksonville rates 106.8 through the air to Houston’s 97.6, and has thrown ten touchdown passes to the Texans’ six.

TeamQuarterbackLast gameSeason to date
TexansC.J. Stroud16/27, 167 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 89.6 rtg93/151, 1141 yds, 5 TD, 0 INT, 95.9 rtg (4 games)
JaguarsTrevor Lawrence19/29, 182 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT, 102.9 rtg72/104, 843 yds, 8 TD, 2 INT, 111.2 rtg (4 games)
Last game is Week 3. Season figures are 2026 to date, with games played in brackets.

Texans vs Jaguars injury report and team news

Marvin Harrison Jr. joined Houston from Arizona on 11 October.

Will Anderson Jr. has seven sacks, the most of any player in the NFL, in a Houston front that has recorded 18.

This is Jacksonville’s second straight home game in London, at Wembley rather than Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.

The best run defence in football, in London

Jacksonville concedes 2.93 yards a carry. No team in the NFL is lower, and only 319 rushing yards have gone through that front in five games.

Houston’s case is the pass rush. Eighteen sacks is second only to Detroit, Will Anderson Jr. has seven on his own, and Jacksonville has conceded ten.

Marvin Harrison Jr. is the unknown. He arrived two days after Week 5 and joins a passing game that has already produced 1,309 yards without him.

Players to watch

  • Will Anderson Jr. (HOU, DE): Seven sacks, more than any player in the NFL.
  • Nico Collins (HOU, WR): First read in a passing game worth 1,309 yards.
  • Bhayshul Tuten (JAC, RB): 349 on the ground, behind the league’s best run defence.
  • Parker Washington (JAC, WR): 352 receiving yards in an attack scoring 24.6 a game.

How to watch Texans vs Jaguars in Canada

Kickoff is 9:30 AM ET on Sunday, October 18 at Wembley Stadium in London. CTV shows a Sunday afternoon game in each region, so check your local listings for this one, and RDS has the French-language call. DAZN carries every game of the season in Canada through NFL Game Pass. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.

DetailTexans vs Jaguars
DateSunday, October 18, 2026
Kickoff9:30 AM ET / 8:30 AM CT / 6:30 AM PT
VenueWembley Stadium, London, England
TVCTV (regional) / TSN / RDS (French)
Live streamDAZN (NFL Game Pass)
WeekWeek 6, 2026 NFL season

Texans vs Jaguars prediction and score projection

Our Texans vs Jaguars prediction is Jacksonville by 27-17. The Jaguars have the better record, the better differential and a run defence Houston cannot pass.

Signal’s live read on this game updates as team news arrives.

Every Week 6 game, previewed

Kickoff (ET)GameOur predictionPreview
Thu 8:15 PMSeahawks @ BroncosSeahawks 24-20Read
Sun 9:30 AMTexans @ JaguarsJaguars 27-17You are here
Sun 1:00 PMRavens @ BrownsRavens 27-16Read
Sun 1:00 PMPanthers @ EaglesPanthers 24-20Read
Sun 1:00 PMBears @ FalconsBears 23-20Read
Sun 1:00 PMSaints @ GiantsGiants 26-20Read
Sun 1:00 PMJets @ PatriotsPatriots 24-17Read
Sun 1:00 PMSteelers @ BuccaneersSteelers 23-17Read
Sun 1:00 PMTitans @ ColtsColts 23-13Read
Sun 4:05 PMCardinals @ RamsRams 30-20Read
Sun 4:25 PMBills @ RaidersBills 30-27Read
Sun 4:25 PMChargers @ ChiefsChiefs 31-13Read
Sun 8:20 PMCowboys @ PackersPackers 27-24Read
Mon 8:15 PMCommanders @ 49ers49ers 31-17Read

Our NFL hub carries the full card, and Signal rates every Week 6 game on the same model. Both these teams are chasing the AFC Championship odds, and the NFC Championship odds move on the same page as the season develops.

Texans vs Jaguars FAQ

Who is favoured, the Texans or the Jaguars?

Jacksonville. They are 4-1 with a +53 differential; Houston is 1-4 at -2.

What time is Texans vs Jaguars in Canada?

9:30 AM ET on Sunday, October 18, which is 8:30 AM CT and 6:30 AM PT, at Wembley Stadium.

How can I watch Texans vs Jaguars in Canada?

CTV’s Sunday afternoon game is a regional pick, so check your local listings. RDS has the French call. DAZN carries every game of the season in Canada through NFL Game Pass.

Where is the game being played?

Wembley Stadium in London, Jacksonville’s second straight home game in the city.

19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC) | Please play responsibly | ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON) | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change