Our Texans vs Colts prediction lands on the home side, and finishing is the reason. Squawka Signal’s live read updates on this page through the week.
The Indianapolis Colts have scored six touchdowns in two games and convert 83% of their red-zone trips. The Houston Texans have 571 passing yards and four touchdowns to show for 94 attempts. Both are 1-1 and the gap is entirely in the last 20 yards.
Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts
Houston TexansWin prob60%
Indianapolis ColtsWin prob40%Squawka Signal is our model’s read, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 19+ (18+ in AB/MB/QC). Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON). Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: bet365.
Texans vs Colts: our editor’s props
Two editorial calls to sit alongside the live Signal numbers on this page.
AT 
Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Please play responsibly.
Texans vs Colts: 2026 form so far
A divisional fixture between two sides who move the ball at similar rates and convert at wildly different ones. Each attack is set against what the opposite defence has allowed.
Texans attack against the Colts defence
| Per game | Texans offence | Colts allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 285.5 | 337.5 |
| Rushing yards | 92.0 | 177.0 |
| Yards per carry | 3.7 | 5.4 |
| Passer rating | 86.6 | 118.2 |
| Touchdowns | 2.0 | 4.0 |
| Third-down conversion | 36.4% | 36.4% |
| Red-zone conversion | 44.4% | 66.7% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 3.5 | 2.0 |
Colts attack against the Texans defence
| Per game | Colts offence | Texans allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 179.5 | 252.5 |
| Rushing yards | 110.5 | 85.5 |
| Yards per carry | 4.2 | 3.9 |
| Passer rating | 79.8 | 117.4 |
| Touchdowns | 3.0 | 3.0 |
| Third-down conversion | 36.4% | 33.3% |
| Red-zone conversion | 83.3% | 50.0% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 1.0 | 3.5 |
Read these as a 2-game sample rather than settled form. Rates this early move a long way on one result.
Indianapolis have conceded 354 rushing yards at 5.4 a carry, which is the softest part of this matchup. Houston, though, ran the ball 18 times against Cincinnati.
Texans vs Colts injury report and team news
Jonathan Taylor has four rushing touchdowns in two games, including two at Kansas City from 24 carries.
Houston attempted 56 passes against Cincinnati and ran 18 times, finishing with six points.
This section updates as soon as the Out, Doubtful and Questionable tags land.
Houston TexansIndianapolis ColtsThe matchup that settles it: Taylor against a run defence Houston barely use
Indianapolis will run at a Houston side that has conceded 3.9 a carry, and Taylor is the most productive back in the fixture by a distance.
Houston’s answer is Dalton Schultz, who caught 12 passes for 140 yards in Week 2 and is C.J. Stroud’s most reliable outlet.
The Colts’ own defence is the vulnerability, having conceded 675 passing yards and a 118.2 rating across two games.
Players to watch
- C.J. Stroud (HOU, QB): 353 yards from 55 attempts against Cincinnati, without a touchdown.
- Dalton Schultz (HOU, TE): Twelve catches for 140 yards in Week 2.
- Jonathan Taylor (IND, RB): Four rushing touchdowns in two games.
- Josh Downs (IND, WR): Seven catches for 72 yards at Kansas City.
How to watch Texans vs Colts
The game kicks off at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, September 27, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT. CTV has the regional broadcast and RDS the French-language call, and DAZN carries every game of the season. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.
| Detail | Texans vs Colts |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, September 27, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 1:00 PM ET / 12:00 PM CT / 10:00 AM PT |
| Venue | Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN |
| TV | CTV (regional) / RDS (French) |
| Live stream | DAZN (NFL Game Pass) / CTV.ca |
| Week | Week 2, 2026 NFL season |
Texans vs Colts prediction and score projection
Our Texans vs Colts prediction is an Indianapolis win, 26-20. The Colts turn possessions into points and Houston have not managed it yet.
Signal’s live number updates on this page through the week.
Every Week 3 game, previewed
| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8:15 PM | Falcons @ Packers | Packers 23-10 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Panthers @ Browns | Panthers 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Bengals @ Steelers | Bengals 20-13 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Texans @ Colts | Colts 26-20 | You are here |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Chiefs @ Dolphins | Chiefs 31-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Chargers @ Bills | Bills 31-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Patriots @ Jaguars | Patriots 20-16 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Jets @ Lions | Lions 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Seahawks @ Commanders | Seahawks 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Titans @ Giants | Titans 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 4:05 PM | Cardinals @ 49ers | 49ers 30-13 | Read |
| Sun 4:05 PM | Vikings @ Buccaneers | Vikings 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Ravens @ Cowboys | Ravens 30-24 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Raiders @ Saints | Raiders 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 8:20 PM | Rams @ Broncos | Rams 26-17 | Read |
| Mon 8:15 PM | Eagles @ Bears | Eagles 24-20 | Read |
Every fixture in the round is covered across our NFL hub, and Signal rates every Week 3 game the same way. Compare the AFC Championship odds and NFC Championship odds as the season develops, and our guide to watching the NFL in Canada covers every window.
Texans vs Colts FAQ
Indianapolis, at home. The Colts have six touchdowns to Houston’s four from far fewer plays.
1:00 PM ET on Sunday, September 27, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT.
CTV has the regional broadcast and RDS the French. DAZN streams it too.
Houston lost 20-6 at home to Cincinnati. Indianapolis lost 33-30 at Kansas City.
19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC) | Please play responsibly | ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON) | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change