Home » NFL News » Chargers vs Bills Prediction, Picks & Odds

Chargers vs Bills Prediction, Picks & Odds

Los Angeles Chargers vs Buffalo Bills prediction, picks and odds for Week 3 of the 2026 NFL season

Our Chargers vs Bills prediction is the most one-sided read of the early window. Squawka Signal’s live read updates on this page through the week.

The Buffalo Bills lead the league on points scored with 77 in two games and beat Detroit 41-31. The Los Angeles Chargers have managed 28 points across two defeats, both by the same 26-14 scoreline.

Squawka Signal · Model read

Los Angeles Chargers @ Buffalo Bills

Week 3 · Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ET. Our Signal model makes the Buffalo Bills favourites by about 9 points, a 81% win probability.

LACLos Angeles ChargersWin prob19%
BUFBuffalo BillsWin prob81%
Projected lineBuffalo Bills -9

Squawka Signal is our model’s read, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 19+ (18+ in AB/MB/QC). Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON). Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: bet365.

Week 3 · Editorial pick

Chargers vs Bills: our editor’s props

Two editorial calls to sit alongside the live Signal numbers on this page.

Chargers AT Bills

Our props

Player propJosh Allen 2+ total touchdownsAllen threw three and ran for two against Detroit at a 121.4 rating. The Chargers have conceded a 107.5 rating and four touchdown passes in two games.
★★★★4/5 confidence
Player propJames Cook III 70+ rushing yardsCook carried 21 times for 135 and a score in Week 2. The Chargers have held up against the run at 2.7 a carry, so this is the less certain half.
★★★☆☆3/5 confidence

An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Please play responsibly.

Chargers vs Bills: 2026 form so far

An unbeaten side against a winless one, and the numbers underneath say the same thing. Each attack is set against what the opposite defence has allowed.

Chargers attack against the Bills defence

Per gameChargers offenceBills allow
Passing yards185.0273.0
Rushing yards104.095.0
Yards per carry3.93.7
Passer rating71.6118.4
Touchdowns2.04.0
Third-down conversion31.8%40.7%
Red-zone conversion80.0%77.8%
Sacks conceded / recorded3.03.5

Bills attack against the Chargers defence

Per gameBills offenceChargers allow
Passing yards283.0262.5
Rushing yards144.586.5
Yards per carry5.12.7
Passer rating125.8107.5
Touchdowns5.02.5
Third-down conversion57.1%35.7%
Red-zone conversion75.0%50.0%
Sacks conceded / recorded2.01.5

Read these as a 2-game sample rather than settled form. Rates this early move a long way on one result.

Buffalo have ten touchdowns in two games. They have also conceded eight, so this is not a defensive team so much as an unstoppable one.

Chargers vs Bills injury report and team news

Josh Allen threw three touchdowns and ran in two more against Detroit at a 121.4 rating.

James Cook III carried 21 times for 135 yards, and Buffalo converted all five red-zone trips.

This section updates as soon as the Out, Doubtful and Questionable tags land.

Injury report · Week 3Official game-status report — updates through the week
LACLos Angeles Chargers
No game-status designations filed yet.
Out long-term
Tyler BiadaszCIR
Scott MatlockFBIR
Branson TaylorGIR
Denzel PerrymanLBIR
Charlie KolarTEIR
David NjokuTEIR
KeAndre Lambert-SmithWRIR
BUFBuffalo Bills
No game-status designations filed yet.
Out long-term
Dorian StrongCBIR
Zane DurantDLIR
Tyrell ShaversWRPUP
Phidarian MathisDLSusp

The matchup that settles it: Herbert’s turnovers against a team that does not need help

Three Chargers turnovers against Las Vegas is the sort of afternoon Buffalo punish without effort, and Herbert has thrown three interceptions in two games.

Buffalo’s own defence is beatable, conceding a 118.4 rating, but the Chargers have not found anyone to exploit it.

Omarion Hampton is the one Chargers player in form, with 94 yards and a touchdown from 23 carries in Week 2.

Players to watch

  • Justin Herbert (LAC, QB): 192 yards, a touchdown and two interceptions against Las Vegas.
  • Omarion Hampton (LAC, RB): 23 carries for 94 yards and a score in Week 2.
  • Josh Allen (BUF, QB): Three passing touchdowns and two rushing against Detroit.
  • James Cook III (BUF, RB): 135 rushing yards at 6.4 a carry in Week 2.

How to watch Chargers vs Bills

The game kicks off at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, September 27, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT. CTV has the regional broadcast and RDS the French-language call, and DAZN carries every game of the season. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.

DetailChargers vs Bills
DateSunday, September 27, 2026
Kickoff1:00 PM ET / 12:00 PM CT / 10:00 AM PT
VenueHighmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY
TVCTV (regional) / RDS (French)
Live streamDAZN (NFL Game Pass) / CTV.ca
WeekWeek 2, 2026 NFL season

Chargers vs Bills prediction and score projection

Our Chargers vs Bills prediction is a Buffalo win, 31-20. The Bills score at a rate the Chargers have shown no sign of matching.

Signal’s live number updates on this page through the week.

Every Week 3 game, previewed

Kickoff (ET)GameOur predictionPreview
Thu 8:15 PMFalcons @ PackersPackers 23-10Read
Sun 1:00 PMPanthers @ BrownsPanthers 24-20Read
Sun 1:00 PMBengals @ SteelersBengals 20-13Read
Sun 1:00 PMTexans @ ColtsColts 26-20Read
Sun 1:00 PMChiefs @ DolphinsChiefs 31-17Read
Sun 1:00 PMChargers @ BillsBills 31-20You are here
Sun 1:00 PMPatriots @ JaguarsPatriots 20-16Read
Sun 1:00 PMJets @ LionsLions 27-20Read
Sun 1:00 PMSeahawks @ CommandersSeahawks 27-17Read
Sun 1:00 PMTitans @ GiantsTitans 20-17Read
Sun 4:05 PMCardinals @ 49ers49ers 30-13Read
Sun 4:05 PMVikings @ BuccaneersVikings 20-17Read
Sun 4:25 PMRavens @ CowboysRavens 30-24Read
Sun 4:25 PMRaiders @ SaintsRaiders 24-20Read
Sun 8:20 PMRams @ BroncosRams 26-17Read
Mon 8:15 PMEagles @ BearsEagles 24-20Read

Every fixture in the round is covered across our NFL hub, and Signal rates every Week 3 game the same way. Compare the AFC Championship odds and NFC Championship odds as the season develops, and our guide to watching the NFL in Canada covers every window.

Chargers vs Bills FAQ

Who is favoured to win, the Chargers or the Bills?

Buffalo, at home. The Bills have scored more points than any team in the league; the Chargers are winless.

What time is Chargers vs Bills in Canada?

1:00 PM ET on Sunday, September 27, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT.

What channel is Chargers vs Bills on in Canada?

CTV has the regional broadcast and RDS the French. DAZN streams it too.

How did each side do in Week 2?

The Chargers lost 26-14 to Las Vegas. Buffalo beat Detroit 41-31.

19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC) | Please play responsibly | ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON) | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change