Our Falcons vs Packers prediction opens Week 3 with the league’s coldest offense visiting its most undisciplined. Squawka Signal’s live read on this game, including where the value sits, updates on this page through the week.
The Atlanta Falcons have not reached the red zone once this season and were beaten 34-3 at home by Carolina. The Green Bay Packers have taken 26 penalties for 231 yards in the same span and are 1-1. Thursday night at Lambeau Field is not where an offense in this state usually recovers.
Atlanta Falcons @ Green Bay Packers
Atlanta FalconsSquawka27%Market28%▬ Fair
Green Bay PackersSquawka73%Market72%▬ FairSquawka Signal is our model’s read against devigged market prices, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 21+. Play responsibly. Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX.
Falcons vs Packers: our editor’s props
Two editorial calls to sit alongside the live Signal numbers on this page.
AT Our props
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Falcons vs Packers: 2026 form so far
One team cannot score and the other cannot stop giving yards away. The table below puts each attack against what the opposite defense has actually allowed.
Falcons attack against the Packers defense
| Per game | Falcons offense | Packers allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 123.5 | 175.0 |
| Rushing yards | 138.5 | 87.0 |
| Yards per carry | 4.4 | 2.9 |
| Passer rating | 38.2 | 95.5 |
| Touchdowns | 0.5 | 3.5 |
| Third-down conversion | 24.0% | 47.1% |
| Red-zone conversion | 0 trips | 85.7% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 3.0 | 3.5 |
Packers attack against the Falcons defense
| Per game | Packers offense | Falcons allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 244.5 | 239.0 |
| Rushing yards | 64.5 | 63.0 |
| Yards per carry | 3.3 | 2.9 |
| Passer rating | 89.6 | 97.8 |
| Touchdowns | 2.0 | 3.0 |
| Third-down conversion | 19.0% | 33.3% |
| Red-zone conversion | 37.5% | 50.0% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 3.5 | 2.0 |
Read these as a 2-game sample rather than settled form. Rates this early move a long way on one result.
Atlanta’s 38.2 passer rating and zero red-zone trips are the numbers that decide this. Green Bay’s 26 penalties for 231 yards are the reason it might stay close.
Falcons vs Packers injury report and team news
Cooper Rush and Jack Strand split Atlanta’s throws against Carolina and combined for 145 yards, no touchdowns and three interceptions at a 28.8 rating.
Micah Parsons remains on the physically unable to perform list for Green Bay, so the Packers are still without the defender who recorded 12.5 sacks last season.
This section updates as soon as the Out, Doubtful and Questionable tags land.
Atlanta FalconsGreen Bay PackersWhere Falcons vs Packers is decided
Atlanta have not reached the red zone once all season. Not in 57 plays at Pittsburgh, not in 67 at home to Carolina, and their only touchdown came on a 90-yard receiving afternoon from Bijan Robinson rather than from anything sustained.
Green Bay won at the Jets with 199 total yards and one third-down conversion from nine. Jordan Love threw for 145 and two touchdowns, and it was enough because the Jets gave the ball up in their own half.
Consequently the discipline question decides how competitive this is. Fourteen penalties for 133 yards in New York, 26 for 231 across the season, and Atlanta are not equipped to punish anyone who plays cleanly.
Players to watch
- Bijan Robinson (ATL, RB): 16 carries for 72 yards against Carolina, and Atlanta’s only reliable outlet.
- Drake London (ATL, WR): Four catches for 51 yards in a game Atlanta scored three points.
- Jordan Love (GB, QB): Two touchdown passes at the Jets from 29 attempts.
- Christian Watson (GB, WR): Four catches for 41 and a score in Week 2, after 147 yards in the opener.
How to watch Falcons vs Packers
Kickoff is 8:15 PM ET on Thursday, September 24 at Lambeau Field, which is 7:15 PM CT and 5:15 PM PT. Prime Video has the exclusive national broadcast, with the game also carried on local stations in Atlanta and Green Bay.
| Detail | Falcons vs Packers |
|---|---|
| Date | Thursday, September 24, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 8:15 PM ET / 7:15 PM CT / 5:15 PM PT |
| Venue | Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI |
| TV | Prime Video |
| Live stream | NFL+ / Prime Video |
| Week | Week 3, 2026 NFL season |
Falcons vs Packers prediction and score projection
Our Falcons vs Packers prediction is a Green Bay win, 23-10. The Packers are far from convincing, but Atlanta have not scored a touchdown since the opening week.
The live win probability and the model’s projected margin update on this page through the week.
Every Week 3 game, previewed
| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8:15 PM | Falcons @ Packers | Packers 23-10 | You are here |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Panthers @ Browns | Panthers 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Bengals @ Steelers | Bengals 20-13 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Texans @ Colts | Colts 26-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Chiefs @ Dolphins | Chiefs 31-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Chargers @ Bills | Bills 31-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Patriots @ Jaguars | Patriots 20-16 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Jets @ Lions | Lions 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Seahawks @ Commanders | Seahawks 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Titans @ Giants | Titans 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 4:05 PM | Cardinals @ 49ers | 49ers 30-13 | Read |
| Sun 4:05 PM | Vikings @ Buccaneers | Vikings 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Ravens @ Cowboys | Ravens 30-24 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Raiders @ Saints | Raiders 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 8:20 PM | Rams @ Broncos | Rams 26-17 | Read |
| Mon 8:15 PM | Eagles @ Bears | Eagles 24-20 | Read |
Every fixture in the round is covered across our NFL hub, and Signal rates every game on the NFL picks page.
Falcons vs Packers FAQ
Green Bay, at home on Thursday night. The Packers are 1-1; Atlanta are 0-2 and have scored one touchdown all season.
8:15 PM ET on Thursday, September 24, at Lambeau Field.
No. Parsons is on the physically unable to perform list and has not featured this season.
Atlanta lost 34-3 at home to Carolina. Green Bay won 20-17 at the New York Jets.
21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER | Signal probabilities and odds approximate at time of writing and subject to change