Our Jets vs Lions prediction is a collision between the league’s most penalised team and a defense that cannot get anybody off the field. Squawka Signal’s live read on this game, including where the value sits, updates on this page through the week.
The Detroit Lions have scored eight touchdowns in two games and conceded ten. The New York Jets have taken 21 penalties for 204 yards and won one of two. Ford Field has not been a difficult place to score this season.
New York Jets @ Detroit Lions
New York JetsSquawka20%Market26%▼ Slight lay
Detroit LionsSquawka80%Market74%▲ ValueSquawka Signal is our model’s read against devigged market prices, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 21+. Play responsibly. Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX.
Jets vs Lions: our editor’s props
Two editorial calls to sit alongside the live Signal numbers on this page.
AT Our props
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Jets vs Lions: 2026 form so far
Detroit score freely and concede more freely still. The Jets do neither with much conviction. The table sets each attack against what the other defense has allowed.
Jets attack against the Lions defense
| Per game | Jets offense | Lions allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 216.5 | 310.5 |
| Rushing yards | 109.5 | 147.0 |
| Yards per carry | 3.3 | 4.8 |
| Passer rating | 95.8 | 99.7 |
| Touchdowns | 2.0 | 5.0 |
| Third-down conversion | 32.3% | 58.6% |
| Red-zone conversion | 66.7% | 90.0% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 2.0 | 3.5 |
Lions attack against the Jets defense
| Per game | Lions offense | Jets allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 246.5 | 131.5 |
| Rushing yards | 115.5 | 65.5 |
| Yards per carry | 4.4 | 4.1 |
| Passer rating | 113.2 | 85.8 |
| Touchdowns | 4.0 | 1.5 |
| Third-down conversion | 37.5% | 23.8% |
| Red-zone conversion | 77.8% | 60.0% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 2.5 | 3.0 |
Read these as a 2-game sample rather than settled form. Rates this early move a long way on one result.
Detroit have allowed opponents 58.6% on third down and 90% in the red zone, which is why 493 passing yards and six touchdown passes have produced a 1-1 record.
Jets vs Lions injury report and team news
Jared Goff threw for 327 yards and four touchdowns against Buffalo at a 130.0 rating, and Detroit still lost by ten.
The Jets have taken 21 penalties for 204 yards in two games, second only to Green Bay’s 26 for 231 among the sides who have already played.
This section updates as soon as the Out, Doubtful and Questionable tags land.
New York JetsDetroit LionsWhere Jets vs Lions is decided
Detroit’s defense is the problem. Ninety per cent of opponent red-zone trips have ended in a score and 58.6% of third downs have been converted against them, which is how a side with 113.2 passer rating sits at 1-1.
The Jets are the opposite shape. They have conceded three touchdowns all season and held opponents to 23.8% on third down, but have scored four times themselves.
Consequently discipline decides it. Twenty-one penalties for 204 yards is a habit that hands a functioning offense exactly the free yards Detroit need, and only Green Bay have been looser.
Players to watch
- Breece Hall (NYJ, RB): 29 rushing and 63 receiving yards against Green Bay.
- Garrett Wilson (NYJ, WR): Five catches for 57 yards and a touchdown in Week 2.
- Jared Goff (DET, QB): 327 yards and four touchdowns at Buffalo, at a 130.0 rating.
- Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET, WR): Nine catches for 142 yards and two scores in Week 2.
How to watch Jets vs Lions
Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, September 27 at Ford Field, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT. FOX has the regional broadcast.
| Detail | Jets vs Lions |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, September 27, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 1:00 PM ET / 12:00 PM CT / 10:00 AM PT |
| Venue | Ford Field, Detroit, MI |
| TV | FOX |
| Live stream | NFL+ / Fox One |
| Week | Week 3, 2026 NFL season |
Jets vs Lions prediction and score projection
Our Jets vs Lions prediction is a Detroit win, 27-20. The Lions have far more scoring in them, and the Jets keep handing out yards they cannot afford.
The live win probability and the model’s projected margin update on this page through the week.
Every Week 3 game, previewed
| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8:15 PM | Falcons @ Packers | Packers 23-10 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Panthers @ Browns | Panthers 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Bengals @ Steelers | Bengals 20-13 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Texans @ Colts | Colts 26-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Chiefs @ Dolphins | Chiefs 31-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Chargers @ Bills | Bills 31-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Patriots @ Jaguars | Patriots 20-16 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Jets @ Lions | Lions 27-20 | You are here |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Seahawks @ Commanders | Seahawks 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Titans @ Giants | Titans 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 4:05 PM | Cardinals @ 49ers | 49ers 30-13 | Read |
| Sun 4:05 PM | Vikings @ Buccaneers | Vikings 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Ravens @ Cowboys | Ravens 30-24 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Raiders @ Saints | Raiders 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 8:20 PM | Rams @ Broncos | Rams 26-17 | Read |
| Mon 8:15 PM | Eagles @ Bears | Eagles 24-20 | Read |
Every fixture in the round is covered across our NFL hub, and Signal rates every game on the NFL picks page.
Jets vs Lions FAQ
Detroit, at home. Both are 1-1, but the Lions have scored eight touchdowns to the Jets’ four.
1:00 PM ET on Sunday, September 27, at Ford Field.
Penalties. Twenty-one for 204 yards in two games is the heaviest total in the league, and it has repeatedly extended opponent drives.
The Jets lost 20-17 at home to Green Bay. Detroit lost 41-31 at Buffalo.
21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER | Signal probabilities and odds approximate at time of writing and subject to change