Our Vikings vs Buccaneers prediction follows a Minnesota side winning ugly and a Tampa Bay side losing tidily. Squawka Signal’s live read on this game, including where the value sits, updates on this page through the week.
The Minnesota Vikings have conceded 25 points in two games and beaten Chicago 9-3 without scoring a touchdown. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have lost both games by four points or fewer. Neither side has found much rhythm in the opposition half.
Minnesota Vikings @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Minnesota VikingsSquawka61%Market53%▲ Value
Tampa Bay BuccaneersSquawka39%Market47%▼ Slight laySquawka Signal is our model’s read against devigged market prices, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 21+. Play responsibly. Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX.
Vikings vs Buccaneers: our editor’s props
Two editorial calls to sit alongside the live Signal numbers on this page.
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Vikings vs Buccaneers: 2026 form so far
Two sides defined by their defenses and let down by their finishing. The table sets each attack against what the other defense has allowed.
Vikings attack against the Buccaneers defense
| Per game | Vikings offense | Buccaneers allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 129.5 | 234.0 |
| Rushing yards | 113.0 | 75.0 |
| Yards per carry | 3.6 | 3.0 |
| Passer rating | 92.4 | 105.4 |
| Touchdowns | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| Third-down conversion | 39.3% | 48.1% |
| Red-zone conversion | 80.0% | 37.5% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 3.0 | 1.5 |
Buccaneers attack against the Vikings defense
| Per game | Buccaneers offense | Vikings allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 184.5 | 258.0 |
| Rushing yards | 113.0 | 100.0 |
| Yards per carry | 5.0 | 3.8 |
| Passer rating | 86.6 | 75.6 |
| Touchdowns | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| Third-down conversion | 46.2% | 29.6% |
| Red-zone conversion | 37.5% | 14.3% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 3.5 | 4.0 |
Read these as a 2-game sample rather than settled form. Rates this early move a long way on one result.
Minnesota have conceded 25 points in two games, the fourth-best mark in the league. Tampa Bay are converting 37.5% of their red-zone trips, which is why two narrow defeats rather than two narrow wins.
Vikings vs Buccaneers injury report and team news
Minnesota beat Chicago 9-3 without scoring a touchdown, having gone four from four in the red zone against Green Bay a week earlier.
Baker Mayfield completed 21 of 34 for 182 yards with a touchdown and an interception against Cleveland, and Tampa Bay were one from four in the red zone.
This section updates as soon as the Out, Doubtful and Questionable tags land.
Minnesota VikingsTampa Bay BuccaneersWhere Vikings vs Buccaneers is decided
Minnesota’s defense travels. Twenty-five points conceded in two games, a 75.6 passer rating allowed and six sacks, which is why a nine-point afternoon was still a win.
Tampa Bay run the ball better than anyone gives them credit for, at 5.0 a carry with Bucky Irving averaging over five. Minnesota have conceded 3.8.
Consequently the red zone settles it again. Both sides are below 40% on their own trips, and whoever converts first is likely to stay in front.
Players to watch
- Justin Jefferson (MIN, WR): Minnesota’s primary target in a passing game averaging 129.5 yards.
- Minnesota pass rush (MIN, DEF): Eight sacks in two games, with 15 quarterback hits against Green Bay.
- Bucky Irving (TB, RB): 17 carries for 89 yards against Cleveland.
- Baker Mayfield (TB, QB): 182 yards, a touchdown and an interception in Week 2.
How to watch Vikings vs Buccaneers
Kickoff is 4:05 PM ET on Sunday, September 27 at Raymond James Stadium, which is 3:05 PM CT and 1:05 PM PT. FOX has the regional broadcast.
| Detail | Vikings vs Buccaneers |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, September 27, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 4:05 PM ET / 3:05 PM CT / 1:05 PM PT |
| Venue | Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL |
| TV | FOX |
| Live stream | NFL+ / Fox One |
| Week | Week 3, 2026 NFL season |
Vikings vs Buccaneers prediction and score projection
Our Vikings vs Buccaneers prediction is a Minnesota win, 20-17. The Vikings defense is the best thing in the game and Tampa Bay keep losing these by a score.
The live win probability and the model’s projected margin update on this page through the week.
Every Week 3 game, previewed
| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8:15 PM | Falcons @ Packers | Packers 23-10 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Panthers @ Browns | Panthers 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Bengals @ Steelers | Bengals 20-13 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Texans @ Colts | Colts 26-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Chiefs @ Dolphins | Chiefs 31-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Chargers @ Bills | Bills 31-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Patriots @ Jaguars | Patriots 20-16 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Jets @ Lions | Lions 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Seahawks @ Commanders | Seahawks 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Titans @ Giants | Titans 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 4:05 PM | Cardinals @ 49ers | 49ers 30-13 | Read |
| Sun 4:05 PM | Vikings @ Buccaneers | Vikings 20-17 | You are here |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Ravens @ Cowboys | Ravens 30-24 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Raiders @ Saints | Raiders 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 8:20 PM | Rams @ Broncos | Rams 26-17 | Read |
| Mon 8:15 PM | Eagles @ Bears | Eagles 24-20 | Read |
Every fixture in the round is covered across our NFL hub, and Signal rates every game on the NFL picks page.
Vikings vs Buccaneers FAQ
Minnesota, despite playing away. The Vikings are 2-0 and have conceded 25 points; Tampa Bay are 0-2 with two narrow defeats.
4:05 PM ET on Sunday, September 27, at Raymond James Stadium.
Yes. They beat Chicago 9-3 in Week 2 on field goals alone, and have five touchdowns across the season.
Minnesota won 9-3 at Chicago. Tampa Bay lost 23-19 at home to Cleveland.
21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER | Signal probabilities and odds approximate at time of writing and subject to change