Bengals vs Steelers Prediction, Picks & Odds

Our Bengals vs Steelers prediction is a defensive game by both teams’ choosing and their own limitations. Squawka Signal’s live read on this game, including where the value sits, updates on this page through the week.

The Cincinnati Bengals have not conceded a passing touchdown in two games and have eight sacks. The Pittsburgh Steelers have scored two touchdowns all season and converted 20% of their third downs. Points are going to be difficult to come by at Acrisure Stadium.

Squawka Signal · Model vs market

Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers

Week 3 · Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ET. Our Signal model makes the Cincinnati Bengals favorites by about 1 point, a 51% win probability.

Cincinnati BengalsSquawka51%Market63%▼ Overpriced

Pittsburgh SteelersSquawka49%Market37%▲ Strong value

Projected lineCincinnati Bengals -1

Against the spreadPittsburgh Steelers +3.5 — model Cincinnati Bengals -1 vs market Cincinnati Bengals -3.5

ValuePittsburgh Steelers — model 49% vs market 37%

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Squawka Signal is our model’s read against devigged market prices, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 21+. Play responsibly. Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX.

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Week 3 · Editorial pick

Bengals vs Steelers: our editor’s props

Two editorial calls to sit alongside the live Signal numbers on this page.

AT

Our props

Team totalPittsburgh under 17.5 pointsThe Steelers have two touchdowns in two games, a 70.4 passer rating and 20% on third down. Cincinnati have conceded no passing scores and taken eight sacks.

★★★★☆4/5 confidence

Player propJa’Marr Chase 1+ receiving touchdownChase caught seven for 75 and two scores at Houston. Pittsburgh have conceded one touchdown pass and hold opponents to a 63.7 rating, so this is the harder half.

★★★☆☆3/5 confidence

An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Bengals vs Steelers: 2026 form so far

Two defenses in good order and two offenses that are not. The table sets each attack against what the other defense has actually allowed.

Bengals attack against the Steelers defense

Steelers attack against the Bengals defense

Read these as a 2-game sample rather than settled form. Rates this early move a long way on one result.

Cincinnati have conceded no passing touchdowns; Pittsburgh have allowed one and taken three interceptions. Neither offense has passed 20% on third down with any consistency.

Bengals vs Steelers injury report and team news

Joe Burrow completed 20 of 31 for 207 yards and two touchdowns at Houston, and Ja’Marr Chase caught both of them.

Aaron Rodgers threw for 187 yards with an interception at New England and was sacked four times as Pittsburgh scored three points.

This section updates as soon as the Out, Doubtful and Questionable tags land.

Injury report · Week 3Official game-status report — updates through the week

Cincinnati Bengals

No game-status designations filed yet.

Out long-term

Ja’Sir TaylorCBIR

Brian Parker IIGIR

Pittsburgh Steelers

No game-status designations filed yet.

Out long-term

Logan LeeDLIR

Jack DriscollOTIR

DeShon ElliottSAFIR

Donte KentCBPUP

Where Bengals vs Steelers is decided

Pittsburgh’s offense is the weak point in a game full of them. Two touchdowns in two games, a 70.4 passer rating and one third down in five converted across the season.

Cincinnati are not exactly flying either, with five touchdowns and 50% in the red zone, but Joe Burrow has thrown three scores to Pittsburgh’s one.

Consequently the pass rush decides the margin. Cincinnati have eight sacks and four forced fumbles; Pittsburgh have seven sacks and three interceptions.

Players to watch

• Joe Burrow (CIN, QB): 207 yards and two touchdowns at Houston.
• Ja’Marr Chase (CIN, WR): Seven catches for 75 yards and two scores in Week 2.
• Aaron Rodgers (PIT, QB): 187 yards and an interception at New England, sacked four times.
• Jaylen Warren (PIT, RB): 43 rushing and 34 receiving yards in Week 2.

How to watch Bengals vs Steelers

Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, September 27 at Acrisure Stadium, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT. CBS has the regional broadcast.

Bengals vs Steelers prediction and score projection

Our Bengals vs Steelers prediction is a Cincinnati win, 20-13. Both defenses are good enough to keep this low, and the Bengals have the only quarterback in the game moving the ball.

The live win probability and the model’s projected margin update on this page through the week.

Every Week 3 game, previewed

Every fixture in the round is covered across our NFL hub, and Signal rates every game on the NFL picks page.

Bengals vs Steelers FAQ

21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER | Signal probabilities and odds approximate at time of writing and subject to change