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Romania odds to win Euro 2024: Probability, path to final, tactics, stats & full squad

By Squawka News

Romania odds to win Euro 2024: Probability, path to final, tactics, stats & full squad

Published: 0:11, 5 April 2024 | Updated: 15:27, 22 April 2024

After missing out on Euro 2020, Romania are preparing for the European Championships this summer looking to make it out of the groups for just the second time in their history. 

The Tricolorii have already featured at the Euros five times since 1984 having failed to qualify previously and in 2000, they logged their best performance by beating England 3-2 to finish above the Three Lions and Germany, finishing second only to Portugal in the ‘group of death’. That remains their only victory at the tournament, going out in the groups in both 2008 and 2016 since that glorious result in Charleroi, while they missed out entirely in 2004, 2012 and 2020.

Romania did brilliantly to make it to Germany this summer, going unbeaten in 10 Group I matches to finish above the likes of Switzerland and Israel. They’ll now hope to use that momentum to cause a shock at the tournament.

Latest Romania odds to win Euro 2024

Betting Market Odds Probability
Romania to win Euro 2024 200/1 with Bet365 0.5%
Romania to reach Euro 2024 semi-finals 20/1 with BetVictor 4.8%
Romania to win Group E 6/1 with BoyleSports 14.3%
George Puscas to win Golden Boot 200/1 with Parimatch 0.5%

Romania route to the Euro 2024 final in Berlin

Group stage fixtures

  • Ukraine (17 June 2024, 3pm, Allianz Arena)
  • Belgium (22 June 2024, 9pm, RheinEnergieStadion)
  • Slovakia (26 June 2024, 6pm, Waldstadion)

Romania’s potential knockout stage opponents

On the face of it, Romania have been drawn into a rather favourable group. Yes, Belgium also occupy a spot in Group E, but after going unbeaten in qualifying, Romania will see Slovakia and Ukraine as very winnable matches. Their most likely route is finishing second and should they do that, they’ll meet the Group D runner-up in the last 16. Immediately, things could get much trickier, with that opponent likely to be either the Netherlands or France, with Austria also a very real possibility. Make it past that substantial challenge and Romania’s most likely route through the tournament would then most likely be Portugal in the quarter-finals, followed by any one of Germany, Spain, Italy or Croatia in the semi-finals, and then England, Belgium, or one of the Group B/D teams they haven’t already faced (France, Netherlands, Spain, Italy, Croatia) in the final.

There is also the possibility of Romania going through as a third-place team, which opens up a whole host of potential ties. The only guarantee there is they’d face a group winner in the last 16.

Romania key players for this year’s European Championship

Romania top Euros Golden Boot contender: George Puscas

  • Key stat: Puscas is one of just two players from Romania’s most recent squad to score double-figure senior international goals, netting 11 times in 41 caps.

George Puscas has had a tough last couple of years at club level, scoring just six goals in 48 appearances across all competitions since the start of last season. He also managed just one goal during qualifying for the Euros. However, he remains arguably Romania’s most potent attacking threat given his record of 11 goals in 41 caps to date. After a long international drought dating back to autumn 2022, Puscas finally got back on the scoresheet toward the end of Romania’s qualifying campaign, equalising in an eventual 2-1 comeback win over Israel in November last year; hopefully a sign he can be the spearhead in Germany this summer.

Romania primary playmaker: Olimpiu Morutan

  • Key stat: Only five players provided more assists than Olimpiu Morutan (4) throughout the whole of Euro 2024 qualifying.

Without Morutan, Romania simply wouldn’t have qualified for Euro 2024. The Ankaragucu winger didn’t score any goals during the campaign to make the tournament but he was one of qualifying’s most productive creators, providing four assists; only five players managed more.

Two of those were in a 2-2 draw against Switzerland, while another came against the same opponent in a 1-0 win. And that was all after laying one up against Andorra earlier in the campaign. Can Morutan provide similar service in Germany this summer?

Romania card magnets & top tacklers: Radu Dragusin

  • Key stat: Radu Dragusin was booked twice during Euro 2024 qualifying, committing 10 fouls along the way.

English fans will already be familiar with Radu Dragusin, who joined Tottenham from Genoa just a few months ago. He’s still getting used to the pace of the Premier League but in Germany this summer, he’ll be vital to his country’s chances. Dragusin will carry a huge defensive burden and to keep up, he may have to bend the rules a little and commit the odd tactical foul, making him a likely candidate for yellow cards and stern words from referees.

Romania rising star: Radu Dragusin

Dragusin was also the youngest player in Romania’s most recent squad. Given his Premier League status and history in Serie A with Genoa, Sampdoria and Juventus, he represents one of the greatest Romanian hopes of becoming a long-term star. Euro 2024 could be his launchpad.

Romania set-piece specialists

  • Penalties: George Puscas
  • Free kicks: Olimpiu Morutan
  • Corners: Olimpiu Morutan

Romania tactical analysis and formation

Romania team stats from qualifying (average per game):

  • Corners in qualifying: 4.9
  • Shots on target: 5.0
  • Offsides: 1.70

Edward Iordănescu is an incredibly experienced manager in Eastern European circles, even if he’s not a household name for most. He’ll look to provide his players with consistency and stick with the tactics that got Romania here. That means something close to a 4-2-3-1 with a solid defensive base — they only conceded five goals during qualifying — and a potent counter attack.

Romania’s latest squad

Florin Nita Goalkeeper 36 Gaziantep
Horatiu Moldovan Goalkeeper 26 Atletico Madrid
Stefan Tarnovanu Goalkeeper 23 FCSB
Mihai Aioani Goalkeeper 24 Rapid Bucharest
Andrei Burca Defender 30 Al-Okhdood
Ionut Nedelcearu Defender 27 Palermo
Cristian Manea Defender 26 CFR Cluj
Adrian Rus Defender 28 Pafos
Andrei Ratiu Defender 25 Rayo Vallecano
Deian Sorescu Defender 26 Gaziantep
Radu Dragusin Defender 22 Tottenham
Vasile Mogos Defender 31 CFR Cluj
Raul Oprut Defender 26 Hermannstadt
Bogdan Racovitan Defender 23 Rakow Czestochowa
Nicolae Stanciu Midfielder 30 Damac
Razvan Marin Midfielder 27 Empoli
Alexandru Cicaldau Midfielder 26 Konyaspor
Ianis Hagi Midfielder 25 Alaves
Dennis Man Midfielder 25 Parma
Valentin Mihaila Midfielder 24 Parma
Darius Olaru Midfielder 26 FCSB
Marius Marin Midfielder 25 Pisa
Olimpiu Morutan Midfielder 24 Ankaragucu
Florinel Coman Midfielder 25 FCSB
Denis Dragus Midfielder 24 Gaziantep
Adrian Sut Midfielder 24 FCSB
George Puscas Forward 27 Bari
Denis Alibec Forward 33 Muaither
Florin Tanase Forward 29 Al-Okhdood

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