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Slovakia odds to win Euro 2024: Probability, path to final, tactics, stats & full squad

By Mohamed Moallim

Published: 17:00, 30 March 2024 | Updated: 22:47, 3 April 2024

This summer, Slovakia will make a third European Championship appearance.

As part of Czechoslovakia, they famously became champions in 1976, but since independence, their best finish has been a Round of 16 run in 2016.

They are a firm underdog, led by Francesco Calzona, who is simultaneously coaching Napoli. However, having been drawn into a less strenuous group and with four of the best third-place teams going through, Slovakia shouldn’t be daunted.

Latest Slovakia odds to win Euro 2024

Betting Market Odds Probability
Slovakia to win Euro 2024 500/1 with Bet365 0.2%
Slovakia to reach Euro 2024 semi-finals 40/1 with BetVictor 2.4%
Slovakia to win Group E 8/1 with BetVictor 11.1%
Róbert Bozeník to win Golden Boot TBC TBC

Slovakia route to the Euro 2024 final in Berlin

Group stage fixtures

  • Belgium (17 June 2024, 5pm, Waldstadion)
  • Ukraine (21 June 2024, 2pm, Merkur Spiel-Arena)
  • Romania (26 June 2024, 5pm, Waldstadion)

Slovakia potential knockout stage opponents

Slovakia will advance to the knockout stage if they finish in the top two positions of its group. If they win Group E, they will face a third-placed team from Group A, B, C, or D. If they come second in Group E, they will play against the second-placed team from Group D, which includes France, the Netherlands, Austria, Poland, and Wales. If Slovakia wins their group, they will face an easier opponent in the round of 16. They could face France, Netherlands, Austria, Poland, or Wales if they finish second. If Slovakia advances from the round of 16, they will face the winner of Group D or the runner-up of Group F in the quarter-finals. If they win the quarter-finals, they will face England in the semi-finals. Slovakia could face Germany, Spain, or Italy if they reach the final.

Slovakia key players for this year’s European Championship

Slovakia top Euros Golden Boot contender: Róbert Bozeník

  • Key stat: No one eligible to represent Slovakia has scored more goals across Europe’s top seven leagues in 2023/24 than Róbert Boženík (8).

Lukáš Haraslín finished as the leading Slovakia goalscorer in their qualifying program. Haraslín, expected to line on the left flank of Calzona’s formation, will feel confident adding to his international figures this summer. However, Róbert Bozeník should lead Slovakia’s attack, which could pause opposition defences. Even though he posted one meagre strike in the run-up to this summer’s tournament, Bozeník, who previously represented Fortuna Düsseldorf and Feyenoord, has a modest six goals for his country but is nonetheless enjoying a productive season with Boavista.

Bozeník started like wildfire, netting five goals across his opening five league outings before enduring a run of three strikes in 20 games. He still has the opportunity to end the 2023/24 season on a solid note. Currently languishing in Portugal’s mid-table, Boavista has eight Primeira Liga matches remaining, half of which are at home, where the bulk of Bozeník’s goals (six) have come.

Slovakia primary playmaker: Ondrej Duda

  • Key stat: No one eligible to represent Slovakia has created more chances across Europe’s top seven leagues in 2023/24 than Ondrej Duda (43).

A very versatile footballer, Ondrej Duda, who has played in no fewer than nine different positions across midfield and the front line, is enjoying another productive season. Those have been few and far between in recent years. He would go three seasons before 2023/24 without creating a goal. His three assists are half the best he’s returned in a single top-five league campaign. It could have been more if his Verona teammates had been more clinical in front of the goal. Duda also finished with two assists in Slovakia’s qualifying campaign, which proved to be one fewer than Feyenoord defender Dávid Hancko.

Slovakia card magnets & top tacklers: Norbert Gyömbér

  • Key stat: No one eligible to represent Slovakia has received more yellow cards across Europe’s top seven leagues in 2023/24 than Norbert Gyömbér (9).

Regarding ill-disciple, Peter Pekarík and Patrik Hrošovský were Slovakia’s guilty parties, receiving three yellow cards during their qualifying campaign. However, in Europe’s top seven leagues, where many of Calzona’s players are found, Norbert Gyömbér has consistently drawn the ire of referees with his nine cautions. He may very well count himself unlucky, as those bookings are part of 29 fouls committed, which is fewer than Tomás Suslov (34), Duda (43) and Róbert Bozeník (58).

Slovakia rising star: Tomás Suslov

Speaking of Suslov, he’s part of the next crop of talents. His four assists are the most by a Slovakian playing across Europe’s top five leagues. Playing for the same club as Duda, he’s way back on 21 chances created. Having come through Groningen’s academy, Suslov permanently left the Eredivisie for Serie A this past winter, as he’d been on loan at Verona since last summer. Debuting for the national team at age 18 in 2020, he’s since gone on to amass 26 international appearances, subsequently creating three goals and scoring two more.

Slovakia set-piece specialists

  • Penalties: Ondrej Duda
  • Free kicks: Ondrej Duda
  • Corners: Róbert Mak

Slovakia tactical analysis and formation

Slovakia team stats from qualifying (average per game):

  • Corners in qualifying: 7.3
  • Corners conceded: 3.5
  • Shots on target: 3.8
  • Shots on target conceded: 3.8
  • Offsides: 2.7

Although they were not featured in Slovakia’s latest international squad, Martin Dúbravka and Milan Škriniar, barring any unforeseen circumstances, will be part of Calzona’s starting lineup when they kick-start their Euro 2024 campaign. Stanislav Lobotka, already working under Calzona at club level, should anchor Slovakia’s midfield. The interim Napoli boss is an orthodox 4-3-3 discipline, having exclusively fielded that system following his appointment. What then matters is the personnel that are fielded within, as there are several options to hug Slovakia’s flank and keep Lobotka company in the engine room.

Slovakia latest squad

Marek Rodák Goalkeeper 27 Fulham
Henrich Ravas Goalkeeper 26 New England Revolution
Dominik Takáč Goalkeeper 25 Spartak Trnava
Peter Pekarík Defender 37 Hertha BSC
Norbert Gyömbér Defender 31 Salernitana
Dávid Hancko Defender 26 Feyenoord
Ľubomír Šatka Defender 28 Samsunspor
Denis Vavro Defender 27 FC Copenhagen
Vernon De Marco Defender 31 Hatta
Michal Tomič Defender 25 Slavia Prague
Matúš Kmeť Defender 23 AS Trenčín
Adam Obert Defender 21 Cagliari
Juraj Kucka Midfielder 37 Slovan Bratislava
Ondrej Duda Midfielder 29 Hellas Verona
Patrik Hrošovský Midfielder 31 Genk
Stanislav Lobotka Midfielder 29 Napoli
László Bénes Midfielder 26 Hamburg
Erik Jirka Midfielder 26 Viktoria Plzeň
Jakub Kadák Midfielder 23 Luzern
Dominik Hollý Midfielder 20 AS Trenčín
Róbert Mak Forward 33 Sydney FC
Róbert Boženík Forward 24 Boavista
Lukáš Haraslín Forward 27 Sparta Prague
Tomáš Suslov Forward 21 Hellas Verona
Ivan Schranz Forward 30 Sparta Prague
David Strelec Forward 22 Slovan Bratislava
Dávid Ďuriš Forward 25 Ascoli
Róbert Polievka Forward 27 Dukla Banská Bystrica
Ľubomír Tupta Forward 26 Slovan Liberec
Leo Sauer Forward 18 Feyenoord

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