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Squawka / NFL News / Dolphins vs Jets Prediction & Tips: Week 7

Dolphins vs Jets Prediction & Tips: Week 7

Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets prediction, picks and odds for Week 7 of the 2026 NFL season

Miami have scored seven touchdowns in five games and recorded four sacks. Both are the lowest figures in the NFL, and our Dolphins vs Jets prediction finds them at MetLife.

The New York Jets are 2-4 and finish 37.5% of their red-zone trips, the worst rate in the league. The Miami Dolphins are 0-5 at -62.

Week 7 · Editorial pick

Dolphins vs Jets: our editor’s props

Two editor’s calls on this game, alongside the live Signal numbers.

Dolphins AT Jets

Our props

Player propGeno Smith 1+ passing touchdownSmith has seven touchdown passes to one interception. Miami concede a 115.0 opponent rating, the second-highest in the NFL, and have four sacks all season.
★★★★☆4/5 confidence
TotalUnder 41.5 pointsNew York finish 37.5% of red-zone trips and Miami 46.2%, the two lowest rates in the league. Miami have scored seven touchdowns in five games.
★★★☆☆3/5 confidence

An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 18+ | BeGambleAware.org

Dolphins vs Jets: 2026 form so far

An 0-5 team against a 2-4 one, and neither finishes drives. Read the table across rather than down: each figure sits beside what will try to stop it.

Dolphins attack against the Jets defence

Per gameDolphins offenceJets allow
Passing yards153.6185.0
Rushing yards126.6123.0
Yards per carry4.94.2
Passer rating68.493.1
Touchdowns1.42.2
Third-down conversion41.3%37.7%
Red-zone conversion46.2%50.0%
Sacks conceded / recorded2.82.8

Jets attack against the Dolphins defence

Per gameJets offenceDolphins allow
Passing yards196.2219.2
Rushing yards94.5110.6
Yards per carry3.63.7
Passer rating101.8115.0
Touchdowns1.83.0
Third-down conversion35.1%51.7%
Red-zone conversion37.5%63.6%
Sacks conceded / recorded3.20.8

Figures are season to date, across 5 games.

New York convert 37.5% in the red zone and Miami 46.2%, the two lowest rates in the NFL, in the same game.

Dolphins vs Jets quarterback matchup

Geno Smith has seven touchdown passes to one interception at 101.8. Malik Willis has two to four at 68.4.

TeamQuarterbackLast gameSeason to date
DolphinsMalik Willis15/27, 137 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT, 51.0 rtg73/130, 849 yds, 2 TD, 4 INT, 68.4 rtg (5 games)
JetsGeno Smith20/30, 252 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT, 89.9 rtg122/177, 1336 yds, 7 TD, 1 INT, 101.8 rtg (6 games)
Last game is Week 6 (Week 5 for Miami, who was idle). Season figures are 2026 to date, with games played in brackets.

Dolphins vs Jets injury report and team news

Miami have scored seven touchdowns in five games, fewer than any team in the NFL.

Miami’s defence has recorded four sacks all season, also the fewest in the league.

New York finish 37.5% of their red-zone trips, the lowest rate in football.

Two attacks that cannot finish

Thirty-seven and a half per cent for New York, 46.2% for Miami. Those are the two worst red-zone rates in the NFL and they meet here.

Miami’s wider numbers are worse: seven touchdowns, a 68.4 passer rating and four sacks as a defence are each the lowest figure in the league.

The Jets do one thing well. Geno Smith has thrown seven touchdown passes to a single interception, and Miami concede a 115.0 opponent rating.

Players to watch

  • Geno Smith (NYJ, QB): Seven touchdown passes to one interception at 101.8.
  • Garrett Wilson (NYJ, WR): The first read in a passing game rating 101.8.
  • Ollie Gordon II (MIA, RB): Fronts the one Miami phase that works, at 4.87 a carry.
  • Malik Washington (MIA, WR): A target in an attack with seven touchdowns all season.

How to watch Dolphins vs Jets

Kickoff is 5pm GMT on Sunday 25 October at MetLife Stadium, which is 1:00 PM ET. Channel 5 and 5ACTION show selected games free-to-air each Sunday, and those are not affected by the blackout. Check their listings for this week’s picks. Sky Sports has the UK coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky takes one exclusive pick from each of the two Sunday afternoon windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.

DetailDolphins vs Jets
DateSunday, October 25, 2026
Kickoff5.00pm GMT Sun 25 Oct / 1:00 PM ET
VenueMetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
TVSky Sports
Live streamNFL Game Pass (DAZN)
WeekWeek 7, 2026 NFL season

Dolphins vs Jets prediction and score projection

Our Dolphins vs Jets prediction is New York by 20-16. The Jets are ordinary, but seven touchdowns in five games is hard to argue past.

The win probability for this game moves as the designations land.

Every Week 7 game, previewed

Kickoff (BST)GameOur predictionPreview
Fri 1:15 AMPatriots @ BearsPatriots 24-21Read
Sun 2:30 PMSteelers @ SaintsSteelers 27-20Read
Sun 6:00 PMBengals @ RavensRavens 27-23Read
Sun 6:00 PMBrowns @ TitansBrowns 20-16Read
Sun 6:00 PMColts @ VikingsVikings 27-13Read
Sun 6:00 PMDolphins @ JetsJets 20-16You are here
Sun 6:00 PMGiants @ TexansTexans 23-17Read
Sun 6:00 PM49ers @ Falcons49ers 30-20Read
Sun 6:00 PMBuccaneers @ PanthersPanthers 24-20Read
Sun 9:05 PMBroncos @ CardinalsBroncos 26-17Read
Sun 9:25 PMPackers @ LionsLions 27-24Read
Sun 9:25 PMRams @ RaidersRams 27-23Read
Mon 1:20 AMChiefs @ SeahawksChiefs 24-23Read
Tue 1:15 AMCowboys @ EaglesEagles 23-20Read

Every fixture in the round is covered across our NFL UK hub, and the 32 club pages sit on the NFL teams hub.

Dolphins vs Jets FAQ

What time is Dolphins vs Jets in the UK?

5pm GMT on Sunday 25 October at MetLife Stadium, which is 1:00 PM ET.

How can I watch Dolphins vs Jets in the UK?

Sky Sports has the coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky holds one exclusive pick in each of the two Sunday afternoon windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Channel 5 and 5ACTION carry the week’s free-to-air games, and those are not blacked out.

Which team has scored fewest touchdowns?

Miami, with seven in five games.

How poor is the Jets’ red-zone offence?

They convert 37.5% of their trips, the worst rate in the league.

18+ | Please gamble responsibly | BeGambleAware.org | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change