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Squawka / News / World Cup / Canada vs Morocco: predictions, best bets, odds and stats

Canada vs Morocco: predictions, best bets, odds and stats

04 Jul · 18:00 NRG Stadium · FIFA World Cup

No previous meetings between these teams.

Goals
  • 1
    Morocco
    Ismael Saibari
    3
  • 2
    Canada
    Jonathan David
    3
  • 3
    Canada
    Cyle Larin
    2
  • 4
    Morocco
    Gessime Yassine
    1
  • 5
    Morocco
    Soufiane Rahimi
    1
Shots
  • 1
    Canada
    Jonathan David
    15
  • 2
    Morocco
    Achraf Hakimi
    13
  • 3
    Morocco
    Ismael Saibari
    10
  • 4
    Canada
    Cyle Larin
    9
  • 5
    Canada
    Tani Oluwaseyi
    6
Tackles Won
  • 1
    Morocco
    Neil El Aynaoui
    9
  • 2
    Canada
    Richie Laryea
    8
  • 3
    Morocco
    Achraf Hakimi
    7
  • 4
    Morocco
    Noussair Mazraoui
    7
  • 5
    Canada
    Luc De Fougerolles
    6
Assists
  • 1
    Morocco
    Brahim Díaz
    2
  • 2
    Canada
    Nathan Saliba
    2
  • 3
    Morocco
    Soufiane Rahimi
    1
  • 4
    Morocco
    Achraf Hakimi
    1
  • 5
    Morocco
    Chadi Riad
    1
Chances Created
  • 1
    Morocco
    Achraf Hakimi
    14
  • 2
    Canada
    Stephen Eustaquio
    9
  • 3
    Canada
    Alistair Johnston
    9
  • 4
    Morocco
    Azzedine Ounahi
    7
  • 5
    Morocco
    Brahim Díaz
    6
Passes Completed
  • 1
    Morocco
    Neil El Aynaoui
    307
  • 2
    Morocco
    Achraf Hakimi
    265
  • 3
    Morocco
    Chadi Riad
    214
  • 4
    Canada
    Stephen Eustaquio
    194
  • 5
    Morocco
    Issa Diop
    186
Take Ons Completed
  • 1
    Morocco
    Bilal El Khannouss
    7
  • 2
    Morocco
    Achraf Hakimi
    6
  • 3
    Morocco
    Brahim Díaz
    5
  • 4
    Morocco
    Azzedine Ounahi
    5
  • 5
    Canada
    Tajon Buchanan
    5
Interceptions
  • 1
    Morocco
    Neil El Aynaoui
    6
  • 2
    Canada
    Alistair Johnston
    6
  • 3
    Morocco
    Achraf Hakimi
    5
  • 4
    Morocco
    Chadi Riad
    4
  • 5
    Canada
    Nathan Saliba
    4
Canada Canada
  • Ismaël Koné Midfielder · Broken Leg · 2 | Out (0%)
  • Jacob Shaffelburg Attacker · Leg Injury · 1 | Questionable (50%)
  • Ali Ahmed Midfielder · Hamstring · 1 | Questionable (50%)
Morocco Morocco
  • Noussair Mazraoui Defender · Shoulder Injury
  • Chemsdine Talbi Attacker · Muscle Injury

No price boosts for this event.

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16
Crépeau
22
Laryea
13
Cornelius
04
De Fougerolles
02
Johnston
11
Millar
07
Eustaquio
25
Saliba
17
Buchanan
12
Oluwaseyi
10
David
11
Saibari
23
El Khannouss
08
Ounahi
10
Díaz
24
El Aynaoui
06
Bouaddi
26
Salah-Eddine
18
Riad
14
Diop
02
Hakimi
01
Bounou

League Standings table is not available yet.

Canada take on Morocco in the last 16 of the 2026 World Cup on Saturday. The game kicks-off at 6:00pm (UK time) in Houston, with Paraguay or France awaiting the winners in the quarter-final. Find our Canada bs Morocco predictions and best bets below.

Canada earned their place in the last 16 with a deserved 1-0 victory over South Africa. They now face Morocco, who continued their impressive World Cup campaign by knocking out the Netherlands on penalties after another disciplined defensive display.

Canada vs Morocco predictions

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Morocco to win5/6 @ Betfred
(54.5%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Morocco look overpriced to win this match inside 90 minutes. Walid Regragui’s side have already proved they can compete with the tournament’s strongest teams after holding both Brazil and the Netherlands during the group stage, while they also possess far greater quality and experience than Canada. Reaching the last 16 is already an outstanding achievement for Canada, but Morocco have the tools to take control of this tie and progress to the quarter-finals without needing extra time.
Richie Laryea17/5 @ Spreadex
(22.7%)
⭐⭐Richie Laryea has avoided the referee’s notebook so far, but Morocco will provide his toughest challenge of the tournament. Achraf Hakimi and Brahim Diaz regularly combine down the right flank and have already drawn 19 fouls between them across four World Cup matches. Laryea has committed more fouls than any other Canada player at this tournament, while his attacking instincts often leave space behind him. Up against Morocco’s dangerous right-sided pairing, Laryea to be shown a card stands out as a strong betting angle.

Odds correct at time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

How both teams go into Canada vs Morocco

Canada produced another memorable moment in the last 16, edging past South Africa thanks to Stephen Eustaquio’s dramatic stoppage-time winner. The Porto midfielder, who spent the second half of last season on loan at Los Angeles FC, struck in California to send his country into the quarter-finals for the first time in their history after they dominated large spells of the contest.

Jesse Marsch’s side continue to impress with their relentless pressing and attacking intensity. They have now scored in six consecutive matches and created constant problems for South Africa before finally finding the breakthrough. However, Canada now face their toughest test yet against Morocco, a side they have never beaten in four previous meetings.

Morocco booked their place in the last 16 after overcoming the Netherlands on penalties following a disciplined defensive display. Walid Regragui’s side had chances to win before the shootout, but Bart Verbruggen produced several important saves. The Atlas Lions eventually held their nerve from the spot to continue another impressive World Cup campaign.

The African side continue to build on their remarkable run to the semi-finals four years ago. Morocco have now gone nine matches without defeat in all competitions and remain one of the tournament’s most organised teams. They also dominated possession against the Netherlands, completing more than 800 passes, and will head into this tie full of confidence after another statement result.

Canada team news

Canada received a major boost when Alphonso Davies returned from injury as a substitute in the win over South Africa. Although the captain looked sharp after coming on, Jesse Marsch may decide against throwing him straight back into the starting XI and instead use his pace from the bench. That would allow Richie Laryea to keep his place at left-back, while Maxime Crepeau starts behind a settled back four featuring Alistair Johnston, Derek Cornelius and the fit again Moise Bombito.

Stephen Eustaquio will continue to lead the side from midfield alongside Nathan Saliba, while Tajon Buchanan and Liam Millar provide width on the flanks. Jonathan David is set to spearhead the attack and could be reunited with Cyle Larin, who is pushing to return after Tani Oluwaseyi started in the previous round.

Morocco team news

Chadi Riad picked up a knock against the Netherlands but is expected to be fit enough to keep his place in Morocco’s defence. That could allow Mohamed Ouahbi to name an unchanged starting XI, having relied on the same core group throughout most of the tournament. Issa Diop should continue alongside Riad in central defence, while Achraf Hakimi and Noussair Mazraoui occupy the full-back positions. Yassine Bounou will once again start between the posts.

Further forward, Ismael Saibari is set to lead the attack after an encouraging World Cup campaign. Azzedine Ounahi should operate behind the striker, with Brahim Diaz and Bilal El Khannouss providing creativity from the flanks. Neil El Aynaoui and Ayyoub Bouaddi are expected to retain their places in the heart of midfield as Morocco look to control possession and dictate the tempo.

Head-to-head

DateCompetitionResult
1 December 2022World CupCanada 1-2 Morocco
11 October 2016FriendlyMorocco 4-0 Canada
1 June 1994FriendlyCanada 1-1 Morocco
24 October 1984FriendlyMorocco 3-2 Canada

Morocco to Marsch into the quarter-finals

Canada’s aggressive pressing worked against South Africa, but the same approach could leave too much space for Morocco’s technically gifted attackers. The Atlas Lions have repeatedly punished teams that overcommit and possess the quality to take control of this tie. Morocco to win in 90 minutes at 5/6 with Betfred looks like the standout betting option.

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