Tottenham and Newcastle meet in a mid-table Premier League encounter that promises attacking intent but also highlights each side’s underlying vulnerabilities.
With both teams locked on 35 goals scored this season and separated by just four points in the table, the stakes are high to regain momentum. Kick-off is at 19:30 on Tuesday 10 February at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, where a recent spate of close encounters adds intrigue to this tactical battle.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on season-long trends and recent head-to-heads, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in Newcastle to edge this encounter based on their superior expected goals, attacking sharpness, and recent away form against Spurs.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle to Win | 7/5 @ BetMGM (41.7%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | We’re backing Newcastle to win due to their higher shot volume, superior xG (39.91 vs 29.02), and a positive recent away record at this ground. Spurs have won just 28% of their league matches, while Newcastle’s direct style has troubled them – winning three of their last four away visits in all competitions. |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 11/10 @ BetMGM (47.6%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | There could be value here due to both sides’ recent tendency to cancel each other out – three of the last six meetings went under this line. Despite their attacking stats, both teams’ shot conversion rate lags behind their xG, and Spurs’ home games have seen a drop in output lately. |
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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Tottenham vs Newcastle match odds
How both teams head into Tottenham vs Newcastle
It has been a season of turmoil and crisis for Tottenham, who are languishing in fifteenth place in the Premier League with just twenty-nine points. The summer saw seismic changes, with manager Ange Postecoglou sacked, club captain Son Heung-min departing for LA FC, and chairman Daniel Levy resigning after nearly twenty-five years.
New boss Thomas Frank has endured a nightmare start, with Spurs winning just two of their twelve home league games. Their form on the road has been better, but it provides little comfort. Richarlison leads the scoring charts with a meagre seven goals, a symptom of a side struggling for identity and confidence. Fans will be desperately hoping for a swift turnaround to avoid an unthinkable relegation battle.
It has been a mixed season for Newcastle United, who find themselves in twelfth place in the Premier League with thirty-three points. Under Eddie Howe, the Magpies have been formidable at St James’ Park, securing seven of their nine league wins on home turf. However, their away form has been a real Achilles’ heel, with just two victories on the road.
Brazilian midfielder Bruno Guimarães has been the standout performer, leading the standings with nine goals and four assists. The Toon Army have also enjoyed a thrilling run to the semi-finals of the EFL Cup and are still competing in the Champions League knockout phase. While league consistency has been an issue, the cup competitions have provided plenty of excitement for the Geordie faithful.
Tottenham team news
Tottenham are in the midst of a full-blown injury crisis ahead of their clash with Newcastle, with up to eleven players unavailable. Key defender Cristian Romero is suspended for four matches after his red card against Manchester United. He joins a lengthy injury list that includes Destiny Udogie, Pedro Porro, Richarlison, and James Maddison, who are all out. Djed Spence is a doubt with a calf problem, but manager Thomas Frank expects no returning players.
Newcastle team news
Newcastle have received a timely boost ahead of their trip to face a depleted Tottenham side. Key midfielder Joelinton is confirmed to be out, but both Anthony Gordon (hamstring) and Lewis Miley (leg) are a doubt and will face late fitness tests. Manager Eddie Howe is hopeful the pair will be available, which would be a significant lift for a Magpies team that has won just one of their last eight matches in all competitions.
Season Form & Standings
Newcastle sit 12th with 33 points from 25 matches (9W, 6D, 10L), while Tottenham are 15th on 29 points (7W, 8D, 10L). Both have scored 35 goals, but Newcastle have conceded one more (36) than Spurs (35). Newcastle’s slightly higher pass accuracy and shot efficiency underline their marginal edge, though both are searching for consistency.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | 12 | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 33 |
| Tottenham | 15 | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 29 |
Head-to-Head: Last 6 Meetings
The last six meetings between these sides have produced closely contested results, with Newcastle edging Spurs three times, Tottenham winning twice, and one ending in a draw. Both sides have scored 30 goals each in the last 18 head-to-heads, reflecting the even nature of this fixture.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 02/12/25 | Newcastle 2-2 Tottenham | Premier League |
| 29/10/25 | Newcastle 2-0 Tottenham | League Cup |
| 04/01/25 | Tottenham 1-2 Newcastle | Premier League |
| 01/09/24 | Newcastle 2-1 Tottenham | Premier League |
| 13/04/24 | Newcastle 4-0 Tottenham | Premier League |
| 23/12/23 | Tottenham 2-1 Newcastle | Premier League |
Will Newcastle edge it again despite Spurs’ home advantage?
Newcastle arrive with the statistical edge and a strong recent record in this fixture, but Tottenham’s attacking talents – especially Kudus – can trouble any defence. With both teams capable of creating chances yet struggling for killer instinct, it could be a tight affair. For those looking for value, Newcastle to win at 7/5 (41.7%) with BetMGM stands out as our headline bet.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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