- Full Time
- 90 + 2'N. Valentini
- 84'M. Díaz
- 80'Carles Aleñá on for Ángel Pérez
- 80'N. Valentini on for V. Koski
- Sergio Camello73'
- 70'Y. Enríquez on for Jonny Otto
- 62'Denis Suárez on for Mikel Rodríguez
- 62'M. Díaz on for L. Boyé
- Dani Cárdenas on for A. Batalla60'
- Álvaro García on for Fran Pérez55'
- Óscar Valentín on for Pelayo Fernández55'
- Sergio Camello48'
- Half Time
- 45 + 2'N. Tenaglia
- Pelayo Fernández Goal disallowed36'
- Randy Nteka on for Isi Palazón17'
- Kick Off
-
1
Sergio Camello1 - 2
Mariano Díaz1
- 1Toni Martínez4
- 2Sergio Camello3
- 3Pablo Ibáñez3
- 1Jorge de Frutos3
- 2Andrei Ratiu2
- 3Óscar Valentín2
- 1Jorge de Frutos1
- 1Unai López5
- 2Toni Martínez2
- 3Denis Suárez2
- 1Antonio Blanco41
- 2Florian Lejeune41
- 3Unai López41
- 1Abde Rebbach4
- 2Ángel Pérez3
- 3Jorge de Frutos3
- 1Pathé Ciss3
- 2Antonio Blanco3
- 3Florian Lejeune2
Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves is a La Liga meeting at Vallecas on Thursday, with the hosts narrow favourites in a fixture that has produced few goals and plenty of Rayo wins.
Rayo have dominated recent meetings and have home advantage against a typically cautious Alaves. Andy Francis has the best bets, our score prediction and the head-to-head record below. The game kicks off at 7pm BST on Thursday, August 20th.
Premium Tips
Andy is leaning on the pattern of this fixture, with Rayo’s home record against Alaves and a history of tight, low-scoring games shaping the best bets.
| Premium Tip | Odds | Why we’re backing it |
|---|---|---|
| Player Shots – Unai Lopez – 2+ | 17/10 | Unai Lopez is Rayo’s deepest-lying midfield presence and one of the squad’s most reliable starters, racking up over 40 appearances last season with license to break forward. Against an Alaves side who typically sit deep and cede possession at Vallecas, Rayo’s central midfielders often become the main source of shots from range once the wide areas are congested. Lopez isn’t shy of pulling the trigger from distance, and with the hosts historically dominant in this fixture, sustained pressure should generate the volume needed for him to test the target twice. At 17/10, backing shot count over accuracy looks the smarter angle. |
| Isi Palazon 1+ shots on target, Aitor Manas 1+ shots on target and Jorge de Frutos 1+ shots on target | 24/5 | This bet builder leans on Rayo’s two most reliable wide outlets. Isi Palazon and Jorge de Frutos account for the bulk of Rayo’s shot volume from open play down the flanks, both comfortable cutting inside to shoot rather than always crossing, and both should see plenty of the ball against a typically deep Alaves block at Vallecas. Aitor Manas is the value angle: the young Alaves forward started their season opener and offers a genuine outlet on the counter when Alaves break. With threats covered on both sides of the pitch, 24/5 for all three to land a shot on target captures the game’s expected chance spread nicely. |
18+ only. Please gamble responsibly. GambleAware — gambleaware.org · Odds correct at time of publishing.
How Rayo Vallecano go into the game
Rayo Vallecano enjoyed a solid 2025-26, finishing eighth in La Liga on 50 points, though they managed only 41 goals in a low-scoring campaign. Vallecas remains an intense, awkward venue for visiting sides.
Rayo have won five of the last six league meetings with Alaves, including a 1-0 at home last season. Raul De Tomas leads the line, with Jorge de Frutos and Alvaro Garcia carrying the main threat from wide.
How Alaves go into the game
Alaves finished 14th last season on 43 points, with a leaky defence that shipped 56 goals their chief concern. They are typically well-drilled but short of firepower on their travels.
Lucas Boye and Alexandre Alemao lead the line, but Alaves have consistently struggled at Vallecas and will likely set up to contain. A hard-earned point would represent a decent night’s work.
Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves head-to-head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 | Alaves | 1-2 | Rayo Vallecano |
| 26/10/25 | Rayo Vallecano | 1-0 | Alaves |
| 29/03/25 | Alaves | 0-2 | Rayo Vallecano |
| 26/10/24 | Rayo Vallecano | 1-0 | Alaves |
| 10/03/24 | Alaves | 1-0 | Rayo Vallecano |
Rayo have owned this fixture, winning five of the last six meetings, with the games regularly low-scoring. Alaves’ only win in that run came at home in March 2024.
Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves predictions & betting tips
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano to win | 5/4 | ⭐⭐⭐ | Home edge and a firm grip on the head-to-head. |
| Under 2.5 goals | 4/9 | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | A low-scoring fixture by tradition. |
| Both teams to score – No | 4/6 | ⭐⭐⭐ | Clean sheets are common in this tie. |
| Raul De Tomas anytime scorer | 2/1 | ⭐⭐ | Rayo’s main outlet up front. |
| Rayo Vallecano to win 1-0 | 9/2 | ⭐⭐ | Our headline scoreline for a tight home win. |
Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves score prediction
Everything about this fixture points to another tight, low-scoring affair, and Rayo’s recent grip on the head-to-head is hard to ignore. Home advantage at a raucous Vallecas should just about settle a game of few clear chances. Score prediction: Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Alaves.
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