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Squawka / News / Previews / Oxford United vs Stevenage predictions and betting tips: Hosts to grind out a clean-sheet win

Oxford United vs Stevenage predictions and betting tips: Hosts to grind out a clean-sheet win

Oxford United host Stevenage at the Kassam Stadium on Saturday 7 November, an FA Cup first round tie that pitches a promotion-chasing League One side against mid-table opposition from the same division.

Oxford United sit third in League One and are unbeaten at home, while Stevenage are 16th and have won only once on their travels this season. We have worked through the Oxford United vs Stevenage odds for our best bets, two premium picks and a score prediction below.

Premium Tips

Anthony Eadson has focused on Oxford United’s home solidity for this one, backing the hosts to win a low-scoring game and plenty of corners at the Kassam Stadium.

Premium TipOddsWhy we’re backing it
Oxford United to win and under 2.5 goals10/3 (Sky Bet)Oxford’s games at the Kassam Stadium have been tight: only three of their seven home league matches have produced more than two goals, and they have conceded just four times there, keeping four clean sheets. Stevenage have scored in only three of their six away games and failed to score in four of 12 overall. Oxford are unbeaten at home and won their last game 2-0, so a home win in a low-scoring tie is a strong angle at 10/3.
Over 10.5 total corners11/10 (Betway)Corners have been a feature of Oxford’s season. Their League One games have averaged 12.3 corners, with Oxford winning 5.5 a match and conceding 6.8, while Stevenage’s games have averaged 10.3. As home favourites, Oxford should see plenty of the ball and force Stevenage back, and both teams have shown they can win their share. Over 10.5 total corners at 11/10 makes sense on those numbers.

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How Oxford United go into the game

Oxford United go into the FA Cup first round sitting third in League One on 26 points, with seven wins, five draws and a single defeat from their 13 games. They have been excellent at the Kassam Stadium, unbeaten in seven on home soil with four wins and three draws, and they have conceded only four goals there all season.

Their recent form is strong. Last time out they beat Reading 2-0 at home on Wednesday, after a 1-1 draw at Barnsley, a 1-0 home win over Stockport County and a goalless home draw with Bradford City. A 2-1 home win over Wigan Athletic completes a run of three wins and two draws in their last five. Oxford United have kept five clean sheets this season and failed to score only once.

How Stevenage go into the game

Stevenage arrive 16th in League One on 16 points, with a middling record of four wins, four draws and four defeats from 12 games. They have been reasonably solid on the road, taking one win and three draws from their six away trips, though that single victory is the only one they have managed away from home all season.

Their most recent outing was a 2-2 draw away at Leicester City, a creditable result on the road. Before that came a 1-0 home defeat to Milton Keynes Dons and a 3-0 home win over Plymouth Argyle, with a 2-0 loss at Bradford City and a 1-0 home win over Wigan Athletic earlier in the run. Stevenage have kept three clean sheets but have drawn a blank four times this season.

Oxford United vs Stevenage head-to-head

DateHomeScoreAway
22/08/26Stevenage1-2Oxford United
19/04/24Oxford United1-1Stevenage
30/09/23Stevenage1-3Oxford United

These two have met just three times in recent seasons, all in League One, and Oxford United are unbeaten in every one. They won 2-1 at Stevenage in this season’s league meeting back in August, after a 1-1 draw and a 3-1 away win in 2023/24. Stevenage are still waiting for a first win in the fixture.

Oxford United vs Stevenage predictions & betting tips

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Oxford United21/20 (William Hill)⭐⭐⭐Oxford United are unbeaten in seven at the Kassam Stadium this season, with four wins and three draws.
Oxford United to win and under 2.5 goals10/3 (Sky Bet)⭐⭐⭐Only three of Oxford United’s seven home league games have had more than two goals.
Over 10.5 total corners11/10 (Betway)⭐⭐Oxford United’s league games have averaged 12.3 corners.
Both teams to score – No10/11 (William Hill)⭐⭐⭐Oxford United have kept five clean sheets, and Stevenage have failed to score in four of their 12 games.
Oxford United 2-0 Stevenage8/1 (Sky Bet)⭐⭐Oxford United beat Reading 2-0 at the Kassam Stadium last time out.

Oxford United vs Stevenage score prediction

Home form is the standout factor here, and Oxford United’s has been excellent. The hosts are unbeaten at the Kassam Stadium and have conceded only four times on home soil. Stevenage, by contrast, have won just once away from home all season, and we expect Oxford United to control the tie and edge it without too much fuss, with their clean-sheet potential strong, though the visitors could make them work for it. Score prediction: Oxford United 2-0 Stevenage.

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