Norway host Wales at the Ullevaal Stadion in Oslo on Saturday 14 November, 5pm (UK time), with the home side out for revenge after a chastening defeat in Cardiff earlier in this Nations League campaign.
Norway are heavy favourites on home soil and will be desperate to make amends for that reverse, while Wales arrive knowing they can cause this group’s big names problems. We have weighed up the form, the group picture and the bet365 markets to land on our best bets, and we expect the hosts to put things right in Oslo.
Premium Tips
Here are our two favourite Premium Tips for Norway vs Wales, taken at the best prices we can find across our featured bookmakers.
| Premium Tip | Odds | Why we’re backing it |
|---|---|---|
| Norway to win to nil | 11/10 (bet365) | Norway are overwhelming favourites at home and have a serious cutting edge led by Erling Haaland, who scored against Portugal and goes into this one in fine form. Wales have struggled badly for goals on the road in this group, failing to score in defeats to both Portugal and Denmark away from home. With the hosts fired up after the Cardiff defeat, we fancy them to win this comfortably and keep a well-beaten Wales at arm’s length, and 11/10 for a Norway win to nil looks the standout play. |
| Norway to win 2-0 | 13/2 (bet365) | This matches our score prediction and our reading of the game. Norway should have far too much for Wales at the Ullevaal, and with the visitors so blunt away from Cardiff, a controlled 2-0 home win feels a likely outcome. At 13/2 with bet365 it offers plenty of value for anyone happy to back the exact scoreline rather than just the result. |
18+ only. Please gamble responsibly. GambleAware — gambleaware.org · Odds correct at time of publishing.
How Norway go into the game
Norway go into this round sitting fourth in League A Group 4 on three points, and they are competing in the top tier of the Nations League for the first time in their history after winning promotion. Stale Solbakken’s side opened the campaign with a 3-2 win over Denmark but have found life at this level a tougher proposition since.
The headline man remains Erling Haaland, who has been in prolific form and found the net in the 2-1 home defeat to Portugal, adding to a remarkable international scoring record. Around him Norway carry plenty of attacking quality, and in front of their own crowd they will fancy their chances of racking up a result.
The note of caution is at the other end, where Norway have leaked goals throughout the campaign. Tightening up at the back will be high on Solbakken’s agenda, but with Haaland leading the line they will always carry a threat.
How Wales go into the game
Wales arrive in Oslo sitting third in the group on three points, all of which came in a memorable 2-1 home win over these very opponents in Cardiff last month, a first Nations League Group A victory for Craig Bellamy‘s side. Away from home, though, it has been a different story.
On the road Wales have been beaten 1-0 by Portugal and 2-0 by Denmark, failing to score in both, and that lack of a cutting edge on their travels is the chief concern here. Bellamy will take encouragement from the fact his side already have one win over Norway this campaign, and the recall of Harry Wilson adds some much-needed creativity.
Repeating the Cardiff heroics in Oslo is a far tougher task, and Wales will likely need to be at their most resilient and clinical to take anything from this one.
Norway vs Wales head-to-head
These sides have a long and typically tight history, with little to choose between them down the years. The most recent meeting came only last month, when Wales edged a 2-1 win in Cardiff for their first points of this group campaign, so Norway will be itching to put that right on home soil.
Norway vs Wales predictions & betting tips
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Norway to win | 2/9 (bet365) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Norway are overwhelming home favourites and will be desperate to respond to the Cardiff defeat. |
| Both teams to score – No | 10/11 (William Hill) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Wales have failed to score in both of their away games in this group so far. |
| Under 2.5 goals | 15/8 (bet365) | ⭐⭐⭐ | A blunt Wales away from home points to a controlled, lower-scoring Norway win. |
| Norway 2-0 Wales | 13/2 (bet365) | ⭐⭐ | The hosts should win with a bit to spare against a Wales side short of goals on the road. |
Norway vs Wales score prediction
We expect Norway to put things right here. The hosts were stung by that Cardiff defeat and, with Erling Haaland leading the line in front of their own supporters, they have the firepower to take control. Wales showed real spirit to win the reverse fixture, but their struggles in front of goal on the road have been a theme of this campaign, and keeping Haaland and company quiet in Oslo is a huge ask. We think Norway will win this with a bit to spare, and Anthony Eadson is backing a 2-0 home win. Score prediction: Norway 2-0 Wales.
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