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Squawka / News / Newcastle vs Liverpool predictions and betting tips: Reds fancied in St James’ Park showdown

Newcastle vs Liverpool predictions and betting tips: Reds fancied in St James’ Park showdown

23 Aug · 16:30 St. James' Park · Premier League
A. Elanga   5' J. Willock   57'
C. Gakpo   55' D. Szoboszlai (P)   90 + 9'
  1. Full Time
  2. 90 + 9'
    D. Szoboszlai (P)
  3. F. Schär on for Y. Wissa
    90 + 5'
  4. L. Horníček
    90 + 3'
  5. 90'
    V. van Dijk
  6. J. Murphy
    79'
  7. 78'
    L. Koumas on for R. Gravenberch
  8. A. Bamba on for L. Miley
    76'
  9. J. Murphy on for A. Elanga
    76'
  10. 70'
    R. Araujo on for J. Jacquet
  11. J. Ramsey
    64'
  12. 63'
    A. Mac Allister on for F. Wirtz
  13. 63'
    Víctor Muñoz on for R. Ngumoha
  14. J. Willock
    57'
  15. J. Willock on for W. Osula
    56'
  16. J. Ramsey on for S. Steur
    56'
  17. 55'
    C. Gakpo
  18. Half Time
  19. L. Miley
    34'
  20. 30'
    J. Frimpong
  21. 30'
    M. Kerkez
  22. Y. Wissa
    25'
  23. A. Elanga
    5'
  24. Kick Off
Momentum
Top Stats
39.2% Possession 60.8%
2 Goals 2
13 Shots 27
4 Shots On Target 7
2 Corners Won 6
5 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
1.25 xG 3.07
Shooting
2 Goals 2
13 Total Shots 27
4 Shots On Target 7
Defending
2 Goals Conceded 2
0 Clean sheets 0
Passing
296 Total Passes 445
224 Accurate Passes 375
Possession
39.2% Possession 60.8%
2 Corners 6
Discipline
5 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
16 Fouls 15
Goals
  • 1
    Newcastle United
    Joe Willock
    1
  • 2
    Newcastle United
    Anthony Elanga
    1
  • 3
    Liverpool
    Cody Gakpo
    1
Shots
  • 1
    Liverpool
    Cody Gakpo
    6
  • 2
    Liverpool
    Alexander Isak
    4
  • 3
    Newcastle United
    Yoane Wissa
    4
Tackles Won
  • 1
    Newcastle United
    Lewis Hall
    3
  • 2
    Liverpool
    Cody Gakpo
    3
  • 3
    Liverpool
    Alexis Mac Allister
    2
Assists
  • 1
    Liverpool
    Ryan Gravenberch
    1
  • 2
    Newcastle United
    William Osula
    1
  • 3
    Newcastle United
    Yoane Wissa
    1
Chances Created
  • 1
    Liverpool
    Cody Gakpo
    3
  • 2
    Liverpool
    Jeremie Frimpong
    3
  • 3
    Liverpool
    Dominik Szoboszlai
    3
Passes Completed
  • 1
    Liverpool
    Virgil van Dijk
    50
  • 2
    Liverpool
    Dominik Szoboszlai
    47
  • 3
    Liverpool
    Ryan Gravenberch
    43
Take Ons Completed
  • 1
    Liverpool
    Florian Wirtz
    1
  • 2
    Newcastle United
    Lewis Miley
    1
  • 3
    Newcastle United
    Joe Willock
    1
Interceptions
  • 1
    Liverpool
    Cody Gakpo
    3
  • 2
    Liverpool
    Ryan Gravenberch
    2
  • 3
    Newcastle United
    Lewis Hall
    2
21
Hornícek
03
Hall
04
Botman
12
Thiaw
37
Dedic
67
Miley
14
Steur
11
Barnes
09
Wissa
19
Elanga
10
Osula
09
Isak
18
Gakpo
07
Wirtz
73
Ngumoha
38
Gravenberch
08
Szoboszlai
06
Kerkez
04
van Dijk
05
Jacquet
30
Frimpong
01
Becker
Substitutes
24 Ewen Jaouen 
27 Nick Woltemade 
23 Jacob Murphy 
51 Leo Shahar 
28 Joe Willock 
41 Jacob Ramsey 
17 Bazoumana Touré 
05 Fabian Schär 
08 Aladji Bamba 
Substitutes
 Giorgi Mamardashvili 25
 Wataru Endo 03
 Kostas Tsimikas 21
 James McConnell 53
 Alexis Mac Allister 10
 Ronald Araujo 33
 Lewis Koumas 67
 Víctor Muñoz 23
 Trey Nyoni 42

League Standings table is not available yet.

Data provided by

Newcastle vs Liverpool is the pick of the opening weekend at St James’ Park, with the visitors marginal favourites in a meeting of two heavyweights.

Liverpool have the better recent record and Alexander Isak returns to his former home among their ranks, but Newcastle are always formidable on Tyneside. Andy Francis has the best bets, our score prediction and the head-to-head record below. The game kicks off at 4.30pm BST on Sunday, August 23rd.

Premium Tips

Andy narrowly favours the visitors in a high-quality contest, with Alexander Isak and the goals leading the best bets.

Premium TipOddsWhy we’re backing it
Liverpool to win Alexander Isak to score anytime7/4Alexander Isak’s move away from St James’ Park dominated last summer, but he didn’t have the debut season at Anfield that he would’ve hoped for. Liverpool head into the season with genuine strength across the pitch, with Gakpo and Chiesa offering further support, and they arrive with the better recent record in this fixture. Newcastle will be roared on by a typically ferocious St James’ Park crowd, but Liverpool’s greater squad depth and Isak’s added motivation make backing both the win and the anytime scorer a smart combination at 7/4.
Amar Dedic and Alexis Mac Allister to be booked and Virgil Van Dijk over 1.5 shots28/1Amar Dedic arrives at Newcastle with an aggressive, high-energy style at full-back and will be tested repeatedly by Liverpool’s wide threat, the kind of afternoon that often ends with a name in the book. Alexis Mac Allister sits at the heart of Liverpool’s midfield and is no stranger to a card himself when protecting possession or breaking up Newcastle’s counters. Virgil van Dijk remains a constant menace from set pieces and regularly gets shots away from corners and free-kicks, giving him every chance of clearing 1.5 shots on his own. Stack all three together and this looks a well-priced 28/1.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly. GambleAware — gambleaware.org · Odds correct at time of publishing.

How Newcastle United go into the game

Newcastle finished 12th last season on 49 points, a frustrating campaign by their recent standards despite the noise St James’ Park generates. They will want a statement start at home.

Nick Woltemade leads the attacking options as Newcastle look to rediscover their best. St James’ Park remains one of the most intimidating venues in the country on the big occasions.

How Liverpool go into the game

Liverpool finished fifth last season on 60 points, a step below their own standards but with the squad to challenge again. A strong start on the road would set the right tone.

Alexander Isak leads the line, with Cody Gakpo and Federico Chiesa adding to a dangerous attack. Liverpool have the better recent record in this fixture and travel with confidence.

Newcastle United vs Liverpool: 2025-26 by the numbers

Newcastle United vs Liverpool head-to-head

DateHomeScoreAway
31/01/26Liverpool4-1Newcastle United
25/08/25Newcastle United2-3Liverpool
16/03/25Liverpool1-2Newcastle United
26/02/25Liverpool2-0Newcastle United
04/12/24Newcastle United3-3Liverpool

Liverpool have won three of the last five meetings, with the games consistently high-scoring. Newcastle’s win in that run came in the 2025 League Cup final.

Newcastle United vs Liverpool predictions & betting tips

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Liverpool to win10/11⭐⭐⭐Better recent record and firepower to match.
Alexander Isak anytime scorer20/21⭐⭐⭐One of the deadliest strikers in the league.
Over 2.5 goals1/2⭐⭐⭐⭐Recent meetings have been high-scoring.
Both teams to score4/9⭐⭐⭐Both attacks carry a real threat.
Newcastle 1-2 Liverpool17/2⭐⭐Our headline scoreline for an away win.

Newcastle United vs Liverpool score prediction

This is a heavyweight opener and St James’ Park will be rocking, but Liverpool’s quality and superior recent record in the fixture give them the edge. We expect a high-scoring game that the visitors just about win. Score prediction: Newcastle United 1-2 Liverpool.

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