Tottenham and Crystal Palace renew acquaintances in a crunch clash at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, with both sides eyeing vital points to steer clear of the Premier League relegation scrap.
While the hosts have dominated this fixture historically, recent league form tells a story of missed opportunities and defensive frailties on both sides. Kick-off is at 20:00 on Thursday 5 March, setting the stage for what could be a pivotal evening in the 2025/26 Premier League campaign.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on attacking inefficiency, defensive trends, and head-to-head history, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in Under 2.5 goals due to both teams’ recent struggles to convert chances and Palace’s resilience at the back.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 Goals | 1/1 @ AkBets (50.0%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | We are backing under 2.5 because both teams average well below 1.5 goals per game over the season, with Palace in particular underperforming their xG by a wide margin. Palace have also kept 10 clean sheets, signalling a strong defensive base in tight matches. Four of the last six head-to-heads have also landed under this line. |
| Crystal Palace Draw No Bet | 6/5 @ Bet365 (45.5%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | There could be value here due to Palace’s stronger defensive record, higher xG, and more clean sheets. Spurs have a poor win percentage (25%) and have lost more games than they’ve won at home this season. Palace’s proven ability to keep things tight makes them a solid option with the insurance of money back on a draw. |
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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Tottenham vs Crystal Palace match odds
How both teams head into Tottenham vs Crystal Palace
Tottenham Hotspur’s 2025/26 Premier League season has been deeply disappointing, with Spurs sitting 16th in the table after 28 games, having won 7, drawn 8 and lost 13, yielding 29 points and a -5 goal difference.
Their recent form has been particularly poor, with Tottenham losing 2-1 at Fulham at the weekend, extending their winless run to ten matches in the league. Richarlison is the club’s top scorer with 8 Premier League goals, but the side have struggled for consistency and creativity across the pitch.
The campaign has seen managerial change, with Igor Tudor replacing Thomas Frank in February as Spurs fight to move clear of the relegation battle. Their discipline has also been notable, with Tottenham among the most-booked sides in the division.
Crystal Palace’s 2025/26 Premier League season has been a solid mid-table campaign under Oliver Glasner. After 28 matches, Palace are 14th with 35 points (W 9, D 8, L 11) and a goal difference of -4, illustrating a fairly balanced but inconsistent season. They’ve scored 30 goals and conceded 34, averaging 1.07 goals scored and 1.21 conceded per game, showing defensive solidity but limited attacking output.
Palace’s form has fluctuated; they suffered defeats like 1-3 away to Chelsea and lost narrowly to United, but have picked up valuable wins against sides such as Wolves and Brighton. Key contributors include Jean-Philippe Mateta and Ismaïla Sarr, while their home form has been respectable, avoiding defeats when leading at the break several times.
Overall, Palace sit comfortably clear of relegation but are still seeking greater consistency to climb higher up the table.
Tottenham team news
Tottenham’s injury list remains lengthy as they prepare to host Crystal Palace, with several key players still unavailable. Defender Djed Spence is a doubt after picking up a minor calf injury, having missed the recent trip to Fulham, and Destiny Udogie continues to nurse a hamstring problem.
Midfield options are limited too, with Rodrigo Bentancur and Lucas Bergvall sidelined long-term and Mohammed Kudus not expected back before April. Long-term absentee James Maddison remains out, and Ben Davies’ serious ankle injury will keep him sidelined.
Spurs have seen limited reinforcements recently, and interim boss Igor Tudor may have to rely on the likes of Pedro Porro, Conor Gallagher and Dominic Solanke to spark their fight out of the relegation zone.
Crystal Palace team news
Crystal Palace head into their Premier League match against Tottenham with a notable suspension and a more settled squad. Defender Maxence Lacroix will miss the game after being sent off against Manchester United on 1 March, with his red card for denying a clear goalscoring opportunity carrying an automatic one-match ban.
Aside from the suspension, Palace’s fitness picture is relatively stable. There are no major fresh injuries reported ahead of the derby, so manager Oliver Glasner can largely pick his strongest available side.
Long-term absentees such as Cheick Doucouré and Eddie Nketiah remain sidelined, but the core of Palace’s squad is expected to be available and competitive for the London clash.
Season Form & Standings
Neither team has found much consistency, but Palace boast a better defensive record and more points, while Tottenham have scored more but conceded heavily. Both sides will be desperate to put daylight between themselves and the drop zone in the final stretch.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 14 | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 35 |
| Tottenham | 16 | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 29 |
Head-to-Head: Last 5 Meetings
Tottenham have dominated this fixture, winning three of the last five meetings, but Palace have claimed two victories – proving they can upset the odds. Recent contests have tended to be tight, with only one match in the last six seeing more than three goals.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 28/12/25 | Crystal Palace 0-1 Tottenham | Premier League |
| 11/05/25 | Tottenham 0-2 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| 27/10/24 | Crystal Palace 1-0 Tottenham | Premier League |
| 02/03/24 | Tottenham 3-1 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| 27/10/23 | Crystal Palace 1-2 Tottenham | Premier League |
Final Thoughts
Will Tottenham’s home advantage and attacking edge finally pay off, or can Crystal Palace’s defensive stability and superior xG performance see them escape North London with at least a point? With both teams struggling for consistency and Palace excelling at shutting teams out, Under 2.5 goals at 1/1 (50.0%) @ AkBets looks a value play as the nerves set in late season.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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