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Squawka / News / Monaco vs Juventus: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Monaco vs Juventus: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Juventus travel to face Monaco in a Champions League clash where recent form and history heavily favour the visitors.

Having won both of their last encounters and enjoying a more balanced campaign at both ends of the pitch, Juventus will be eyeing another statement win. The match will be held at Stade Louis II, with kick-off set for 20:00 on Wednesday. With Monaco struggling to convert chances and Juventus showing greater efficiency, this tie looks set for intriguing contrasts.

Best Bets & Predictions

Based on Juventus’s superior finishing and Monaco’s vulnerability in defence, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in Juventus to win, given both their recent head-to-head dominance and their higher conversion rate in big moments.

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Juventus to Win6/5 @ Bet365
(45.5%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐We are backing Juventus because they’ve won the last two meetings (aggregate 4-1) and their current campaign shows better balance: 14 goals scored (from just 12.43 xG), strong shot accuracy (58.3%), and a defensive record that far outperforms Monaco.
Over 2.5 Goals8/11 @ Bet365
(57.9%)
⭐⭐⭐There could be value here as both teams have struggled defensively at times (Juventus 10 conceded, Monaco 14), and Monaco’s xG suggests they should be scoring more than their tally. Juventus, meanwhile, have converted more big chances than anyone outside the top three in this competition.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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Season Form & Standings

Juventus have collected 12 points from seven matches (3W 3D 1L), while Monaco sit six places below on 9 points and a -6 goal difference, reflecting their challenges at both ends of the pitch. Juventus’s +4 goal difference and win ratio of 43% highlight a more balanced campaign.

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Juventus1573311410412
Monaco217232814-69

Potential Match-Winners

  • Weston McKennie (Juventus) – McKennie’s movement and eye for goal have been central to Juventus’s attacking improvements. Look for him to exploit Monaco’s high number of big chances conceded.
  • Jonathan David (Juventus) – On current form, David is a strong contender for first goalscorer markets, having shown clinical finishing and smart positioning inside the box.
  • Folarin Balogun (Monaco) – Despite Monaco’s struggles, Balogun’s underlying numbers suggest he could threaten, especially if Monaco’s xG finally turns into goals.
  • Manuel Locatelli (Juventus) – The deep-lying playmaker boasts a pass accuracy over 85%, and his ability to recycle and progress the ball could keep Juventus on the front foot.

Head-to-Head: Last 4 Meetings

Juventus have won both of their most recent meetings with Monaco, scoring four times and conceding just once.

DateScoreCompetition
09/05/17Juventus 2-1 MonacoUEFA Champions League
03/05/17Monaco 0-2 JuventusUEFA Champions League
22/04/15Monaco 0-0 JuventusUEFA Champions League
14/04/15Juventus 1-0 MonacoUEFA Champions League

Conclusion

Will Juventus’s blend of clinical finishing and defensive structure be enough to claim another victory against a Monaco side still seeking consistency? With recent results and statistical trends pointing clearly in favour of the visitors, our top tip is Juventus to win at 6/5 with Bet365 (45.5%). Their attacking efficiency and Monaco’s defensive vulnerability make this a compelling bet for punters looking for value in a tightly contested European tie.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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