With a play-off final appearance at stake and a clash of contrasting styles, Millwall take on Hull City at The Den in what promises to be a compelling Championship encounter.
The match kicks off at 20:00 on Monday 11 May. Millwall’s defensive solidity meets Hull City’s attacking flair, and with just four points separating the teams in the final league standings and a 0-0 scoreline in the first leg, there is still everything to play for for both sides.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on season-long performance trends and head-to-head records, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in Millwall to win, given their superior defensive record and strong home results.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall to Win | 8/11 @ Betfair (57.9%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | We are backing Millwall because they have kept 19 clean sheets this season—7 more than Hull—and boast a top-three finish. Their defence has been a difference-maker in tight games, and they’ve lost just 11 of 46 league matches. |
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | Evens @ Betfair (50.0%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Hull City have scored 70 goals this season—more than Millwall—and the last six H2Hs have seen both teams find the net in four of them. Hull’s top scorer, McBurnie, is in strong attacking form. |
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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Season Form & Standings
Millwall built their campaign on a rock-solid defence, conceding just 49 goals and collecting 19 clean sheets – the best record of the two sides. Hull City, by contrast, have relied on attacking output, netting 70 goals but conceding 66. This contrast in style is reflected in their final positions, with Millwall finishing third and Hull City sixth.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall | 3 | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64 | 49 | +15 | 83 |
| Hull City | 6 | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70 | 66 | +4 | 73 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Oli McBurnie (Hull City): 17 goals, 7 assists, 50% shot accuracy and 40 key passes this season. The focal point of Hull’s attack and a threat both as a scorer and creator.
- Zak Lovelace (Millwall): Emerging as Millwall’s most dynamic attacker, Lovelace offers pace and directness—though goals are more spread across Millwall’s line-up.
- Femi Azeez (Millwall): Azeez adds penetration and can stretch defences, complementing Millwall’s more balanced, collective approach.
Millwall’s strength remains their organisation and clean sheet potential, while Hull City’s best chances rest on McBurnie’s form in front of goal.
Head-to-Head: Last 6 Meetings
Across the last six meetings, Hull have the edge with three wins compared to Millwall’s solitary victory. Interestingly, there has only been one home win in this period, with Hull running out 1-0 winners in February 2024. The first leg of this tie ended 0-0, leaving the second leg hanging in the balance.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 08/05/26 | Hull City 0-0 Millwall | Championship |
| 07/03/26 | Hull City 1-3 Millwall | Championship |
| 13/12/25 | Millwall 1-3 Hull City | Championship |
| 18/01/25 | Millwall 0-1 Hull City | Championship |
| 24/08/24 | Hull City 0-0 Millwall | Championship |
| 03/02/24 | Hull City 1-0 Millwall | Championship |
Final Thoughts: Can Millwall0s Defence Prevail Over Hull00s Attack?
With Millwall’s defensive prowess up against Hull City’s goal-hungry attack, this is set up for a classic clash of styles. Can Millwall’s organisation and home advantage nullify McBurnie and Hull’s direct threat? Our money is on Millwall to edge it – the defensive numbers and momentum point that way – and the 8/11 @ Betfair (57.9%) offers solid value for a home win.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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