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Squawka / News / Manchester United vs Liverpool: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Manchester United vs Liverpool: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Liverpool and Manchester United, separated by just three points with four games left, meet at Old Trafford in the Premier League on Sunday at 3:30pm. Both sides have had their flaws, both have firepower, and both know that a slip here could be the difference between Champions League football and Thursday nights on Channel 5. Find our match preview and best bets below. 

Best Bets & Predictions

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy I’m Backing It
Bruno Fernandes Anytime Assist9/4 @ BetVictor
(30.8%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐We are beggining to sound a bit like a broken record here at Squawka, but after plenty of profit from this selection in recent weeks, we are once again backing Bruno Fernandes to provide an assist. The Manchester United man has provided a remarkable 19 assists in the Premier League this season and needs just two more to set a new record. This bet has landed in six of his last seven outings and, looking back a little further, in 11 of his last 15.
Virgil van Dijk Over 0.5 Shots on Target11/4 @ BetVictor
(26.7%)
⭐⭐⭐Virgil van Dijk scored a late winner in the first Merseyside derby at the Hill Dickinson Stadium a couple of weeks ago, making it four goals in his last 12 matches for Liverpool. The Dutch defender is a constant threat at set-pieces and has recorded at least one shot on target in seven of his last 12. With that in mind, 11/4 looks too big a price, with the odds only implying a 26.7% chance of this bet landing.

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Odds correct at the time of writing.

How both teams go into Manchester United vs Liverpool

Manchester United head into Sunday’s clash with Liverpool in a position of strength, but with little room for complacency as the Champions League race reaches its निर्णющий stage. A recent win over Brentford has lifted United into third place on 61 points, leaving them on the verge of securing qualification, with just a couple more points likely needed from their remaining fixtures.

However, the table remains tightly packed behind them. Liverpool sit fourth on 58 points, level with Aston Villa and firmly in the hunt for a top-five finish, which should be enough for Champions League football this season. The gap to the chasing pack is significant, but the margin between third and fifth is minimal, adding real weight to this encounter.

Manchester United team news

Manchester United head into their Premier League clash with Liverpool on Sunday, 3 May, with several fitness concerns. Matheus Cunha remains a doubt due to a hip issue, but could return to the squad, while Luke Shaw also faces a late assessment after being forced off last time out.

Defensively, Lisandro Martinez is suspended, and Matthijs de Ligt is still sidelined with a long-term back injury, limiting options at the back

Liverpool team news

Liverpool head into Sunday’s clash with Manchester United with a lengthy injury list. Mohamed Salah is ruled out for around four weeks with a hamstring tear, while Alisson Becker faces a late fitness test. Long-term absentees include Conor Bradley, Hugo Ekitike and Giovanni Leoni. Wataru Endo and Giorgi Mamardashvili remain sidelined, while Jayden Danns is still building fitness and is unlikely to feature

Season Form & Standings

United are third on 61 points (1.79 per game), Liverpool just behind in fourth with 58 (1.71 per game). It’s tight — one slip and Villa or Brighton could pounce. Recent form is patchy for both: United’s last five reads WDWDL, Liverpool are WLLWW. The winner here takes a huge step towards Champions League football. The loser could be looking over their shoulder.

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Manchester United3rd34171076046+1461
Liverpool4th34177105744+1358

Head-to-Head

Recent Meetings

It’s been tight in recent years — plenty of goals, but few one-sided contests. United won the reverse fixture 2-1 at Anfield in October, but Liverpool battered them 3-0 at Old Trafford last season. There’s rarely a dull moment.

DateScoreCompetition
19/10/25Liverpool 1-2 Manchester UnitedPremier League
05/01/25Liverpool 2-2 Manchester UnitedPremier League
01/09/24Manchester United 0-3 LiverpoolPremier League
07/04/24Manchester United 2-2 LiverpoolPremier League
17/03/24Manchester United 2-2 LiverpoolFA Cup
17/12/23Liverpool 0-0 Manchester UnitedPremier League

Final Thoughts

Predicting the result of this clash looks a little tricky on Sunday, and instead, we like the look of two player-based bets. The first of those is for Bruno Fernandes to provide an assist, a selection that has landed in six of his last seven matches. Along with Virgil van Dijk to record a shot on target at a tasty 11/4.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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