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Squawka / News / Levante vs Rayo Vallecano: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Levante vs Rayo Vallecano: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Levante and Rayo Vallecano face off this weekend in a match that could define who pulls away from the bottom half of La Liga’s table.

Both sides sit locked on points and share nearly identical records, making this a classic six-pointer at Estadi Ciutat de València. The recent history between these teams has produced plenty of goals and drama—Levante have edged the head-to-head in recent seasons, but Rayo arrive with greater control in possession and a point to prove. Kick-off is set for 5:30 PM, with both teams keen to reverse inconsistent starts to the 2025/26 campaign.

Best Bets & Predictions

Based on Levante’s clinical edge in front of goal and Rayo’s possession-based style, here are our top betting recommendations for this clash. We’re particularly confident in both teams finding the net, given recent attacking trends and defensive frailties on both sides.

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Both Teams to Score – Yes7/10 @ Bet365
(58.8%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Value here due to 24 goals conceded combined in 16 games; both attack well, but defences leak.
Draw23/10 @ Bet365
(30.3%)
⭐⭐⭐Matching records, even head-to-heads; stalemate has strong appeal.

Odds correct at the time of writing.

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Season Form & Standings

Both Levante and Rayo Vallecano are locked on 8 points from 8 matches, with Levante holding 13th spot on goal difference. Consistency remains elusive for both, with identical records (W2 D2 L4). Levante have a slightly better goal difference (-1) compared to Rayo’s (-2) and have found the net more frequently. Neither side has managed a sustained run, suggesting fine margins could decide this contest.

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Levante1382241314-18
Rayo Vallecano148224810-28

Potential Match-Winners

  • Iván Romero (Levante): Attack-minded, part of a Levante front line that converts big chances (16 created so far). Quick on the break and often gets into the box—expect a decent shot count here.
  • Sergio Camello (Rayo Vallecano): Returning from suspension and Rayo’s main forward threat, involved in a high volume of inside-the-box shots (team total: 65), though conversion has been low. If finishing improves, he could be decisive.
  • Pablo Martínez (Levante): Key for creativity—Levante’s 7 assists so far reflect his influence in central areas.
  • Unai López (Rayo Vallecano): Anchors midfield with 83% pass accuracy, driving Rayo’s possession dominance (54.25% average).

Head-to-Head: Last 4 Meetings

Levante have edged recent encounters, winning two of the last four, including a 4-2 away victory in 2022. Goals have flowed, with 16 scored across those four games (average 4.0 per match).

DateScoreCompetition
20/05/22Rayo Vallecano 2-4 LevanteLa Liga
11/09/21Levante 1-1 Rayo VallecanoLa Liga
04/05/19Levante 4-1 Rayo VallecanoLa Liga
23/12/18Rayo Vallecano 2-1 LevanteLa Liga

Conclusion

Levante have found a way to convert their big chances and have a slight edge in head-to-heads, but Rayo Vallecano’s possession game and improved defence mean this clash could go either way. Will Levante’s directness trump Rayo’s control, or do the visitors finally turn dominance into goals? For punters, Both Teams to Score at 7/10 with Bet365 (58.8%) stands out as the pick of the prices for this evenly-matched contest.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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