Few Championship games this season offer a contrast as stark as Leicester City against Millwall.
As the already relegated Foxes host promotion-chasing Millwall at the King Power Stadium on Friday, 24 April at 20:00, the clash pits a side struggling for defensive solidity against one of the league’s most resilient outfits. It’s been a history making season for both clubs – but in dramatically different contexts.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on the overwhelming defensive edge for Millwall and Leicester’s tendency to concede, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in the visitors avoiding defeat due to their consistency and clean sheet record.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall to Win | 4/5 @ Bet365 (55.6%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Millwall have lost just one of their last five away games, keep clean sheets in 39% of matches, and face a Leicester side with just 5 clean sheets all season and a league-worst goals-conceded tally (67). |
| Coburn 2+ shots on target | 9/4 @ Sky Bet | ⭐⭐⭐ | Josh Coburn is in peak form, scoring in Millwall’s 3-1 win over Stoke on 21/04. Averaging 1.5 shots per game with 44% accuracy, he recorded 2 shots on target against QPR recently. Facing 23rd-placed Leicester’s porous defence, 3rd-placed Millwall’s high attacking volume makes Coburn’s 2+ shots on target highly probable. |
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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Season Form & Standings
Millwall sit firmly in the playoff positions, while Leicester have already had their relegation to League One confirmed. The Foxes have only 11 wins from 44, while Millwall boast over double that tally and a positive goal difference.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall | 3 | 44 | 23 | 10 | 11 | 61 | 48 | +13 | 79 |
| Leicester City | 23 | 44 | 11 | 15 | 18 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 42 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Patson Daka (Leicester): Leads Leicester’s line; averages over 2 shots per match and is often the focal point for direct attacks. However, no Leicester player features among the Championship’s top scorers.
- Stephy Mavididi (Leicester): Known for his pace and direct dribbling, frequently draws fouls and creates big chances, but his conversion rate mirrors Leicester’s broader attacking inefficiency.
- Macaulay Langstaff (Millwall): A key figure in Millwall’s attack, regularly involved in high-quality chances and combines well in a system that prioritises direct play and set pieces.
- Jake Cooper (Millwall): Dominant in aerial duels, a threat from corners, and vital to Millwall’s defensive solidity—helping secure 17 clean sheets this season.
Head-to-Head: Last 5 Meetings
Leicester have won three and Millwall two of their last five encounters, with no draws and most matches settled by narrow margins—suggesting a competitive fixture regardless of current league positions.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 25/10/25 | Millwall 1-0 Leicester City | Championship |
| 09/04/24 | Millwall 1-0 Leicester City | Championship |
| 06/01/24 | Millwall 2-3 Leicester City | FA Cup |
| 13/12/23 | Leicester City 3-2 Millwall | Championship |
| 22/09/21 | Millwall 0-2 Leicester City | League Cup |
Will Millwall’s defence prove decisive?
The numbers point strongly towards Millwall’s stability and consistency. Leicester’s leaky defence and inability to convert big chances have left them in deep trouble, while Millwall combine clinical set-piece play with a back line that rarely gives opponents an easy ride. If you’re seeking value, 4/5 @ Bet365 (55.6%) for a Millwall win stands out as the pick of the market for Friday’s clash.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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