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Squawka / News / Leeds vs Brighton: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Leeds vs Brighton: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Leeds United host Brighton & Hove Albion in the Premier League on Sunday with kick-off set for 3:00pm in West Yorkshire. The hosts are safe from relegation, while the visitors sit seventh in the table heading into the weekend and have aspirations of qualifying for Europe. Find our match preview and best bets below. 

Best Bets & Predictions

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy I’m Backing It
Match result: draw13/5 @ Bet365
(27.8%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐

Brighton still have plenty to fight for in the race for Champions League qualification, but they face a difficult trip to Elland Road against a Leeds United side eager to end the season on a high in front of their own supporters. Leeds have been excellent at home during the second half of the campaign and should bring plenty of intensity to this contest. Fabian Hurzeler’s men have struggled for consistency away from home in recent weeks, which could open the door for Leeds to take something from the match. With both sides carrying attacking threat and strong motivation heading into the weekend, a closely-fought draw looks a likely outcome. 

Jan Paul van Hecke to be carded3/1 @ Bet365
(25.0%)
⭐⭐⭐Only Lewis Dunk has been shown more yellow cards for Brighton this season than Jan Paul van Hecke. In total, the Dutchman has nine cautions to his name, with six of those coming in his last 17 appearances. The Brighton centre-back could be in for a physical battle with Dominic Calvert-Lewin and although 3/1 isn’t the most eye-watering of prices, I like his chances to be carded. 

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Odds correct at the time of writing.

How both teams go into Leeds vs Brighton

Leeds United had already secured their Premier League status before last Monday’s draw with Tottenham Hotspur, but the result extended their unbeaten run to seven league matches, their longest streak of the season. Daniel Farke’s side have grown in confidence during the closing weeks of the campaign, particularly at Elland Road where performances have improved significantly since the turn of the year.

Danel Farke’s men will now be looking to finish the season strongly in front of their own supporters, although recent meetings with Brighton and Hove Albion have been difficult. Leeds are winless in their previous seven Premier League clashes with the Seagulls and have often struggled to contain Brighton’s attacking quality in this fixture.

Brighton head to Elland Road knowing that victory could move them into sixth place and strengthen their hopes of securing European football next season. Fabian Hurzeler’s side are building momentum at a crucial stage of the campaign and will view this fixture as a major opportunity to climb above Bournemouth in the table.

The Seagulls have also enjoyed this trip in recent years, losing just one of their last 10 visits to Elland Road in all competitions. With confidence high and plenty still on the line, Brighton will back themselves to continue their strong record in Yorkshire this weekend.

Leeds team news

Leeds are sweating over the fitness of Noah Okafor ahead of the final two matches of the season because of a calf issue, while Jayden Bogle is also a doubt with a hamstring problem. If Bogle is unavailable, Dan James could be handed another opportunity at right wing-back for the visit of Brighton.

Brighton team news

Brighton will be without Kaoru Mitoma for the remainder of the season, with the winger also facing a race against time to be fit for the World Cup. Georginio Rutter is expected to step into the attack, while Maxim De Cuyper could keep his place at right-back after an impressive display against Wolverhampton Wanderers. Ferdi Kadioglu is likely to continue on the left side of defence, although Stefanos Tzimas and Adam Webster remain long-term absentees for the Seagulls.

Leeds vs Brighton odds

Season Form & Standings

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Brighton7th361411115242+1053
Leeds14th361014124853-544

Head-to-Head

Recent Meetings

Brighton have dominated this fixture — five wins in the last nine, including a 3-0 at home this season. Leeds have only beaten Brighton once in that run, and goals have been at a premium (average 1.89 per match).

DateScoreCompetition
01/11/25Brighton 3-0 LeedsPremier League
11/03/23Leeds 2-2 BrightonPremier League
27/08/22Brighton 1-0 LeedsPremier League
15/05/22Leeds 1-1 BrightonPremier League
27/11/21Brighton 0-0 LeedsPremier League
01/05/21Brighton 2-0 LeedsPremier League

Can Brighton’s Attack Punish Leeds’ Defence? Final Thoughts

Leeds United will also be desperate to end the season on a high in front of their own supporters after an impressive first campaign back in the Premier League. Leeds have been strong at Elland Road since the turn of the year and should make life difficult for the visitors, so a closely-fought draw would not be a surprise. Back at 13/5 with bet365.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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