This weekend, Derby County vs Stoke City predictions and betting tips bring a 3pm Championship clash to Pride Park, where a struggling Derby side host a Stoke team with designs on the top six.
Derby sit 23rd after a 4-1 defeat at QPR and are in need of points, while Stoke are eighth but arrive off a 3-2 home loss to Middlesbrough. The reverse fixtures between the clubs tend to be tight and keenly fought.
Anthony Eadson expects a competitive game with goals at both ends and has picked his selections accordingly.
Premium Tips
Two Premium Tips for a Pride Park meeting between two sides who should both find the net.
| Premium Tip | Odds | Why we’re backing it |
|---|---|---|
| Over 10.5 total corners | 11/10 (BoyleSports) | With both sides coming in off defeats and needing to be positive, the corner count looks a sound way into a game that could be short of clear-cut chances. Derby, desperate for points at home, and Stoke, stung by a 3-2 home loss to Boro, will both commit men forward, which tends to force plenty of set-piece pressure. Neither defence has been especially reliable, with Stoke conceding 16 and Derby 19, so crosses and blocks should rack up the corner tally. At 11/10 over 10.5 corners is well worth backing in an open, end-to-end East Midlands contest. |
| Sammie Szmodics to score anytime | 5/2 (Sky Bet) | Sammie Szmodics has been Derby’s main threat in a tough season, top-scoring with three goals for a side rooted in the bottom three. The Rams need a response at home after a 4-1 defeat at QPR, and Szmodics is the man they will look to for a spark. Stoke have conceded 16 goals and are not the tightest on the road, which should hand the forward openings at Pride Park. At 5/2 Szmodics looks a fair price to find the net, and with both sides carrying a goal threat, backing Derby’s leading scorer to deliver makes sense in a game that should see both ends troubled. |
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How Derby County go into the game
Derby sit 23rd on six points after a 4-1 defeat at QPR. They have managed just one win all season and been beaten at home by Birmingham and West Brom in a tough run.
The Rams have scored only nine goals and conceded 19, though Sammie Szmodics has shown some spark with three.
How Stoke City go into the game
Stoke arrive eighth on 16 points, having been beaten 3-2 at home by Middlesbrough last time out. That ended a three-game winning run against Bolton, Sheffield United and Watford.
The Potters have scored 17 and conceded 16, with Ethan Galbraith their top scorer on three from midfield.
Derby County vs Stoke City head-to-head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/04/26 | Derby County | 2-0 | Stoke City |
| 09/08/25 | Stoke City | 3-1 | Derby County |
| 03/05/25 | Derby County | 0-0 | Stoke City |
| 02/11/24 | Stoke City | 2-1 | Derby County |
| 30/12/21 | Stoke City | 1-2 | Derby County |
The sides are well matched historically, with Derby winning the most recent meeting 2-0 but the clubs having traded wins and shared a goalless draw in recent seasons.
Derby County vs Stoke City predictions & betting tips
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 10.5 total corners | 11/10 (BoyleSports) | ⭐⭐⭐ | One of our Premium Tips. |
| Sammie Szmodics to score anytime | 5/2 (Sky Bet) | ⭐⭐⭐ | One of our Premium Tips. |
| Under 2.5 goals | 10/11 (bet365) | ⭐⭐ | Derby have scored just nine goals in 10 games. |
| Correct score 1-1 | 6/1 (Betfred) | ⭐⭐ | Both sides arrive on the back of defeats. |
Derby County vs Stoke City score prediction
The Rams are short of confidence but still carry a threat at home, and Stoke ship goals as readily as they score them. With both sides likely to find the net in an even game, a score draw looks the value call. Score prediction: Derby County 1-1 Stoke City.
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