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Squawka / News / Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna predictions and betting tips: low-scoring home win

Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna predictions and betting tips: low-scoring home win

16 Sep · 18:00 Estadio Wanda Metropolitano · Primera División
5
Goals
7
7
Goals Conceded
5
8
Yellow Cards
12
24
Corners Won
18
55
Shots
62
43
Tackles Won
38
Osasuna Osasuna
1 - 2
Atlético Madrid Atlético Madrid
Primera División · 12 May 2026
Atlético Madrid Atlético Madrid
1 - 0
Osasuna Osasuna
Primera División · 18 Oct 2025
Osasuna Osasuna
2 - 0
Atlético Madrid Atlético Madrid
Primera División · 15 May 2025
Atlético Madrid Atlético Madrid
1 - 0
Osasuna Osasuna
Primera División · 12 Jan 2025
Atlético Madrid Atlético Madrid
1 - 4
Osasuna Osasuna
Primera División · 19 May 2024
Goals
  • 1
    Osasuna
    Ante Budimir
    4
  • 2
    Atlético Madrid
    Álex Baena
    3
  • 3
    Atlético Madrid
    Giuliano Simeone
    2
  • 4
    Atlético Madrid
    Alejandro Grimaldo
    1
  • 5
    Osasuna
    Kike Barja
    1
Shots
  • 1
    Osasuna
    Ante Budimir
    16
  • 2
    Atlético Madrid
    Lee Kang-In
    12
  • 3
    Atlético Madrid
    Álex Baena
    9
  • 4
    Atlético Madrid
    Giuliano Simeone
    8
  • 5
    Osasuna
    Raúl García
    8
Tackles Won
  • 1
    Osasuna
    Abel Bretones
    10
  • 2
    Atlético Madrid
    Alejandro Grimaldo
    7
  • 3
    Atlético Madrid
    Giuliano Simeone
    7
  • 4
    Osasuna
    Iñigo Arguibide
    7
  • 5
    Osasuna
    Rubén García
    7
Assists
  • 1
    Atlético Madrid
    Dávid Hancko
    2
  • 2
    Atlético Madrid
    Alejandro Grimaldo
    1
  • 3
    Atlético Madrid
    Giuliano Simeone
    1
  • 4
    Osasuna
    Moi Gómez
    1
  • 5
    Atlético Madrid
    Álex Baena
    1
Chances Created
  • 1
    Atlético Madrid
    Álex Baena
    10
  • 2
    Atlético Madrid
    Morten Hjulmand
    7
  • 3
    Atlético Madrid
    Lee Kang-In
    6
  • 4
    Atlético Madrid
    Pablo Barrios
    6
  • 5
    Atlético Madrid
    Arnau Ortiz
    5
Passes Completed
  • 1
    Atlético Madrid
    Dávid Hancko
    325
  • 2
    Osasuna
    Alejandro Catena
    286
  • 3
    Atlético Madrid
    Pablo Barrios
    214
  • 4
    Osasuna
    Iker Muñoz
    206
  • 5
    Atlético Madrid
    Morten Hjulmand
    196
Take Ons Completed
  • 1
    Atlético Madrid
    Lee Kang-In
    9
  • 2
    Osasuna
    Iñigo Arguibide
    7
  • 3
    Atlético Madrid
    Alejandro Grimaldo
    6
  • 4
    Atlético Madrid
    Dávid Hancko
    6
  • 5
    Osasuna
    Raúl Moro
    5
Interceptions
  • 1
    Atlético Madrid
    Dávid Hancko
    8
  • 2
    Atlético Madrid
    Morten Hjulmand
    8
  • 3
    Atlético Madrid
    Pablo Barrios
    7
  • 4
    Osasuna
    Iker Muñoz
    6
  • 5
    Atlético Madrid
    Álex Baena
    6
Atlético Madrid Atlético Madrid
  • Julián Alvarez Attacker · Unknown
  • Pablo Barrios Midfielder · Calf Injury
  • Alexander Sørloth Attacker · Muscle Injury · 2 | Out (0%)
Osasuna Osasuna
  • Moi Gómez Attacker · Hamstring
  • Jorge Herrando Defender · Groin Injury · 1 | Questionable (50%)
  • Aimar Oroz Midfielder · Hamstring · 1 | Questionable (50%)
  • Valentin Rosier Defender · Hamstring · 2 | Out (0%)

No price boosts for this event.

Bet Builder is not available yet.

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13
Oblak
22
Grimaldo
17
Hancko
18
Pubill
14
Llorente
11
Lookman
23
Hjulmand
06
Koke
20
Simeone
10
Baena
07
Kang-In
17
Budimir
11
Barja
09
García
14
García
08
Muñoz
07
Moncayola
15
Rico
24
Catena
48
Yeboah
27
Arguibide
01
Herrera

League Standings table is not available yet.

Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna is a La Liga clash at the Metropolitano on Wednesday, kicking off at 6pm UK time, with the hosts strong favourites.

Anthony Eadson has the best bets, a score prediction and the head-to-head record for this La Liga clash below.

Premium Tips

Anthony Eadson expects a tight, low-scoring Atletico win at the Metropolitano.

Premium TipOddsWhy we’re backing it
Under 2.5 goals6/5 (LeoVegas)Atletico are miserly at the Metropolitano and Osasuna are one of the most defensively minded travellers in La Liga, happy to sit deep and frustrate. These fixtures often turn cagey, with the hosts controlling without cutting loose against a low block. With Osasuna offering little going forward on the road, under 2.5 goals looks the percentage call at 6/5.
Marcos Llorente to be carded10/3 (bet365)Llorente is among Atletico’ most combative runners and Osasuna are a physical, high-tempo side who draw plenty of cards and fouls into contests. Against an aggressive opponent, his all-action style and defensive covering leave him prone to a booking. At 10/3 for the midfielder to see a card, the price offers real value in a fixture set up for niggle.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly. GambleAware — gambleaware.org · Odds correct at time of publishing.

How Atletico Madrid go into the game

Atletico Madrid won 3-0 at Real Sociedad last time out, a commanding away display, either side of a 2-1 defeat at Liverpool in the Champions League.

Dangerous and well-drilled at home, Atletico should control this against a poor Osasuna.

How Osasuna go into the game

Osasuna were beaten 2-0 at home by Espanyol last time out, having lost 5-2 at Alaves before that. Goals have dried up.

Struggling for form, Osasuna face a daunting trip to the Metropolitano.

Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna: 2025-26 by the numbers

Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna head-to-head

DateHomeScoreAway
12/05/26Osasuna1-2Atletico
18/10/25Atletico1-0Osasuna
15/05/25Osasuna2-0Atletico
12/01/25Atletico1-0Osasuna
19/05/24Atletico1-4Osasuna

Atlético Madrid have edged the recent exchanges with three wins to Osasuna’s two over the last five, though Osasuna have shown they can spring surprises, including a 4-1 win in Madrid in May 2024. Most of these games have been low-scoring and closely fought.

Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna predictions & betting tips

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Under 2.5 goals6/5⭐⭐⭐Atletico stifle at home and Osasuna sit deep away.
Marcos Llorente to be carded10/3⭐⭐Combative runner against a physical, card-prone Osasuna.
Atletico Madrid to win4/9⭐⭐⭐The class gap points to a routine home win.
Atletico Madrid to win to nil7/5⭐⭐A clean sheet is likely against a blunt visitor.
Both teams to score – No5/6⭐⭐Osasuna offer little going forward on the road.

Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna score prediction

Osasuna are short of confidence, and Atletico’s quality should tell at home. Expect a controlled home win. Score prediction: Atletico Madrid 2-0 Osasuna.

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