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Squawka / News / Arsenal vs Chelsea predictions and betting tips: both attacks firing in the London derby

Arsenal vs Chelsea predictions and betting tips: both attacks firing in the London derby

06 Sep · 16:30 Emirates Stadium · Premier League
K. Havertz   25' M. Ødegaard   50'
M. Rogers   2'
  1. Full Time
  2. Mikel Merino
    90 + 5'
  3. N. Madueke on for B. Saka
    90'
  4. 87'
    D. Welbeck on for M. Rogers
  5. 83'
    M. Rogers
  6. 81'
    Estêvão on for Pedro Neto
  7. V. Gyökeres on for K. Havertz
    78'
  8. Mikel Merino on for M. Ødegaard
    77'
  9. Martín Zubimendi on for M. Lewis-Skelly
    67'
  10. P. Hincapié on for R. Calafiori
    67'
  11. 60'
    M. Gusto on for R. Lavia
  12. 60'
    Pep Chavarría on for J. Hato
  13. 58'
    M. Lacroix
  14. C. Tzolis
    58'
  15. M. Ødegaard
    50'
  16. Half Time
  17. 45'
    C. Palmer
  18. K. Havertz
    25'
  19. 14'
    João Pedro
  20. R. Calafiori Goal disallowed
    13'
  21. 2'
    M. Rogers
  22. Kick Off
Momentum
Top Stats
54.5% Possession 45.5%
2 Goals 1
16 Shots 13
9 Shots On Target 5
5 Corners Won 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
0 Red Cards 0
1.86 xG 0.49
Shooting
2 Goals 1
16 Total Shots 13
9 Shots On Target 5
Defending
1 Goals Conceded 2
0 Clean sheets 0
Passing
461 Total Passes 384
390 Accurate Passes 314
Possession
54.5% Possession 45.5%
5 Corners 3
Discipline
2 Yellow Cards 4
0 Red Cards 0
13 Fouls 16
Goals
  • 1
    Chelsea
    Morgan Rogers
    1
  • 2
    Arsenal
    Martin Ødegaard
    1
  • 3
    Arsenal
    Kai Havertz
    1
Shots
  • 1
    Arsenal
    Bukayo Saka
    4
  • 2
    Chelsea
    Morgan Rogers
    3
  • 3
    Chelsea
    Reece James
    3
Tackles Won
  • 1
    Chelsea
    Wesley Fofana
    3
  • 2
    Arsenal
    Ezri Konsa
    2
  • 3
    Chelsea
    Pedro Neto
    1
Assists
  • 1
    Arsenal
    Declan Rice
    1
  • 2
    Arsenal
    Christos Tzolis
    1
  • 3
    Chelsea
    Jorrel Hato
    1
Chances Created
  • 1
    Arsenal
    Christos Tzolis
    4
  • 2
    Arsenal
    Martin Ødegaard
    4
  • 3
    Arsenal
    Kai Havertz
    3
Passes Completed
  • 1
    Arsenal
    Declan Rice
    63
  • 2
    Arsenal
    Martin Ødegaard
    49
  • 3
    Chelsea
    Wesley Fofana
    44
Take Ons Completed
  • 1
    Chelsea
    Morgan Rogers
    1
  • 2
    Chelsea
    Pedro Neto
    1
  • 3
    Arsenal
    Bukayo Saka
    1
Interceptions
  • 1
    Arsenal
    Martín Zubimendi
    3
  • 2
    Chelsea
    Pedro Neto
    2
  • 3
    Chelsea
    Wesley Fofana
    2
01
Raya
33
Calafiori
06
Magalhães
15
Konsa
04
White
49
Lewis-Skelly
41
Rice
17
Tzolis
08
Ødegaard
07
Saka
29
Havertz
09
Pedro
17
Rogers
10
Palmer
21
Hato
24
James
45
Lavia
07
Neto
03
Fofana
05
Lacroix
34
Acheampong
01
Martínez
Substitutes
05 Piero Hincapié 
10 Eberechi Eze 
56 Max Dowman 
13 Kepa Arrizabalaga 
39 Bruno Guimarães 
14 Viktor Gyökeres 
36 Martín Zubimendi 
23 Mikel Merino 
20 Noni Madueke 
Substitutes
 Valentín Barco 04
 Mike Penders 39
 Levi Colwill 06
 Estêvão 41
 Malo Gusto 27
 Geovany Quenda 23
 Pep Chavarría 29
 Danny Welbeck 18
 Jamie Gittens 11

League Standings table is not available yet.

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Arsenal vs Chelsea is a Premier League Gameweek 3 clash at the Emirates Stadium on Sunday, with the hosts fancied in a big London derby.

Dean Smith has the best bets, a score prediction and the head-to-head record for this Premier League clash below.

Premium Tips

Dean Smith is siding with Arsenal, whose home quality should tell in a heavyweight clash.

Premium TipOddsWhy we’re backing it
Arsenal to win & BTTS11/5Chelsea have been involved in high-scoring games and Arsenal carry a threat. Goals at both ends look a fair call in the derby, but the Gunners look likely to come good on their pre-season tag as title favourites after two wins from two.
Joao Pedro to score anytime9/4Joao Pedro has two goals to his name from the opening two matches of the season, along with two assists, and shapes as Chelsea’s most likely route to a goal at the Emirates. He appears to be forming a real understanding with both Cole Palmer and Morgan Rogers, which should help him get on the end of chances in this one.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly. GambleAware — gambleaware.org · Odds correct at time of publishing.

How Arsenal go into the game

Arsenal won 1-0 at Aston Villa last time out, a professional away display. The Emirates will expect them to keep pace at the top.

Well-drilled and dangerous, Arsenal are among the title favourites. Home advantage in a derby is a significant edge.

How Chelsea go into the game

Chelsea won a thrilling 4-3 against Brighton last time out, showing plenty going forward if some defensive frailty. Confidence will be high.

The Blues are dangerous in attack but leaky at the back. A trip to the Emirates in a derby is a real test of their credentials.

Arsenal vs Chelsea: 2025-26 by the numbers

Arsenal vs Chelsea head-to-head

DateHomeScoreAway
01/03/26Arsenal2-1Chelsea
03/02/26Arsenal1-0Chelsea
14/01/26Chelsea2-3Arsenal
30/11/25Chelsea1-1Arsenal
16/03/25Arsenal1-0Chelsea

Arsenal are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Chelsea, winning four and drawing one.

Arsenal vs Chelsea stats to look out for

Chelsea arrive with seven goals from 4.81 xG, the joint-highest tally in the league. Arsenal have four from 2.74 xG.

2026/27, opening two league gamesArsenalChelsea
Goals scored47
Expected goals (xG)2.744.81
Shots2735
Shot accuracy28.6%33.3%
Chances created2230
Touches in the opposition box5767
Big chances missed14

The visitors have created the more dangerous positions too, with 35 shots to Arsenal’s 27 and 67 touches in the opposition box to 57. Chelsea have not been shy in a derby week.

Arsenal’s saving grace is efficiency. They have missed just one big chance all season, the best record in the division, so the chances they do work tend to count.

Arsenal vs Chelsea predictions & betting tips

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Arsenal to win4/6⭐⭐⭐Title fancies, home edge.
Both teams to score8/13⭐⭐⭐Chelsea leaky, both threaten.
Arsenal or draw (Double Chance)2/7⭐⭐⭐Cover on the hosts.
Over 2.5 goals4/6⭐⭐An open derby is likely.
Arsenal to win 2-17/1⭐⭐Headline scoreline.

Arsenal vs Chelsea score prediction

Chelsea carry a threat, but Arsenal’s greater quality and home advantage should tell in the derby. Expect the Gunners to edge it. Score prediction: Arsenal 2-1 Chelsea.

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