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Squawka / News / Real Madrid vs Malaga predictions and betting tips: Los Blancos to cruise

Real Madrid vs Malaga predictions and betting tips: Los Blancos to cruise

Sun 30 August, 16:00 Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
J. Bellingham   19' Alfonso Herrero (OG)   26' K. Mbappé   30' A. Güler   90 + 1'
  1. Full Time
  2. 90 + 3'
  3. 90 + 1'
  4. 87'
  5. 87'
  6. 86'
    H. Abaida No penalty
  7. 77'
  8. 74'
  9. 66'
  10. 65'
  11. 61'
  12. 60'
  13. 46'
  14. Half Time
  15. 30'
  16. 26'
  17. 19'
  18. Kick Off
Momentum
Top Stats
56.4% Possession 43.6%
4 Goals 0
19 Shots 14
8 Shots On Target 1
9 Corners Won 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
2.30 xG 0.73
Shooting
4 Goals 0
19 Total Shots 14
8 Shots On Target 1
Defending
0 Goals Conceded 4
1 Clean sheets 0
Passing
599 Total Passes 464
549 Accurate Passes 407
Possession
56.4% Possession 43.6%
9 Corners 6
Discipline
0 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
6 Fouls 9

League Standings table is not available yet.

Data provided by

Real Madrid vs Malaga is a La Liga clash at the Santiago Bernabeu on Sunday, with the hosts overwhelming favourites against the newly-promoted visitors.

Real Madrid won their last league outing while Malaga drew with Deportivo, and the market makes the hosts huge favourites. Andy Francis has the best bets, a score prediction and the head-to-head record below.

Premium Tips

Andy is with Real Madrid, who look a class above and should win at a canter.

Premium TipOddsWhy we’re backing it
Real Madrid to win, over 2.5 Real Madrid goals and Jude Bellingham to score anytime5/2Real Madrid scored 77 goals last season, comfortably the division’s most potent attack, and opened this campaign with a controlled 2-1 win at Espanyol. Malaga return to the top flight on the back of a battling 1-1 draw with Deportivo, but a first trip to the Bernabeu is a huge step up in class. Madrid have won all four recent meetings between these sides and should dominate territory and chances throughout. With Bellingham a key attacking outlet from midfield and Madrid’s front line expected to punish a newly promoted defence, a comfortable win with three-plus goals and a Bellingham strike looks well within reach.
Kylian Mbappe over 2.5 shots on target, Vinicius Jr over 1.5 shots on target and Fede Valverde over 0.5 shots on target7/2Real Madrid’s attack scored 77 goals last season, and Malaga’s newly promoted defence is likely to be tested from the first whistle at the Bernabeu. Mbappe leads the line as the focal point and habitual shot-taker, while Vinicius offers pace and directness from the left that regularly produces efforts on goal. Valverde’s box-to-box running and willingness to shoot from distance add a third source of attempts. Facing a side expected to sit deep for long spells, all three should see enough of the ball in dangerous areas to clear these shot-on-target thresholds comfortably.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly. GambleAware — gambleaware.org · Odds correct at time of publishing.

How Real Madrid go into the game

Real Madrid opened with a 2-1 win at Espanyol, a professional away display. The Bernabeu will expect a comfortable home win against newly-promoted Malaga.

Loaded with quality across the pitch, Real Madrid are the title favourites and should have far too much for the visitors. Anything but a comfortable win would be a shock.

How Malaga go into the game

Malaga drew 1-1 with Deportivo on their return to La Liga, a decent point for the promoted side. A trip to the Bernabeu, though, is about as tough as it gets.

Malaga will look to stay compact and limit the damage against a rampant Real Madrid. Keeping the score respectable would be a creditable outcome here.

Real Madrid vs Malaga: 2025-26 by the numbers

Real Madrid vs Malaga head-to-head

DateHomeScoreAway
15/04/18Málaga1-2Real Madrid
25/11/17Real Madrid3-2Málaga
21/05/17Málaga0-2Real Madrid
21/01/17Real Madrid2-1Málaga

Real Madrid won all four of the most recent meetings, though these date back to 2016-18.

Real Madrid vs Malaga predictions & betting tips

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Real Madrid to win1/7⭐⭐⭐⭐Title favourites, far too strong.
Over 2.5 goals4/11⭐⭐⭐⭐Madrid’s attack should dominate.
Real Madrid -2 handicap5/6⭐⭐⭐Backed to win by three or more.
Real Madrid clean sheet8/11⭐⭐Promoted side may struggle to score.
Real Madrid to win 3-06/1⭐⭐Headline scoreline.

Real Madrid vs Malaga score prediction

Malaga will try to stay in the game, but Real Madrid have far too much quality and firepower. Expect a comfortable home win with a clean sheet at the Bernabeu. Score prediction: Real Madrid 3-0 Malaga.

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