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Squawka / News / Newcastle vs Bournemouth predictions and betting tips: Bournemouth’s wastefulness the worry

Newcastle vs Bournemouth predictions and betting tips: Bournemouth’s wastefulness the worry

Sat 5 September, 12:30 St. James' Park
  1. Full Time
  2. 90 + 6'
  3. 90 + 4'
  4. 90'
  5. 89'
  6. 89'
  7. 88'
  8. 87'
  9. 77'
  10. 77'
  11. 76'
  12. 76'
    L. Cook on for T. Adams
  13. 66'
  14. 63'
  15. 63'
  16. 57'
  17. Half Time
  18. 37'
  19. 35'
    M. Thiaw (OG)
  20. 28'
  21. 9'
  22. Kick Off
Momentum
Top Stats
57.6% Possession 42.4%
2 Goals 2
8 Shots 17
2 Shots On Target 5
4 Corners Won 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
0.70 xG 1.33
Shooting
2 Goals 2
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots On Target 5
Defending
2 Goals Conceded 2
0 Clean sheets 0
Passing
459 Total Passes 335
377 Accurate Passes 256
Possession
57.6% Possession 42.4%
4 Corners 3
Discipline
2 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
19 Fouls 17

League Standings table is not available yet.

Data provided by

Newcastle vs Bournemouth is a Premier League Gameweek 3 clash at St James’ Park on Saturday, with the hosts fancied after a fine away win.

Andy Francis has the best bets, a score prediction and the head-to-head record for this Premier League clash below.

Premium Tips

Andy is with Newcastle, whose home form should tell against Bournemouth.

Premium TipOddsWhy we’re backing it
Newcastle United to win and Yoane Wissa to score anytime16/5Newcastle have started brightly at home and in front of goal, scoring four and conceding two across their opening two games, while Bournemouth have managed just two goals and shipped three in theirs. Wissa is the pick to score: across his recent football he has piled up 19 shots worth 4.64 expected goals, with 45 touches in the opposition box and seven big chances, so the volume of openings is clearly there against a Bournemouth defence already leaking.
Alex Scott over 2.5 tackles, Nico Gonzalez over 1.5 fouls committed and Anthony Elanga over 1.5 shots31/10The player profiles fit the roles. Scott is a near ever-present Bournemouth midfielder with over 3,000 minutes logged and a heavy defensive workload, averaging around two tackles per 90 from 67 attempted. Gonzalez is a combative holding midfielder who commits roughly 1.75 fouls per 90 across his recent football and is booking-prone, with six yellows last season. Elanga brings the shot threat for Newcastle, 21 attempts in the sample plus a constant corner and counter-attacking presence at home.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly. GambleAware — gambleaware.org · Odds correct at time of publishing.

How Newcastle go into the game

Newcastle won 2-0 at Tottenham last time out, a statement away result. St James’ Park will expect them to build on it.

The Magpies are dangerous and well-backed at home, with European ambitions. Three points against Bournemouth is the aim.

How Bournemouth go into the game

Bournemouth drew 1-1 with Everton last time out, a fair point. They travel to the north-east as clear underdogs.

The Cherries are well-drilled and dangerous on the counter, but St James’ Park is a demanding trip. Staying compact is key.

Newcastle vs Bournemouth: 2025-26 by the numbers

Newcastle vs Bournemouth head-to-head

DateHomeScoreAway
18/04/26Newcastle1-2Bournemouth
10/01/26Newcastle2-2Bournemouth
21/09/25Bournemouth0-0Newcastle
18/01/25Newcastle1-4Bournemouth
25/08/24Bournemouth1-1Newcastle

Bournemouth are unbeaten in the last five meetings, winning twice and drawing three, including a 4-1 rout at Newcastle.

Newcastle vs Bournemouth stats to look out for

Newcastle have four goals from 2.16 xG, so the finishing has flattered them. Bournemouth are the opposite story.

2026/27, opening two league gamesNewcastleBournemouth
Goals scored42
Expected goals (xG)2.162.94
Shots2422
Shot accuracy14.3%50.0%
Chances created1718
Touches in the opposition box3734
Big chances missed26

The Cherries have created 18 chances and run up 2.94 xG, more than the hosts, yet have only two goals to show for it. Six big chances missed is the number that explains the gap.

Newcastle’s shot accuracy of 14.29% is the lowest of any side in the division after two games. They have been ruthless with what little they have put on target.

Newcastle vs Bournemouth predictions & betting tips

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Newcastle United to win11/10⭐⭐⭐Home edge, in form.
Under 2.5 goals11/8⭐⭐A controlled game expected.
Newcastle or draw (Double Chance)4/11⭐⭐⭐Cover on the hosts.
Both teams to score – No6/4⭐⭐Newcastle value control.
Newcastle United to win 2-012/1⭐⭐Headline scoreline.

Newcastle vs Bournemouth score prediction

Bournemouth will make it awkward, but Newcastle’s quality and home backing should tell. Expect the Magpies to edge it. Score prediction: Newcastle United 2-0 AFC Bournemouth.

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