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Squawka / News / Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal predictions and betting tips: Sorloth to fire hosts home

Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal predictions and betting tips: Sorloth to fire hosts home

Sun 23 August, 16:00 Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
  1. Full Time
  2. 90 + 10'
  3. 90 + 1'
  4. 85'
  5. 84'
  6. 79'
  7. 79'
  8. 79'
  9. 78'
  10. 76'
  11. 76'
  12. 75'
    G. Mikautadze Penalty awarded
  13. 66'
  14. 66'
  15. 66'
  16. 66'
  17. 61'
  18. 60'
  19. 59'
  20. 54'
  21. 50'
  22. 46'
  23. Half Time
  24. Kick Off
Momentum
Top Stats
51.9% Possession 48.1%
2 Goals 2
19 Shots 13
4 Shots On Target 6
5 Corners Won 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
1 Red Cards 0
0.80 xG 3.11
Shooting
2 Goals 2
19 Total Shots 13
4 Shots On Target 6
Defending
2 Goals Conceded 2
0 Clean sheets 0
Passing
520 Total Passes 498
459 Accurate Passes 440
Possession
51.9% Possession 48.1%
5 Corners 3
Discipline
3 Yellow Cards 2
1 Red Cards 0
12 Fouls 13

League Standings table is not available yet.

Data provided by

Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal is a Sunday fixture at the Metropolitano, with the hosts favoured in a meeting of two of La Liga’s leading sides.

Atletico have home advantage, but Villarreal hammered them 5-1 in the reverse fixture last season and will not be feared lightly. Andy Francis has the best bets, our score prediction and the head-to-head record below. The game kicks off at 4pm BST on Sunday, August 23rd.

Premium Tips

Andy leans towards the hosts and goals, with Atletico strong at home but Villarreal always a threat in this fixture.

Premium TipOddsWhy we’re backing it
Atletico Madrid to win, both teams to score and over 3.5 goals5/1Atletico finished fourth last season and are formidable at the Metropolitano, where Sorloth and Julian Alvarez give them a genuine goal threat. Villarreal, though, finished third and travel with real quality of their own; they hammered Atletico 5-1 in the reverse fixture and have shown they can hurt this defence. The head-to-head record backs up an open, high-scoring fixture, with five goals shared in the most recent meeting and just two clean sheets across the last five clashes. Backing the hosts to edge a helter-skelter affair, with both teams finding the net and the goals flowing beyond 3.5, looks the right way to attack the 5/1 price.
Alexander Sorloth to score anytime and Georges Mikautadze over 0.5 shots on target2/1Sorloth leads the Atletico line and looks the player most likely to get on the scoresheet in a fixture Andy expects to open up. He’s Simeone’s first-choice striker and faces a Villarreal defence that shipped five goals in the reverse fixture, so the goal threat is obvious. At the other end, Mikautadze offers low-risk value: he’s a regular starter for the Yellow Submarine and rarely goes long without registering a shot on target, even on the road. Pairing Atletico’s spearhead with a shots marker for Villarreal’s forward line is a smart way to boost the returns on Sorloth’s threat without loading up on risk, making the 2/1 price appealing.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly. GambleAware — gambleaware.org · Odds correct at time of publishing.

How Atletico Madrid go into the game

Atletico Madrid finished fourth last season on 69 points and remain one of Spain’s heavyweights under Diego Simeone. The Metropolitano is one of the toughest venues in the country.

Alexander Sorloth and Julian Alvarez give them a fearsome strike pairing. Atletico won this fixture at home last season and will look to make amends for a heavy defeat in the reverse.

How Villarreal go into the game

Villarreal finished third last season on 72 points and will play Champions League football, confirming their status among the division’s best. They travel with genuine quality.

The Yellow Submarine hammered Atletico 5-1 in the reverse fixture last season and carry a real attacking threat. Backing that up at the Metropolitano is a tougher task, however.

Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal: 2025-26 by the numbers

Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal head-to-head

DateHomeScoreAway
24/05/26Villarreal5-1Atletico Madrid
13/09/25Atletico Madrid2-0Villarreal
25/01/25Atletico Madrid1-1Villarreal
19/08/24Villarreal2-2Atletico Madrid
01/04/24Villarreal2-1Atletico Madrid

A closely fought fixture, with Atletico winning two of the last five and Villarreal one, but the Yellow Submarine won the most recent meeting 5-1. Two draws complete the recent record.

Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal predictions & betting tips

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Atletico Madrid to win10/11⭐⭐⭐Home advantage at a tough Metropolitano.
Alexander Sorloth anytime scorer11/10⭐⭐⭐Leads the Atletico line.
Both teams to score4/5⭐⭐⭐Both carry a threat in an open fixture.
Over 2.5 goals10/11⭐⭐Goals expected between two strong attacks.
Atletico Madrid to win 2-115/2⭐⭐Our headline scoreline for a home win.

Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal score prediction

Villarreal humiliated Atletico in the reverse fixture and will be dangerous, so the hosts have a point to prove. Home advantage and Simeone’s know-how should just about tell, though, in an open game with goals at both ends. Score prediction: Atletico Madrid 2-1 Villarreal.

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