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Squawka / Features / Premier League Predictions Gameweek 12: Gunners to ease past Spurs in the North London derby

Premier League Predictions Gameweek 12: Gunners to ease past Spurs in the North London derby

The Premier League returns for Gameweek 12, with fixtures taking place over Saturday 22nd, Sunday 23rd and Monday 24th November.

Seven matches take place on Saturday, with Chelsea travelling to Burnley for a 12:30 pm kick-off. A quintet of games kick off at 3:00 pm, including Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest, before Newcastle hosts Manchester City.

On Sunday, the North London derby takes centre stage at 4:30 pm at The Emirates and Manchester United against Everton rounds off proceedings on Monday night.

Burnley vs Chelsea – 12:30pm Saturday 22 November

Chelsea have won eight of their nine Premier League away games against Burnley (D1), including each of the last six in a row. Only at Bolton (9 between 2004 and 2011) and Sunderland (9 between 2003 and 2013) have they won more consecutively in the competition. The Blues have also scored at least three goals in their last five against the Clarets.

Prediction: Burnley 0-3 Chelsea (11/1 with SBK)

Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest – 3:00pm Saturday 22 November

Liverpool have a strong historical edge, winning 4 of their last 7 games against Forest. At home, Liverpool have dominated this fixture, with a near-perfect Anfield record vs Forest. Forest’s 0.90 average goals per game this season suggests they struggle for a consistent attacking threat. Given Liverpool’s creativity and quality in the final third, they should be able to convert and secure the win.

Prediction: Liverpool 2-0 Nottingham Forest (9/1 with SBK)

Bournemouth vs West Ham – 3:00pm Saturday 22 November

With Bournemouth having lost last time out and West Ham winning last time out, this doesn’t look an easy result to predict. The Hammers have a good record against the Cherries, and a share of the points looks likely after West Ham’s improvement under their new boss.

Prediction: Bournemouth 1-1 West Ham (8/1 with SBK)

Wolves vs Crystal Palace – 3:00pm Saturday 22 November

Crystal Palace look well-placed to beat Wolves on 22 November: Wolves have won just one of their last 12 Premier League games, highlighting dire form. Palace, meanwhile, are unbeaten in 10 of their last 12 league games, showing consistency under pressure. Their head-to-head record favours them too: they’ve won 3 of their last 3 at Molineux, underscoring their strong mental edge.

Prediction: Wolves 1-2 Crystal Palace (9/1 with SBK)

Brighton vs Brentford – 3:00pm Saturday 22 November

Brentford have a higher shot accuracy (54.4%) and more big chances created this season. The Bees look a big price considering how well they have performed this season in what could be a game of tight margins.

Prediction: Brighton 0-1 Brentford (16/1 with SBK)

Fulham vs Sunderland – 3:00pm Saturday 22 November

Sunderland to steal a narrow victory looks a strong angle against Fulham this weekend thanks to their resilience and Fulham’s inconsistency this season. Sunderland have lost just twice all season, conceding fewer than 1.1 xGA per match, while Fulham’s form remains fragile, taking limited points and allowing over 1.5 xGA per game. Sunderland’s compact press regularly frustrates possession-heavy sides, making them well-suited to disrupt Fulham and secure the points.

Prediction: Fulham 1-2 Sunderland (15/1 with SBK)

Newcastle vs Man City – 5:30pm Saturday 22 November

City have dominated the fixture, winning five of the last six league meetings, while Newcastle have struggled defensively, conceding 1.7 goals per game this season. Pep Guardiola’s side also boast the league’s best ball-retention numbers and average 2.3 goals per match, consistently overpowering mid-table opponents. Newcastle’s injury-hit back line and declining xG against trend further strengthen City’s chances of taking all three points.

Prediction: Newcastle 1-3 Man City (17/1 with SBK)

Leeds vs Aston Villa – 2:00pm Sunday 23 November

A statistical analysis suggests a difficult match for Leeds United against Aston Villa. Villa currently sits 10 places above Leeds in the Premier League table, in 6th position compared to Leeds’ 16th. Recent form heavily favours Aston Villa. They have won four of their last six league matches, including a decisive 4-0 victory over Bournemouth in their most recent game. In contrast, Leeds have lost their last two Premier League fixtures, a 3-1 away loss to Nottingham Forest and a 3-0 defeat to Brighton. Historically, the fixture has been closely contested, but Villa holds the edge.

Prediction: Leeds 0-2 Aston Villa (14/1 with SBK)

Arsenal vs Tottenham – 4:30pm Sunday 23 November

Data points to an Arsenal victory over Tottenham. Arsenal currently sit 1st in the Premier League, having won 73% of their matches, while Tottenham is in 5th. The Gunners are in formidable form, winning four of their last five league games. In contrast, Tottenham’s form is average, with two losses and a draw in their last four games. Historically, Arsenal also holds the advantage, winning 30 of the 70 games played since 1995, compared to Tottenham’s 16.

Prediction Arsenal 2-0 Tottenham (7/1 with SBK)

Man United vs Everton – 8:00pm Monday 24 November

Both teams have scored in 4 of the last 5 meetings, and no side has scored more first-half goals than Manchester United in the Premier League this season. Furthermore, BTTS and over 2.5 goals have landed in 9 of Manchester United’s last 11, and the hosts can come out on top in what should be a lively affair on Monday evening.

Prediction: Man United 3-1 Everton (14/1 with SBK)