After a poor run of three-straight defeats threatened to derail their season, Arsenal have lifted themselves right back into the Premier League’s top four race. The Gunners went to Stamford Bridge to face London rivals Chelsea on Wednesday night and left with a 4-2 win over the FA Cup finalists, to move level on points with fourth-placed Tottenham Hotspur.
Although Tottenham have the upper hand on goal difference, Arsenal have been given a higher probability of finishing in the top four by Opta’s AI-powered season predictions at 66.41% and they still have to play their North London rivals. Saturday’s game does represent the second of what has been deemed a tricky run-in for Arsenal, which also sees them take on West Ham and Leeds before the potential top-four decider at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.
However, looking to spoil Arsenal’s party while keeping their own top four hopes alive are Man Utd. The Red Devils dropped to sixth after their 4-0 crushing at the hands of rivals Liverpool, below the Gunners on goal difference (before Arsenal beat Chelsea). That Arsenal win has left Man Utd even further adrift, three points behind the two sides above them having played a game more.
All of this has led to Man Utd being given just a 1.31% chance of finishing in the top four, and they are in fact favoured more to finish in the Europa Conference League place (62.35%) than the Europa League (9.22%). The Red Devils’ form has been patchy of late too, winning just two of their past six matches, losing to Everton and Manchester City on top of the Liverpool defeat – their only wins in that time have come against Norwich City and Tottenham.
Premier League top four odds
Find the latest Premier League top four odds for the 2022/2023 season here:
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Arsenal vs Man Utd: Match Stats
Emile Smith Rowe was one of Arsenal’s goalscorers at Stamford Bridge on Wednesday, netting his 10th league goal of the season, but the Englishman much prefers the Emirates. The midfielder is Arsenal’s highest goalscorer at the Emirates in all competitions this season, scoring six goals so far.
Arsenal vs Man Utd may not be as feisty as it was during the title-rival years of Arsene Wenger and Sir Alex Ferguson, but with a lot on the line there could still be tackles flying in. So far this season, Man Utd have averaged 1.94 yellow cards per game in the Premier League, the sixth-highest in the division, while Arsenal’s 1.47 is the fifth-lowest.
2 December 2021 – Man Utd 3-2 Arsenal – Premier League
30 January 2021 – Arsenal 0-0 Man Utd – Premier League
1 November 2020 – Man Utd 0-1 Arsenal – Premier League
1 January 2020 – Arsenal 2-0 Man Utd – Premier League
30 September 2019 – Man Utd 1-1 Arsenal – Premier League
In Ralf Rangnick’s first game in charge of Man Utd, the Red Devils ended their five-game winless streak against Arsenal with a 3-2 victory in December. Man Utd will now be looking to do the league double over the Gunners for the first time since 2017/18, when they won 3-1 at the Emirates and 2-1 at Old Trafford.