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Liverpool vs Aston Villa prediction, stats, tips & team news: Will Liverpool’s great form continue?

Liverpool vs Aston Villa prediction, stats, tips & team news

The weekend’s big game takes place at Anfield as Liverpool host Aston Villa in what should be a cracker in the Premier League. Our football betting expert Dean Woodward returns with his best bets.

Liverpool will be looking to enter the international break top of the Premier League as they host Aston Villa at Anfield on Saturday 9th November at 8pm. The Reds currently enjoy a two-point edge in the title race and are on a 12-game unbeaten run across all competitions, with 11 wins during that time. This game will be broadcast live in the UK on TNT Sports 1.

Ryan Gravenberch over 1.5 tackles, Luis Diaz over 0.5 fouls (4/5 with Bet365)

The Dutch midfielder has been a revelation under Slot this season, transforming into a much needed anchor in that midfield. Since this transition into this deeper role, he has seen a huge increase in defensive output. Ten of his last fifteen appearances have seen him rack up two or more tackles for Liverpool and it’s a trend I expect to continue against Villa Saturday evening.

McGinn played centrally in midweek with Rogers slightly more left, which I expect to be the same set up against Liverpool. This is great for Gravenberch as both draw lots of duels, which showed midweek with Brugge three central midfielders making three, three and two tackles between them.

Diaz is also down to start again on that left wing, and after making five fouls v Leverkusen in the Champions League, he draws the perfect match up with one of the most fouled defenders in the league, Ezri Konsa. The Colombian has made fifteen fouls (yes, fifteen) in his last four starts for Liverpool. Konsa was also fouled five times in midweek from right back, where he is set to start on Saturday with Matty Cash being out.

Alexis Mac Allister to be booked (14/5 with Bet365)

It should be a good battle in that midfield area on Saturday evening, and the Argentinian peaks my interest for this one. As mentioned above for the Gravenberch tackles, there should be lots of action in those central areas which means theres a good chance Mac Allister can pick up yet another booking. Two central midfielders were booked midweek against Villa, another trend I think could continue here.

The Argentinian has astonishingly been booked in five of his last seven appearances and is an extremely consistent foul hitter, making at least one in every start this season. At almost 3/1 (25% chance) and a central midfielder being booked against Villa in six of the last seven games, I think he’s a booking worth having on side.

Liverpool vs Aston Villa Odds

How both teams go into Liverpool vs Aston Villa

Life under Arne Slot is going swimmingly for Liverpool. The Reds have lost just one game across all competitions, with 14 wins and one draw. After a 2-2 draw with Arsenal last month, Liverpool are strung together a run of three consecutive wins across three competitions. Brighton fell in the EFL Cup and Premier League, before Liverpool easily dispatched Bayer Leverkusen in the Champions League in midweek. In the league alone, Arne Slot is just the fifth manager to win as many as eight of his first 10 Premier League games. Only one of the previous four have failed to win their 11th game.

Aston Villa are looking good this season, allaying any fears that they would struggle in the top four race like Newcastle United did last year. Although the Villans sit sixth, they are just a point behind third-placed Nottingham Forest in what is an extremely close group. There are just four point between third and 11th in the Premier League. But Unai Emery’s men have only won one of their past five Premier League games, with three draws. They go into this one without a win in two, including the 4-1 defeat to Tottenham Hotspur last time out.

Liverpool team news

There are have been no real updates for Liverpool, with their four absentees all not expected back until after the international break. But Alisson, Diogo Jota, Federico Chiesa and Harvey Elliott should all return shortly after the break.

Aston Villa team news

Morgan Rogers suffered a little injury against Tottenham but should be okay to feature here. Matty Cash is a out with a calf injury, while Ross Barkley will be out until after the international break.

Liverpool vs Aston Villa head-to-head

Liverpool took four points from their two league games against Aston Villa last season. It extended the Reds’ unbeaten run in this fixture to eight games across all competitions, with Liverpool winning six.

Liverpool vs Aston Villa H2H
Date Score Ground
13/05/24 Aston Villa 3-3 Liverpool Villa Park, Birmingham
03/09/23 Liverpool 3-0 Aston Villa Anfield, Liverpool
20/05/23 Liverpool 1-1 Aston Villa Anfield, Liverpool
26/12/22 Aston Villa 1-3 Liverpool Villa Park, Birmingham
10/05/22 Aton Villa 1-2 Liverpool Villa Park, Birmingham

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