Just a few months ago this was being billed as a potential relegation six-pointer, with Newcastle United and Burnley both struggling for Premier League safety. But Newcastle have long left that conversation, with Eddie Howe magnificently transforming the Magpies and leading them to safety with relative ease.
Going into the final day of the season, Newcastle could actually finish in the top half of the table, just two points behind 10th-placed Brighton who face West Ham United, while 11th-placed Brentford take on a Leeds side also fighting relegation. However, Newcastle may be wary of their away form going into this game, winning just one of their past five Premier League matches on the road.
Burnley will take heart from that as a win will secure their spot in the Premier League. The Clarets go into the final day of the season level on points with 18th-placed Leeds United and only out of the relegation zone due to their goal difference. The goal difference is significant enough that simply equalling Leeds’ result should be enough, but Burnley will want to get the job done themselves.
However, Mike Jackson’s side aren’t in the greatest form, winless in their past three after an initial bounce post-Sean Dyche departure. That run has seen Burnley lose to Aston Villa and Tottenham, before a draw with the former on Thursday saw them miss the chance of moving two points clear of Leeds.
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Burnley vs Newcastle match stats
We’ve mentioned Newcastle’s poor recent away form, but Burnley have also made Turf Moor something of a minor fortress in their past few matches. The Clarets have won three of their last four home league games, as many as they had in their previous 26 at Turf Moor (drawing 11 and losing 12).
This is going to be a nervy game for Burnley and, unfortunately for any neutrals watching, it doesn’t scream goals. Only Norwich have scored fewer goals in the Premier League this season than Burnley’s 33, while Newcastle’s 42 is the fifth-worst in the division.
4 December 2021 – Newcastle 1-0 Burnley – Premier League
25 August 2021 – Newcastle 0-0 Burnley – EFL Cup
11 April 2021 – Burnley 1-2 Newcastle – Premier League
3 October 2020 – Newcastle 3-1 Burnley – Premier League
29 February 2020 – Newcastle 0-0 Burnley – Premier League
Newcastle go into this game off the back of three straight wins over Burnley in the league, including a 1-0 result at St James’ Park in December. The Magpies are looking to win four consecutive Premier League games against an opponent for the first time since doing so vs QPR between 2012 and 2014.
Where are Burnley tipped to finish this season?
Find the latest Premier League relegation odds for the 2022/2023 season here: