Italy France-
1 Michael Olise 4 - 2 Francesco Pio Esposito 2
- 3 Alessandro Bastoni 2
- 4 Rayan Cherki 1
- 5 Michael Kayode 1
- 6 Gianluca Scamacca 1
- 7 Davide Frattesi 1
- 8 Kylian Mbappé 1
- 9 Riccardo Calafiori 1
- 10 Désiré Doué 1
- 1 Ousmane Dembélé 12
- 2 Désiré Doué 11
- 3 Michael Olise 10
- 4 Moise Kean 7
- 5 Estéban Lepaul 7
- 6 Francesco Pio Esposito 6
- 7 Davide Frattesi 5
- 8 Sandro Tonali 5
- 9 Bradley Barcola 5
- 10 Alessandro Bastoni 5
- 1 Andy Diouf 5
- 2 Davide Frattesi 5
- 3 Antonio Vergara 5
- 4 Adrien Truffert 4
- 5 Désiré Doué 4
- 6 Adrien Rabiot 3
- 7 Nicolò Fagioli 3
- 8 Giorgio Scalvini 3
- 9 Leny Yoro 3
- 10 Lucas da Cunha 3
- 1 Rayan Cherki 2
- 2 Désiré Doué 2
- 3 Michael Olise 2
- 4 Francesco Pio Esposito 1
- 5 Alessandro Romano 1
- 6 Lucas da Cunha 1
- 7 Nicolò Barella 1
- 1 Ousmane Dembélé 11
- 2 Rayan Cherki 7
- 3 Michael Olise 7
- 4 Désiré Doué 6
- 5 Francesco Pio Esposito 5
- 6 Maghnes Akliouche 5
- 7 Lucas da Cunha 5
- 8 Nicolò Cambiaghi 5
- 9 Michael Kayode 4
- 10 Nicolò Barella 4
- 1 Maxence Lacroix 224
- 2 Lucas da Cunha 192
- 3 Rayan Cherki 173
- 4 Alessandro Bastoni 171
- 5 Dayot Upamecano 161
- 6 Gianluca Mancini 147
- 7 Jérémy Jacquet 146
- 8 Eduardo Camavinga 146
- 9 Michael Olise 142
- 10 Sandro Tonali 138
- 1 Désiré Doué 8
- 2 Bradley Barcola 6
- 3 Ousmane Dembélé 6
- 4 Michael Olise 6
- 5 Manu Koné 5
- 6 Issa Doumbia 4
- 7 Michael Kayode 4
- 8 Adrien Truffert 4
- 9 Antonio Vergara 4
- 10 Rayan Cherki 3
- 1 Eduardo Camavinga 7
- 2 Maxence Lacroix 6
- 3 Pierre Kalulu 6
- 4 Michael Olise 6
- 5 Dayot Upamecano 6
- 6 Davide Frattesi 5
- 7 Matteo Ruggeri 4
- 8 Nicolò Barella 3
- 9 Sebastiano Esposito 3
- 10 Jules Koundé 3
ItalyNo absentees
FranceNo absentees
Italy host France at the San Siro on Thursday 12 November, a 7.45pm kick-off (UK time) in the Nations League, with Zinedine Zidane‘s group leaders knowing a point would go a long way towards securing top spot in Group A1.
France sit top of Group A1 and are unbeaten, two points clear of a rebuilding Italy side under returning boss Roberto Mancini. The sides shared a 1-1 draw in Paris last month, and Italy head into this one having lost their last three matches in Milan. We have worked through the Italy vs France odds for our best bets, two premium picks and a score prediction below.
Premium Tips
Anthony Eadson sees another tight, cagey affair between these two heavyweights, with France content to contain and both sides carrying just enough to find the net.
| Premium Tip | Odds | Why we’re backing it |
|---|---|---|
| Kylian Mbappe to score anytime | 5/6 (bet365) | Kylian Mbappe is over the October knee problem and back to his flying best, and with Marcus Thuram unlikely to start it is the France captain who should lead the line at the San Siro. Mbappe has been in sparkling form and will relish the space against an Italy defence still bedding in under Mancini, and in our 1-1 call he is the likeliest man to find the France goal. At 5/6 he is the standout pick, and anyone wanting a bigger price can back him as first goalscorer at 10/3 (bet365). |
| Draw and both teams to score | 18/5 (bet365) | The reverse fixture in Paris finished 1-1, and with France able to all but seal top spot with a point, Zidane’s side may be happy to keep things controlled. Italy are tough to beat at home and will back themselves to find a goal, so an even contest in which both sides score makes plenty of sense. At 18/5, the draw with both teams to score is worth a look. |
18+ only. Please gamble responsibly. GambleAware — gambleaware.org · Odds correct at time of publishing.
How Italy go into the game
Italy are second in Group A1 on seven points under Roberto Mancini, back for a second spell in charge of a side he is rebuilding after their failure to reach the 2026 World Cup. It has been a mixed campaign, opening with a flat 2-0 home defeat to Belgium before responding with wins over Turkey and that creditable 1-1 draw away to France.
The last time out was a 3-1 home win over Turkey, following the point in Paris and a 4-1 win in Turkey either side of the Belgium loss. Young forward Francesco Pio Esposito has been among the goals, while Nicolo Zaniolo returns to the fold. One note of caution for the hosts: Italy have lost their last three matches in Milan, a city that has become something of a bogey venue.
How France go into the game
France top Group A1 on 10 points and are the only unbeaten side in the section under Zinedine Zidane, who took the reins in the summer. Les Bleus ground out early 1-0 wins over Turkey and Belgium before the draw in Italy and a statement 4-1 thrashing of Belgium last time out, showing both defensive steel and attacking punch.
Michael Olise has been the standout, pulling the strings from the Bayern Munich forward line. Kylian Mbappe is over the knee injury that kept him out in October and is back to his brilliant best, and with Marcus Thuram likely to drop to the bench it is the France captain who should lead the line, while Ousmane Dembele misses out injured. France carry more than enough quality to protect their lead at the top.
Italy vs France head-to-head
Italy have historically held the edge over France across a long and storied rivalry, though the overall record is close and the recent meetings have been tight. The sides drew 1-1 in Paris last month, while France won the most recent competitive meeting before that 3-1 in Milan in November 2024. The history runs deep: France won the Euro 2000 final with a golden goal, Italy triumphed on penalties in the 2006 World Cup final after a 1-1 draw, and the Azzurri won 2-0 at Euro 2008. With so much shared history, we have kept this to prose rather than quote a disputed all-time tally.
Italy vs France predictions & betting tips
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 3/1 (bet365) | ⭐⭐ | The reverse fixture finished 1-1 and France may settle for a point that all but secures top spot. |
| Both teams to score – Yes | 8/13 (bet365) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Both sides have shown they can score and the group meeting in Paris saw goals at either end. |
| Under 2.5 goals | 5/4 (bet365) | ⭐⭐⭐ | France have kept things tight all campaign and the reverse fixture was a cagey 1-1. |
| Italy 1-1 France | 13/2 (bet365) | ⭐⭐ | A repeat of the Paris stalemate looks a live outcome between two closely matched sides. |
Italy vs France score prediction
This has the makings of another tense, low-scoring affair. France are unbeaten and sit top, but with a point enough to all but secure first place, Zidane’s side may be content to keep things controlled rather than chase the game. Italy are hard to beat at home despite their recent Milan woes and will carry a threat through Pio Esposito, so we expect both to find the net in a repeat of the 1-1 draw the sides played out in Paris last month. Score prediction: Italy 1-1 France.
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