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Squawka / News / Previews / Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad predictions and betting tips: Basque derby set to stay tight

Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad predictions and betting tips: Basque derby set to stay tight

Sun 1 November, 20:00 San Mamés Barria

Predictions are not available for this match yet.

Athletic Club
2 Athletic Club Wins
2 Draws
1 Real Sociedad Wins
Real Sociedad
Head to head stats
6 Goals 5
5 Goals Conceded 6
13 Yellow Cards 13
20 Corners Won 25
55 Shots 44
55 Tackles Won 73
Athletic Club
1 - 1
Real Sociedad
Primera División · 01 Feb 2026
Real Sociedad
3 - 2
Athletic Club
Primera División · 01 Nov 2025
Real Sociedad
0 - 0
Athletic Club
Primera División · 04 May 2025
Athletic Club
1 - 0
Real Sociedad
Primera División · 24 Nov 2024
Athletic Club
2 - 1
Real Sociedad
Primera División · 13 Jan 2024
Athletic Club Athletic Club
Primera División 2026/2027
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad
Season Stats
10 Matches played 10
12 Goals 19
9 Goals Conceded 18
135 Shots 145
37 Shots On Target 52
54.7% Possession 50.1%
98 Chances Created 108
105 Fouls 124
67 Take-Ons Completed 69
139 Tackles Made 178
18 Yellow Cards 18
2 Red Cards 3
56 Corners Won 65
Athletic Club Athletic Club
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad

No price boosts for this event.

Bet Builder is not available yet.

Betting markets are not available yet.

League Standings table is not available yet.

Data provided by

Athletic Club and Real Sociedad renew the Basque derby at San Mames on Sunday night (8.00pm UK time), with bragging rights and a top-half La Liga place on the line.

Sitting eighth with a game in hand, Athletic Club are fresh from a 4-0 thumping of Getafe. Real Sociedad, though, arrive in the form of their lives, winners of four league games in a row to climb to fifth.

Our Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad predictions and betting tips weigh up a derby that pits Athletic’s stingy home record against one of the division’s most in-form attacks.

Premium Tips

Anthony Eadson expects a typically tight Basque derby, and his two picks reflect that. Gorka Guruzeta is out for the season with a knee injury.

Premium TipOddsWhy we’re backing it
Under 2.5 goals23/20 (BoyleSports)Four of the last five derbies have produced two goals or fewer, including two 1-0 Real Sociedad wins in last season’s Copa del Rey semi-final and a 1-1 at San Mames in February. Athletic Club have conceded only four goals in five home league games and kept five clean sheets in all. Real Sociedad score freely, but this fixture has been tight, with four of the last five settled by one goal or fewer. Under 2.5 goals at 23/20 with BoyleSports looks the value.
The Draw11/4 (Betfred)Derbies between these neighbours rarely stray far from parity. Two of the last five meetings were draws, including a 1-1 at San Mames last February, and four of the five were settled by one goal or fewer. Athletic Club have drawn three of their nine league games and conceded only four times at home, while Real Sociedad arrive on a four-game winning run. With one side hard to break down and the other in form, Betfred’s 11/4 about the draw is worth backing.

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How Athletic Club go into the game

Athletic Club have been excellent at San Mames, losing just one of five home games and conceding only four goals there. Five clean sheets across the season point to a side built on defensive solidity, and they signed off last time out with a 4-0 home win over Getafe.

The wider picture is more mixed. Athletic have won three, drawn three and lost three of their nine games, with 12 goals scored and nine conceded, and they have looked more vulnerable away from home. On their own patch, though, they remain a hard team to break down.

How Real Sociedad go into the game

Real Sociedad could hardly be in better touch, having won their last four in La Liga, including a 2-1 home victory over Levante last time out. Fifth place and 19 points reflect a team that knows where the goal is, with 19 scored already this season.

The flip side is a leaky defence. Real Sociedad have kept just one clean sheet all season and have shipped 18 goals, as many as some of the sides below them. They score freely away from home, with 12 goals in five road games, but they tend to concede at the other end too.

Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad: form guide and current league standing

Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad head-to-head

DateHomeScoreAway
04/03/26Real Sociedad1-0Athletic Club
11/02/26Athletic Club0-1Real Sociedad
01/02/26Athletic Club1-1Real Sociedad
01/11/25Real Sociedad3-2Athletic Club
04/05/25Real Sociedad0-0Athletic Club

Real Sociedad have had the upper hand in this derby lately, winning three and drawing two of the last five meetings in all competitions, including both legs of last season’s Copa del Rey semi-final. Each of Athletic’s recent games at San Mames has been close, while Real Sociedad won 3-2 at home in November 2025 in a rare high-scoring derby.

Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad predictions & betting tips

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
The Draw11/4 (Betfred)⭐⭐⭐Derbies between these neighbours rarely stray far from parity.
Both teams to score – Yes8/13 (bet365)⭐⭐⭐Real Sociedad have kept only one clean sheet in 10 league games, and Athletic Club have scored in four of their five home games.
Under 2.5 goals23/20 (BoyleSports)⭐⭐⭐Four of the last five derbies produced two goals or fewer, with San Mames often a cagey venue.
Athletic Club 1-1 Real Sociedad13/2 (Betfred)⭐⭐A share of the spoils has been the story at San Mames, where this exact fixture finished 1-1 in February.

Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad score prediction

Few derbies at San Mames pass without tension, and this one has the look of a cagey, closely fought 90 minutes. Real Sociedad’s form makes them dangerous, but Athletic’s home solidity should ensure honours end up even. Score prediction: Athletic Club 1-1 Real Sociedad.

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