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Squawka / News / Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna predictions and betting tips: low-scoring home win

Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna predictions and betting tips: low-scoring home win

Wed 16 September, 18:00 Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Momentum
Top Stats
67.9% Possession 32.1%
4 Goals 0
26 Shots 3
11 Shots On Target 1
8 Corners Won 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
3.69 xG 0.35
Shooting
4 Goals 0
26 Total Shots 3
11 Shots On Target 1
Defending
0 Goals Conceded 4
1 Clean sheets 0
Passing
657 Total Passes 313
581 Accurate Passes 232
Possession
67.9% Possession 32.1%
8 Corners 0
Discipline
1 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
8 Fouls 12

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Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna is a La Liga clash at the Metropolitano on Wednesday, kicking off at 6pm UK time, with the hosts strong favourites.

Anthony Eadson has the best bets, a score prediction and the head-to-head record for this La Liga clash below.

Premium Tips

Anthony Eadson expects a tight, low-scoring Atletico win at the Metropolitano.

Premium TipOddsWhy we’re backing it
Under 2.5 goals6/5 (LeoVegas)Atletico are miserly at the Metropolitano and Osasuna are one of the most defensively minded travellers in La Liga, happy to sit deep and frustrate. These fixtures often turn cagey, with the hosts controlling without cutting loose against a low block. With Osasuna offering little going forward on the road, under 2.5 goals looks the percentage call at 6/5.
Marcos Llorente to be carded10/3 (bet365)Llorente is among Atletico’ most combative runners and Osasuna are a physical, high-tempo side who draw plenty of cards and fouls into contests. Against an aggressive opponent, his all-action style and defensive covering leave him prone to a booking. At 10/3 for the midfielder to see a card, the price offers real value in a fixture set up for niggle.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly. GambleAware — gambleaware.org · Odds correct at time of publishing.

How Atletico Madrid go into the game

Atletico Madrid won 3-0 at Real Sociedad last time out, a commanding away display, either side of a 2-1 defeat at Liverpool in the Champions League.

Dangerous and well-drilled at home, Atletico should control this against a poor Osasuna.

How Osasuna go into the game

Osasuna were beaten 2-0 at home by Espanyol last time out, having lost 5-2 at Alaves before that. Goals have dried up.

Struggling for form, Osasuna face a daunting trip to the Metropolitano.

Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna: 2025-26 by the numbers

Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna head-to-head

DateHomeScoreAway
12/05/26Osasuna1-2Atletico
18/10/25Atletico1-0Osasuna
15/05/25Osasuna2-0Atletico
12/01/25Atletico1-0Osasuna
19/05/24Atletico1-4Osasuna

Atlético Madrid have edged the recent exchanges with three wins to Osasuna’s two over the last five, though Osasuna have shown they can spring surprises, including a 4-1 win in Madrid in May 2024. Most of these games have been low-scoring and closely fought.

Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna predictions & betting tips

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Under 2.5 goals6/5⭐⭐⭐Atletico stifle at home and Osasuna sit deep away.
Marcos Llorente to be carded10/3⭐⭐Combative runner against a physical, card-prone Osasuna.
Atletico Madrid to win4/9⭐⭐⭐The class gap points to a routine home win.
Atletico Madrid to win to nil7/5⭐⭐A clean sheet is likely against a blunt visitor.
Both teams to score – No5/6⭐⭐Osasuna offer little going forward on the road.

Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna score prediction

Osasuna are short of confidence, and Atletico’s quality should tell at home. Expect a controlled home win. Score prediction: Atletico Madrid 2-0 Osasuna.

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