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Squawka / News / Derby County vs Swansea City predictions and betting tips: Rams fancied at Pride Park

Derby County vs Swansea City predictions and betting tips: Rams fancied at Pride Park

29 Aug · 12:30 iPro Stadium · Championship
J. Opoku   2' Eom Ji-Sung   44' Ronald   90 + 1'
  1. Full Time
  2. 90 + 1'
    Ronald
  3. 85'
    Ronald on for Eom Ji-Sung
  4. 84'
    E. Just
  5. L. Travis
    81'
  6. D. Sanderson
    79'
  7. O. Eames on for A. Mowatt
    78'
  8. 73'
    M. Stamenić
  9. F. Bilbija on for L. Salvesen
    69'
  10. S. Langås
    69'
  11. 65'
    S. Eustaquio on for J. Fulton
  12. 65'
    E. Just on for M. Widell
  13. 65'
    Ž. Vipotnik on for A. Idah
  14. R. Brewster on for R. Hedges
    46'
  15. S. Szmodics on for C. Blackett-Taylor
    46'
  16. J. Ward on for M. Johnston
    46'
  17. Half Time
  18. 44'
    Eom Ji-Sung
  19. 24'
    M. Yeo on for J. Opoku
  20. 2'
    J. Opoku
  21. Kick Off
Momentum
Top Stats
47% Possession 53%
0 Goals 3
8 Shots 23
0 Shots On Target 12
5 Corners Won 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
Shooting
0 Goals 3
8 Total Shots 23
0 Shots On Target 12
Defending
3 Goals Conceded 0
0 Clean sheets 1
Passing
404 Total Passes 475
308 Accurate Passes 394
Possession
47% Possession 53%
5 Corners 6
Discipline
3 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
16 Fouls 7
Goals
  • 1
    Swansea City
    Eom Ji-Sung
    1
  • 2
    Swansea City
    Ronald
    1
  • 3
    Swansea City
    Joseph Opoku
    1
Shots
  • 1
    Swansea City
    Zan Vipotnik
    4
  • 2
    Swansea City
    Adam Idah
    4
  • 3
    Swansea City
    Eom Ji-Sung
    3
Tackles Won
  • 1
    Derby County
    Alex Mowatt
    4
  • 2
    Swansea City
    Moussa Yeo
    3
  • 3
    Derby County
    Lewis Travis
    3
Assists
  • 1
    Swansea City
    Eom Ji-Sung
    1
  • 2
    Swansea City
    Stephen Eustaquio
    1
Chances Created
  • 1
    Swansea City
    Joshua Key
    5
  • 2
    Swansea City
    Moussa Yeo
    2
  • 3
    Swansea City
    Eom Ji-Sung
    2
Passes Completed
  • 1
    Swansea City
    Stephen Welsh
    50
  • 2
    Derby County
    Alex Mowatt
    49
  • 3
    Swansea City
    Marko Stamenic
    47
Take Ons Completed
  • 1
    Derby County
    Bobby Clark
    3
  • 2
    Derby County
    Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
    2
  • 3
    Derby County
    Joe Ward
    2
Interceptions
  • 1
    Swansea City
    Joshua Key
    3
  • 2
    Swansea City
    Marko Stamenic
    3
  • 3
    Derby County
    Joe Ward
    3
01
Widell Zetterström
18
Taylor
28
Sanderson
06
Langås
22
Johnston
27
Travis
20
Mowatt
33
Blackett-Taylor
08
Clark
26
Hedges
15
Salvesen
10
Ji-Sung
33
Idah
30
Opoku
06
Stamenic
04
Fulton
07
Widell
14
Tymon
23
Welsh
26
Lissah
02
Key
22
Vigouroux
Substitutes
37 Owen Eames 
10 Rhian Brewster 
29 Oscar Fraulo 
31 Josh Vickers 
24 Ryan Nyambe 
13 Filip Bilbija 
03 Craig Forsyth 
11 Sam Szmodics 
23 Joe Ward 
Substitutes
 Tiago Parente 20
 Moussa Yeo 49
 Ronald 35
 Zan Vipotnik 09
 Andy Fisher 01
 Elijah Just 08
 Thomas Woodward 44
 Stephen Eustaquio 46
 Jenson Seelt 03

League Standings table is not available yet.

Data provided by

Derby County vs Swansea City is a Championship clash at Pride Park on Saturday at 12.30pm, with the hosts fancied to build on an entertaining draw last time out.

Derby shared six goals with Cardiff last weekend while Swansea ground out a goalless draw, and the Rams are marginal favourites. Andy Francis has the best bets, a score prediction and the head-to-head record below.

Premium Tips

Andy leans towards Derby, whose home advantage should tell against a low-scoring Swansea.

Premium TipOddsWhy we’re backing it
Derby County to win and both teams to score18/5Derby have shown attacking intent in their draws so far, including a 2-2 shootout with Cardiff, and Pride Park should be buzzing as the Rams chase their first home win of the campaign against a Swansea side they finished well above last season. Derby’s issue has been defensive rather than a lack of firepower, which points to goals at both ends. Swansea, while well-organised and hard to beat, have shown they can nick goals on the road rather than settling purely for a shutout. With Derby’s home threat likely to be too much for a Swansea side built more for containment, a home win alongside goals at both ends looks a sound combination.
Carlton Morris to score anytime and Moussa Yeo to be booked12/1Morris was Derby’s outstanding forward last season, finishing as the club’s top scorer and already opening his account again this term, making him the obvious source of Rams goals in a match they’re expected to control at home. Yeo, meanwhile, plays as an energetic wide attacking midfielder for Swansea who gets heavily involved defensively as well as going forward, putting him in regular positions to pick up a card in a combative, high-tempo Championship away fixture where Swansea will need to work hard without the ball. Together, these two threads tap into each player’s expected role on Saturday.

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How Derby County go into the game

Derby played out an entertaining 2-2 draw with Cardiff last weekend, showing plenty going forward if some defensive frailty. Pride Park should be a lively venue as they chase a first home win.

The Rams are well-organised under their manager and dangerous on their day. Turning draws into three points at home is the priority as they look to climb the table.

How Swansea City go into the game

Swansea were held to a 0-0 draw by Sheffield United last time out, a typically cautious display. Goals have been hard to come by so far, and their away form will define their season.

Well-coached and hard to beat, Swansea will look to frustrate Derby and nick something late. A more clinical edge is needed if they are to turn draws into wins.

Derby County vs Swansea City: 2025-26 by the numbers

Derby County vs Swansea City head-to-head

DateHomeScoreAway
14/02/26Derby2-0Swansea
25/11/25Swansea1-2Derby
05/04/25Swansea1-0Derby
27/11/24Derby1-2Swansea
09/04/22Swansea2-1Derby

Honours have been shared of late, with Swansea edging three of the last five and Derby two.

Derby County vs Swansea City predictions & betting tips

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Derby County to win11/10⭐⭐⭐Home edge over a low-scoring Swansea.
Over 2.5 goals8/11⭐⭐⭐Goals should flow.
Derby or draw (Double Chance)1/2⭐⭐⭐Cover on the hosts.
Both teams to score – Yes10/11⭐⭐Swansea can be dangerous.
Derby County to win 3-118/1⭐⭐Headline scoreline.

Derby County vs Swansea City score prediction

Swansea will look to stifle the game, but Derby’s greater threat at Pride Park should prove decisive. Expect the Rams to edge a fairly tight contest. Score prediction: Derby County 2-1 Swansea City.

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