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Squawka / News / World Cup / Argentina vs Egypt: predictions, best bets, odds and stats

Argentina vs Egypt: predictions, best bets, odds and stats

07 Jul · 17:00 Mercedes-Benz Stadium · FIFA World Cup

No previous meetings between these teams.

Goals
  • 1
    Argentina
    Lionel Messi
    7
  • 2
    Egypt
    Emam Ashour
    2
  • 3
    Egypt
    Trezeguet
    1
  • 4
    Egypt
    Mohamed Salah
    1
  • 5
    Argentina
    Lautaro Martínez
    1
Shots
  • 1
    Argentina
    Lionel Messi
    24
  • 2
    Egypt
    Omar Marmoush
    11
  • 3
    Egypt
    Emam Ashour
    10
  • 4
    Egypt
    Mohamed Salah
    9
  • 5
    Egypt
    Mostafa Zico
    7
Tackles Won
  • 1
    Egypt
    Mohanad Lasheen
    10
  • 2
    Egypt
    Mohamed Hany
    9
  • 3
    Argentina
    Alexis Mac Allister
    7
  • 4
    Egypt
    Yasser Ibrahim
    6
  • 5
    Argentina
    Facundo Medina
    6
Assists
  • 1
    Egypt
    Mohamed Salah
    2
  • 2
    Argentina
    Rodrigo De Paul
    1
  • 3
    Egypt
    Trezeguet
    1
  • 4
    Egypt
    Karim Hafez
    1
  • 5
    Argentina
    Alexis Mac Allister
    1
Chances Created
  • 1
    Egypt
    Mohamed Salah
    16
  • 2
    Argentina
    Lionel Messi
    9
  • 3
    Egypt
    Mostafa Zico
    5
  • 4
    Egypt
    Marwan Attia
    4
  • 5
    Egypt
    Ahmed Fatouh
    4
Passes Completed
  • 1
    Egypt
    Marwan Attia
    268
  • 2
    Argentina
    Lisandro Martínez
    249
  • 3
    Argentina
    Alexis Mac Allister
    245
  • 4
    Argentina
    Enzo Fernández
    229
  • 5
    Argentina
    Cristian Romero
    223
Take Ons Completed
  • 1
    Egypt
    Omar Marmoush
    8
  • 2
    Egypt
    Mohamed Salah
    6
  • 3
    Egypt
    Trezeguet
    5
  • 4
    Argentina
    Lionel Messi
    5
  • 5
    Argentina
    Enzo Fernández
    3
Interceptions
  • 1
    Argentina
    Cristian Romero
    5
  • 2
    Argentina
    Exequiel Palacios
    5
  • 3
    Argentina
    Alexis Mac Allister
    5
  • 4
    Egypt
    Mohamed Hany
    5
  • 5
    Egypt
    Mohanad Lasheen
    4
Argentina Argentina
  • Nico Paz Attacker · Knee Injury · 1 | Questionable (50%)
  • Lionel Messi Attacker · Hamstring · 1 | Questionable (50%)
  • Gonzalo Montiel Defender · Thigh Injury · 1 | Questionable (50%)
  • Thiago Almada Midfielder · Muscle Injury · 1 | Questionable (50%)
Egypt Egypt
  • Ahmed Fatouh Defender · Hamstring · 2 | Out (0%)
  • Mohamed Abdelmonem Defender · Ankle Injury

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23
Martínez
25
Medina
06
Martínez
13
Romero
26
Molina
11
Lo Celso
24
Fernández
20
Mac Allister
07
De Paul
22
Martínez
10
Messi
22
Marmoush
08
Ashour
10
Salah
11
Zico
17
Lasheen
19
Attia
13
Fatouh
14
Fathy
02
Ibrahim
03
Hany
23
Shobeir

League Standings table is not available yet.

Argentina face Egypt in the stand-out Round of 16 fixture at the 2026 World Cup on Tuesday. Kick-off is scheduled for 5pm (UK time) on Tuesday 7th July at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta.

The defending champions needed extra time to see off Cape Verde 3-2 in the Round of 32 – a nervy performance that raised questions about Argentina’s ability to cruise through this bracket. Lionel Messi scored his 20th World Cup goal and became the first player in history to score in eight consecutive World Cup games, but the extra-time exertions leave Argentina carrying physical fatigue into Tuesday. Egypt arrive having beaten Australia on penalties in one of the Round of 32’s most dramatic finishes – their first ever World Cup knockout victory – setting up a mouth-watering clash between the world’s most decorated player and the African continent’s greatest-ever footballer.

Bet365 UK Argentina VS Egypt
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Argentina vs Egypt predictions & betting tips

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Lionel Messi to have 2 or more shots on target13/8 @ bet365
(38.1%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Messi is the tournament’s most prolific individual threat and arrives in Atlanta having scored in every knockout fixture so far. He averages 3.1 shots per game at this World Cup and carries a finishing instinct that shows no sign of fading at 39 years old. Egypt will sit deep and absorb pressure, which historically creates the half-spaces and set-piece situations where Messi does his greatest damage. He registered two shots on target in the narrow win over Cape Verde. Against a defence facing a player of this quality for the first time, two or more shots on target looks well within reach.
Mohamed Salah to be fouled 3 or more times10/3 @ bet365
(21.1%)
⭐⭐Salah arrived at this tournament in the form of his career and has been Egypt’s most fouled player throughout the group stage. Argentina’s fullbacks push aggressively high up the pitch, which creates space behind them for Salah to exploit on the counter. Nahuel Molina or Facundo Medina will be tasked with tracking him — a physical and tactical battle that almost certainly ends with repeated cynical interventions. Argentina conceded eight fouls per game on average during the group stage. Salah drawing three or more fouls across 90 minutes against the world champions reflects both his quality and Argentina’s aggressive defensive approach.

Odds correct at time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

How both teams head into Argentina vs Egypt

Argentina

Argentina needed extra time and an own goal to beat Cape Verde 3-2 in the Round of 32 – a result that was far closer than the defending champions would have wanted. Messi scored the opener with a finish of devastating precision, but Cape Verde equalised and took the game to extra time before Cristian Romero’s header deflected in off Diney Borges to seal an unconvincing victory. The physical and psychological toll of extra time adds a significant variable to Tuesday’s preparations.

Scaloni’s side are bidding to become the first back-to-back world champions since Brazil in 1958 and 1962. That context places enormous expectation on a squad that remains capable of extraordinary moments but has not yet found its most convincing form at this tournament. The depth of talent available – Alvarez, De Paul, Mac Allister and Enzo Fernandez alongside Messi – means Argentina retain the quality to beat any side in the world on their best day.

Scaloni will demand a more controlled performance than the one that barely saw off Cape Verde. Egypt offer a different kind of challenge – organised, physical and built around a superstar who thrives on the counter. Tuesday will test whether Argentina can impose their game on an opponent who does not fear them.

Egypt

Egypt arrive in Atlanta having already achieved the most significant result in their country’s World Cup history. A 1-1 draw after extra time against Australia ended 4-2 in Egypt’s favour on penalties – the Pharaohs’ first-ever World Cup knockout victory and their first appearance in the last 16 since 1934. Coach Hossam Hassan’s side have defied every expectation placed upon them at this tournament, and they carry the belief of an entire continent into Tuesday’s fixture.

Salah’s fitness remains the burning question surrounding Egypt’s campaign. He was substituted in the 57th minute against Iran during the group stage and has been carefully managed ever since. Egypt insist he is fit for Tuesday – and if he starts and lasts the duration, they possess the individual quality to threaten Argentina on the counter at a level very few sides at this tournament can match.

Egypt have conceded just twice across four matches and defend with tremendous collective organisation. Their route to Atlanta has involved a group stage draw with Belgium, a win over New Zealand, draws with Iran, and an extraordinary penalty shootout win over Australia. Hassan has built a side that competes with maximum effort in every minute – and against an Argentina squad carrying the fatigue of extra time, that relentless work rate could prove decisive.

Argentina team news

Scaloni carries no confirmed injury concerns beyond the physical effects of extra time against Cape Verde. Emiliano Martínez continues in goal behind a back four of Molina, Cristian Romero, Lisandro Martínez and Facundo Medina. Romero has been Argentina’s defensive cornerstone throughout – his aerial quality and reading of the game will be crucial against Egypt’s direct approach.

De Paul, Mac Allister, Enzo Fernández and Thiago Almada are expected in midfield. Messi and Lautaro Martínez lead the attack. Julián Álvarez starts from the bench having featured in a wider role against Cape Verde – his impact from the bench could again prove significant if Egypt keep Argentina at bay in normal time.

Egypt team news

Salah’s involvement remains the most significant team news question in Atlanta. Egypt’s medical team have been cautiously optimistic following his early substitution against Iran, and he played every minute in the game against Australia. He is expected to lead the attack on Tuesday, but his availability for the full 90 minutes remains in doubt.

Mohamed El Shenawy continues in goal behind a back four of Ahmed Fatouh, Mohamed Abdelmonem, Yasser Ibrahim and Mohamed Hany. Hamdy Fathy and Emam Ashour anchor the midfield, providing the defensive platform that has made Egypt so difficult to break down. Trézéguet and Ibrahim Adel provide wide options around Salah, with Omar Marmoush offering an alternative focal point if Salah cannot complete the game.

Head-to-Head

Argentina and Egypt have met once previously, a friendly fixture in 2008. Argentina won 2-0 in that meeting. Tuesday’s Round of 16 in Atlanta marks the first competitive meeting between the two nations. For Egypt, facing the world champions with a quarter-final place at stake represents an occasion almost beyond comprehension for a nation that was absent from the World Cup for 56 years before 2026. For Argentina, it is simply the next step on the road to defending their title.

Which side will advance to the quarter-final?

Argentina enter Tuesday as heavy favourites, but Egypt have already beaten every expectation placed upon them at this tournament. The winner faces Switzerland or Colombia in the quarter-finals in Atlanta. The greatest South American player and the greatest African player will share the same pitch with a World Cup quarter-final at stake. Messi vs Salah is the individual narrative that will define coverage of Tuesday’s fixture around the globe.

We’re backing Messi to produce another moment of genius in Atlanta. 13/8 at bet365 for Messi to have 2 or more shots on target reflects his outstanding tournament form and his ability to find space even against the most organised defensive blocks.

For a bolder play, Salah to be fouled 3 or more times at 10/3 with bet365 reflects his counter-attacking threat, Argentina’s aggressive defensive approach and the inevitability of cynical intervention when a player of his quality runs at World Cup defenders.

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