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Squawka / News / World Cup / Colombia vs Portugal: predictions, best bets, stats and odds

Colombia vs Portugal: predictions, best bets, stats and odds

28 Jun · 00:30 Hard Rock Stadium · FIFA World Cup

No previous meetings between these teams.

Goals
  • 1
    Colombia
    Daniel Muñoz
    2
  • 2
    Portugal
    Cristiano Ronaldo
    2
  • 3
    Portugal
    Rafael Leão
    1
  • 4
    Colombia
    Luis Díaz
    1
  • 5
    Portugal
    João Neves
    1
Shots
  • 1
    Portugal
    Cristiano Ronaldo
    10
  • 2
    Colombia
    Luis Díaz
    7
  • 3
    Colombia
    Gustavo Puerta
    6
  • 4
    Portugal
    Bruno Fernandes
    4
  • 5
    Colombia
    Jhon Arias
    4
Tackles Won
  • 1
    Portugal
    Bruno Fernandes
    3
  • 2
    Colombia
    Jhon Arias
    3
  • 3
    Portugal
    Nuno Mendes
    3
  • 4
    Portugal
    João Cancelo
    2
  • 5
    Portugal
    Francisco Conceição
    2
Assists
  • 1
    Portugal
    João Cancelo
    1
  • 2
    Portugal
    Bruno Fernandes
    1
  • 3
    Colombia
    Luis Díaz
    1
  • 4
    Portugal
    Pedro Neto
    1
  • 5
    Colombia
    Cucho Hernández
    1
Chances Created
  • 1
    Colombia
    James Rodríguez
    5
  • 2
    Colombia
    Luis Díaz
    4
  • 3
    Portugal
    Francisco Conceição
    3
  • 4
    Portugal
    Bruno Fernandes
    3
  • 5
    Colombia
    Davinson Sánchez
    3
Passes Completed
  • 1
    Portugal
    Vitinha
    216
  • 2
    Portugal
    Renato Veiga
    150
  • 3
    Portugal
    João Neves
    139
  • 4
    Portugal
    Bruno Fernandes
    130
  • 5
    Colombia
    Davinson Sánchez
    129
Take Ons Completed
  • 1
    Portugal
    João Félix
    4
  • 2
    Portugal
    João Cancelo
    3
  • 3
    Colombia
    Luis Díaz
    3
  • 4
    Portugal
    Nuno Mendes
    3
  • 5
    Portugal
    Rafael Leão
    2
Interceptions
  • 1
    Colombia
    Daniel Muñoz
    3
  • 2
    Colombia
    Davinson Sánchez
    3
  • 3
    Portugal
    João Cancelo
    2
  • 4
    Colombia
    Jhon Arias
    2
  • 5
    Colombia
    Gustavo Puerta
    2

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12
Vargas
17
Mojica
03
Lucumí
23
Sánchez
02
Muñoz
11
Arias
16
Lerma
14
Puerta
07
Díaz
25
Suárez
10
Rodríguez
07
Ronaldo
11
Félix
08
Fernandes
18
Neto
23
Vitinha
15
Neves
25
Mendes
13
Veiga
03
Dias
20
Cancelo
01
Costa

League Standings table is not available yet.

Colombia and Portugal meet in the pick of Group K’s final fixtures at the 2026 World Cup on Sunday. Kick-off is scheduled for 12.30am (UK time) on Sunday 28th June at Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens.

Colombia sit top of Group K with six points from two wins, having already secured their place in the last 32. Portugal sit second on four points after a 1-1 draw with DR Congo and a 5-0 rout of Uzbekistan. A Colombia win seals top spot; a draw hands them first place on points. Portugal must win to claim first and secure a potentially more favourable knockout draw.

Bet365 UK Colombia VS Portugal
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Colombia vs Portugal predictions & betting tips

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Luis Díaz to score anytime10/3 @ bet365
(23.1%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Díaz has been Colombia’s standout performer at this tournament — direct, physical and devastating in behind. The Bayern Munich forward scored in the 3-1 win over Uzbekistan and his low finish was the goal that defined Colombia’s attacking blueprint. Portugal’s fullbacks push high and leave space in behind – exactly the channel Díaz exploits most ruthlessly. Against a Portugal defence that was cut open by DR Congo’s direct running, Díaz represents the standout attacking selection in Miami at the available price.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals6/4 @ Paddy Power
(40%)
⭐⭐Portugal have won four of their last five matches, with their only blemish a 1-1 draw against DR Congo that exposed defensive vulnerabilities a Colombia side of this quality will certainly target. Colombia have scored in each of their last five matches and carry real attacking depth across the front three of James Rodríguez, Díaz and Luis Suárez. With both sides possessing genuine attacking quality and the incentive to win top spot driving both teams forward, goals from both sides looks the most compelling combined market in Miami.

Odds correct at time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

How both teams head into Colombia vs Portugal

Colombia

Colombia’s return to the World Cup after missing Qatar 2022 has been nothing short of impressive. Néstor Lorenzo’s side beat Uzbekistan 3-1 and edged DR Congo 1-0 – scoring four and conceding just one across 180 minutes. That disciplined, controlled approach reflects the identity Lorenzo has built since taking charge in 2022.

Colombia set a new national record of 28 games unbeaten between March 2022 and July 2024. That resilience and collective belief runs through every position in this squad. Crystal Palace right-back Daniel Muñoz has scored twice at this tournament, underlining Colombia’s threat from wide areas and set pieces. James Rodríguez controls the tempo from a number ten role and remains one of the most dangerous creative forces at this World Cup when given time on the ball.

Colombia’s best ever World Cup performance came in 2014 when James Rodríguez claimed the Golden Boot with six goals and fired them to the quarter-finals. This squad carries a similar belief. Lorenzo will not ask his side to sit back and protect their lead – six points and top spot are within reach, and Colombia will go for both.

Portugal

Portugal’s campaign has been more stop-start than their squad’s collective quality suggests it should be. A 1-1 draw with DR Congo exposed defensive vulnerabilities before Cristiano Ronaldo’s brace inspired a 5-0 demolition of Uzbekistan on matchday two. Martínez now needs his side to deliver a performance worthy of their talent against the toughest test in Group K.

Ronaldo scored twice against Uzbekistan, becoming the first player in history to score in six FIFA World Cup tournaments. That milestone underlines the historic nature of Portugal’s campaign – and the pressure on Ronaldo to deliver on the biggest occasions. Sunday in Miami is exactly that.

Portugal carry extraordinary midfield depth. PSG duo João Neves and Vitinha anchor the engine room, with Bruno Fernandes operating ahead of them as the number ten. Nuno Mendes scored a direct free-kick against Uzbekistan and Bernardo Silva pushes for a recall after being rested on matchday two. The talent is not in question. Whether Martínez can find the right balance against a Colombia side with genuine quality across every position will define Portugal’s tournament trajectory.

Colombia team news

Lorenzo is expected to make minimal changes after back-to-back wins. Camilo Vargas continues in goal behind a back four of Daniel Munoz, Davinson Ssnchez, Jhon Lucumi and Johan Mojica. That defensive unit has been Colombia’s bedrock throughout the group stage and has conceded just once across two matches.

Jefferson Lerma and Gustavo Puerta are expected to continue in central midfield, with Jhon Arias providing energy and width from the right. James Rodriguez takes up his creative number ten role. His duel with Portugal’s midfield – particularly Neves and Vitinha – shapes this match more than any other individual battle.

Luis Diaz leads the attack alongside Luis Suárez. The Sporting Lisbon striker provides an intelligent foil for Daiz’s directness and the partnership has caused every defence they have faced real problems.

Portugal team news

Martinez faces selection questions across his squad after rotating for the Uzbekistan game. Bernardo Silva pushes for a return after being benched on matchday two. Rafael Leao scored as a substitute against Uzbekistan and will push hard for a starting berth in Miami.

Joao Cancelo assisted Ronaldo’s opener against Uzbekistan and continues at right-back. Ruben Dias anchors the centre of defence and has been Portugal’s most important defensive presence throughout the group stage. His leadership against Diaz and Colombia’s directness will be tested from the first whistle.

Pedro Neto’s starting place could be under threat with Leao pushing hard. Vitinha and Joao Neves anchor the midfield with Bruno Fernandes ahead of them. Ronaldo leads the line and starts regardless of any rotation around him.

Head-to-Head

Colombia and Portugal have no previous head-to-head record at senior international level. Sunday’s Group K finale in Miami is the first competitive encounter between the two nations. Two of international football’s most storied attacking traditions meet for the very first time. James Rodríguez and Cristiano Ronaldo both take the field knowing a performance here could define their respective tournament legacies.

Which side will top Group K?

Both nations enter Sunday’s finale knowing exactly what is at stake. Colombia need only a draw to seal top spot and a potentially more favourable knockout path. Portugal must win to leapfrog their opponents and claim first place in Group K. With so much on the line and two squads of genuine attacking quality, Sunday night in Miami promises to be the standout fixture of the group stage finale.

We’re backing Luis Diaz to make his mark at Hard Rock Stadium. 10/3 at bet365 for Diaz to score anytime reflects his outstanding form, his directness and Portugal’s vulnerability to quick, incisive forward play.

For a combined play, both teams to score and over 2.5 goals at 6/4 at Paddy Power reflects the attacking quality on both sides and the open, competitive nature a top-spot battle between two of Group K’s heavyweights will produce.

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