Mexico and Belguim meet in Chicago on Wednesday with both nations hoping to gain some vital confidence into the 2026 World Cup.
Mexico picked up a 0-0 draw with Portugal in their last game, while Belgium beat USA 5-2 in a commanding victory last time out. Both sides will be looking to make a statement of intent in this one, but who will prevail?
Best Bets & Predictions
Belgium have been in fine goalscoring form in recent games and we’re backing them to excel in attack again by scoring over 2.5 goals. We’re confident in Belgium really taking this game by the scruff of the neck and we’re backing them to win 3-0.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belgium to score over 2.5 goals | 19/5 @ William Hill (20.8%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Backing Belgium to score over 2.5 goals in the Mexico vs Belgium friendly on 01/04/2026 looks good statistically because Belgium’s recent matches have tended to be high‑scoring. They’ve averaged 3.83 goals per game in their last six with four of those games seeing them topping 2.5 goals, showing attacking potential. It’s been a theme for the Red Devils, who have averaged over three goals a game over their last 10 fixtures. |
| Correct score – Mexico 0-3 Belgium | 20/1 @ BOYLE Sports (4.8%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | A 3‑0 Belgium win is supported by recent form: Belgium scored 5 goals in their last friendly against the USA, showing sharp attack and multiple scorers in one game. They average about 3.83 goals per match recently and have outscored Mexico’s attack, which struggled to score consistently in friendlies, including a 0‑0 draw with Portugal. These stats hint Belgium could dominate offensively and keep Mexico restricted. |
Odds correct at the time of writing.
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Recent Form
Mexico’s recent form across their last six matches shows a mixed but resilient pattern ahead of their friendly schedule. They’ve posted 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats, scoring 8 goals (1.33 per game) and keeping five clean sheets, reflecting defensive discipline yet inconsistent attacking output. Mexico’s most recent outing was a 0‑0 draw with Portugal in a high‑profile friendly at Estadio Banorte, where they defended well despite Portugal’s dominance and key scoring chances.
Earlier this year, Mexico earned narrow 1‑0 wins against Panama and Bolivia and recorded a 4‑0 victory over Iceland, showing they can score and maintain structure when in rhythm. Their lone recent defeat came in a 1‑2 loss to Paraguay, while they also drew 1‑1 with Ecuador and 0‑0 with Uruguay, highlighting occasional struggles to convert chances. Overall, Mexico blend solid defence with sporadic scoring, key as co‑hosts prepare for the 2026 World Cup.
Belgium’s recent form has been impressive and attack‑minded heading into their friendlies. Over their last six matches they’ve recorded four wins and two draws, scoring an average of 3.83 goals per game and keeping three clean sheets — underlining both offensive firepower and defensive strength.
Their most recent outing was a convincing 5‑2 friendly win over the USA, where Belgium recovered from a 1‑0 deficit to score five consecutive goals, with Dodi Lukebakio netting twice. This victory extended their unbeaten run in warm‑up matches and highlighted their ability to score freely against strong opposition. Prior fixtures also show Belgium regularly finding the net and dominating play, making their recent form one of the more potent in international friendlies ahead of the 2026 World Cup.
Mexico team news
Mexico have named a squad for the friendly against Belgium, incorporating both experienced internationals and emerging talents as they prepare for the 2026 World Cup. Key names such as striker Raúl Jiménez and midfielder Edson Álvarez are expected to feature, while the team showed organised defending in a 0‑0 draw with Portugal. Coaches will use this match to finalise tactics and assess depth, though availability could be affected by lingering knocks or fitness management decisions ahead of the summer tournament.
Belgium team news
Belgium have named a squad for their March friendlies in the United States after a convincing 5‑2 win over the USA, but there are a few notable absences. Leandro Trossard and Hans Vanaken will miss both the USA and Mexico tests due to ongoing hip injuries. Thibaut Courtois also remains sidelined, while Romelu Lukaku has opted out of this international window to focus on his physical preparation. Kevin De Bruyne and Jérémy Doku are among the senior players available, blending experience with youth as manager Rudi Garcia continues World Cup build‑up. Some new call‑ups have been included to bolster depth and assess options ahead of the summer finals.
Head-to-Head: Last 4 Meetings
There have been four meetings between these two nations over the years, with Belgium failing to come out on top in any of those encounters.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 10/11/17 | Belgium 3-3 Mexico | Friendly |
| 20/06/98 | Belgium 2-2 Mexico | World Cup |
| 03/06/86 | Belgium 1-2 Mexico | World Cup |
| 11/06/70 | Mexico 1-0 Belgium | World Cup |
Conclusion: Who will gain momentum in key friendly?
With both sides hoping to experience a big summer at the 2026 World Cup, this could be a key contest in the build up to the tournament. We’re backing Belgium to score over 2.5 goals at 19/5 with William Hill but, when looking for a little more value on prices, we like the look of Belgium to win 3-0 at 20/1 with BOYLE Sports.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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