Canada host Tunisia at BMO Field on Wednesday morning with both sides looking to impress heading into the 2026 World Cup.
Canada drew 2-2 with Iceland last time out, while Tunisia beat Haiti 1-0. Momentum heading into the World Cup is key but which side will come out on top?
Best Bets & Predictions
Goals haven’t really been flowing for either side in recent matches and we can see this one following suit. We’re backing under 2.5 goals, while we also think a look at Canada winning the match 1-0 could prove profitable.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Correct Score – Canada 1-0 | 7/1 @ Bet365 (12.5%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Canada concede very few goals, averaging just 0.5 conceded per match over their last six games and keeping clean sheets in four games over that period, showing strong defence. Meanwhile, Tunisia concede at a rate of 1.33 goals per game over their last six suggesting Canada are capable of edging a low‑scoring game. Statistical markets also show a high probability for a slim Canada win. |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 17/20 @ Bet365 (54.1%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Canada’s most recent six matches featured just one over 2.5 result with an average of just 1.33 goals per game, while the last six games featuring Tunisia have averaged 2.83 goals per game. Canada have a knack for keeping clean sheets though, with the opposition drawing a blank in six of their last eight games. |
Odds correct at the time of writing.
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Recent Form
Canada’s men’s team have been solid in their last six games.. They’ve lost just once and won twice, scoring just 0.83 goals per game on average and keeping four clean sheets in that span, underlining defensive organisation but attack struggles.
Their most recent friendly saw a 2‑2 draw with Iceland at BMO Field, overturning a two‑goal deficit and highlighting resilience but continued goal‑concession issues. Previously they beat Guatemala 1‑0 and other recent results include draws and narrow wins, showing a team that grinds results but lacks potency up front.
As hosts of the 2026 World Cup, these matches are part of Jesse Marsch’s squad sharpening, with defensive stability clear but offensive consistency still developing.
Tunisia’s form over their last six matches shows a mixed but competitive pattern, with three wins, one draw and two defeats, scoring 1.67 goals per game on average.
Their recent friendly win against Haiti saw Sebastian Tounekti score early, and Tunisia defended well to keep a clean sheet, underlining defensive discipline despite squad rotation.
Overall this period demonstrates a side capable of results but still searching for consistency in attack and defence as they finalise preparations ahead of the World Cup.
Canada team news
Canada have named a 26‑man squad for their final March international against Tunisia as part of their World Cup warm‑ups under coach Jesse Marsch. Key Europe‑based players are included, but Alistair Johnston travels only to train and won’t play due to fitness issues. Alphonso Davies also remains ruled out through injury, meaning Canada will test depth in defence and attack at BMO Field in Toronto.
Tunisia team news
Tunisia have named a squad for their friendly with Canada, but midfielder Hannibal Mejbri and defender Yan Valery are ruled out through injury, trimming experience in midfield and at the back. Vancouver Whitecaps forward Rayan Elloumi is included in the squad, offering fresh attacking options. Head coach Sabri Lamouchi will use these matches to test players and build rhythm ahead of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
Head-to-Head
There have been no previous meetings between these two nations, with this match offering a rare fresh international matchup.
Conclusion: Who will gain momentum in key friendly?
With both sides hoping to experience a big summer at the 2026 World Cup, this match could be key in identifying how both nations could fare this summer. We’re backing under 2.5 goals at 17/20 with Bet365 but, when looking for a little more value on prices, we like the look of Canada to win 1-0 at a boosted price of 7/1 with Bet365.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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