Everton welcome Burnley to Goodison Park in a crucial clash with both sides eager for points at opposite ends of the Premier League table.
Recent form and defensive solidity give the hosts a clear edge, but Burnley’s creative sparks and Everton’s own inconsistencies mean nothing is guaranteed. Kick-off is at 19:30 on Tuesday 3 March.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on Everton’s superior defensive record and Burnley’s recent struggles in front of goal, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in ‘Both Teams to Score – No’ due to the hosts’ clean sheets and Burnley’s erratic finishing.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Both Teams to Score – Yes | 10/11 @ Bet365 (52.4%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Both teams scored three in their most recent matches, and with Burnley’s defence conceding 56 goals (2 per game), another high-scoring contest is likely. Everton have created 38 big chances and both teams are capable of contributing to the tally if the game opens up. |
| Draw | 3/1 @ Betfair (25.0%) | ⭐⭐ | The reverse fixture ended 0-0 and two of the last six meetings have finished all square. With Everton’s attack underperforming its xG and Burnley fighting for survival, a cagey stalemate is not out of the question, especially at a generous price. |
Odds correct at the time of writing.
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Everton vs Burnley match odds
How both teams head into Everton vs Burnley
Everton occupy eighth place in the Premier League after 28 matches, having secured 40 points. Under the guidance of David Moyes, the Toffees have maintained a balanced record of 11 wins, 7 draws, and 10 defeats. Their campaign has been defined by defensive solidity, conceding just 33 goals (1.18 per match), while finding the net 32 times (1.14 per match).
Everton have struggled for consistency at their new stadium, claiming 16 points from 14 home fixtures (4 wins, 4 draws, 6 losses). Conversely, their away form has been exceptional, yielding 24 points from 14 matches on the road (7 wins, 3 draws, 4 losses). Thierno Barry leads the goalscoring charts with six strikes, while Jordan Pickford and James Tarkowski have started all 28 league games. With a goal difference of -1, Everton remain firmly in contention for European qualification as the season enters its final stretch today.
Burnley’s return to the Premier League has proven a significant challenge under manager Scott Parker. Following their 2025 promotion from the Championship, the Clarets currently occupy 19th position in the table, eight points adrift of safety with 10 matches remaining in the campaign.
Statistically, Burnley have struggled for consistency, recording four wins, seven draws, and 17 losses from 28 fixtures. Their defensive record is a primary concern, having conceded 56 goals – the highest in the division – with a goal difference of -24. Offensively, the side has registered 32 goals, with Zian Flemming leading the scoring charts on five, followed by Jaidon Anthony on four. Quilindschy Hartman has provided a creative spark, contributing four assists. Despite a recent 3-2 victory over Crystal Palace, a subsequent 4-3 defeat to Brentford has left Burnley on 19 points, facing a critical uphill battle to avoid an immediate return to the Championship.
Everton team news
Everton come into the game with several key players sidelined. Midfielder Charly Alcaraz is out for three to four weeks due to a training injury, as confirmed by manager David Moyes. Long-term absentee Jack Grealish remains unavailable, having undergone ankle surgery with a projected return in June. Goalkeeper Mark Travers is also out, recovering from a damaged finger. Despite these injuries, Everton, currently 8th in the Premier League, will rely on key figures such as Jordan Pickford, James Tarkowski, Jarrad Branthwaite, Dwight McNeil, and Beto for the crucial fixture against Burnley.
Burnley team news
Burnley face a significant injury list. Midfielder Josh Cullen is a long-term absentee due to an ACL injury, not expected back until September. Defender Connor Roberts is also sidelined for weeks or months with a calf injury. Zeki Amdouni (knee) and Armando Broja (ankle/foot) are both back on the grass but remain several weeks away from full fitness after receiving injections. Axel Tuanzebe (calf) is also a few weeks from returning. Marcus Edwards is a doubt with a knock and will be assessed. However, Zian Flemming, who recently scored an equaliser against Chelsea, is available.
Season Form & Standings
Everton have climbed to 8th with a string of resilient displays (recent form: WDW), while Burnley remain mired in the relegation scrap, having lost over half their matches and shipped an average of two goals per game.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | 8 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 40 |
| Burnley | 19 | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 19 |
Head-to-Head: Last 6 Meetings
Everton have enjoyed the better of recent encounters, winning four of the last six, with a single draw and one Burnley win. The reverse fixture this season ended in a goalless draw.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 27/12/25 | Burnley 0-0 Everton | Premier League |
| 06/04/24 | Everton 1-0 Burnley | Premier League |
| 16/12/23 | Burnley 0-2 Everton | Premier League |
| 01/11/23 | Everton 3-0 Burnley | League Cup |
| 06/04/22 | Burnley 3-2 Everton | Premier League |
| 13/09/21 | Everton 3-1 Burnley | Premier League |
Conclusion
Will Everton’s defensive discipline prove too much for a Burnley side battling to avoid the drop? The Toffees’ track record, especially at home, and Burnley’s vulnerabilities at the back point to a disciplined contest. If you’re looking for value, ‘Both Teams to Score – Yes’ at 10/11 with Bet365 (52.4%) stands out as a strong option. A draw at 3/1 with Betfair (25.0%) could also appeal if you fancy another tight affair.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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