Brighton return to the Amex on Sunday looking to extend their edge over a Nottingham Forest side desperate for points at the bottom end of the Premier League table.
With both teams struggling for clean sheets and chance conversion, the 14:00 kick-off on Sunday 1 March promises a tense, high-stakes clash as the Premier League season enters its final third.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on clear statistical trends, here are our top betting recommendations for Brighton vs Nottingham Forest. We’re particularly confident in the home win, as Brighton’s attacking numbers and ball dominance give them a genuine edge—while Forest’s finishing woes and defensive leaks remain a concern.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton to Win | 11/10 @ Bet365 (47.6%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Brighton’s underlying numbers are far superior—higher xG, more possession, and better pass accuracy. Forest have managed just 7 wins all season, and their attack is massively underperforming. Brighton have already beaten Forest away this campaign and will expect to control the game at home. |
| Both Teams to Score – No | 11/10 @ Bet365 (47.6%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Both teams are struggling to convert chances. Forest’s goal output has been poor (25 in 27), and Brighton’s defence, while leaky, kept Forest quiet in their last meeting. With both sides missing more big chances than they convert, there’s value in backing at least one blank. |
Odds correct at the time of writing.
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Brighton vs Nottingham Forest match odds
How both teams head into Brighton vs Nottingham Forest
Brighton & Hove Albion’s 2025/26 Premier League campaign has seen them occupy 14th position after 27 matches. The Seagulls have accumulated 34 points, stemming from eight wins, ten draws, and nine defeats. Their attacking efforts have yielded 36 goals, whilst their defence has conceded 34, resulting in a positive goal difference of +2.
Striker Danny Welbeck leads the scoring charts for Brighton with nine goals. Other notable contributors include Diego Gómez with four goals and Yasin Ayari with three goals and two assists. In terms of recent form, Brighton have experienced a mixed run, with a win against Brentford, a draw with Everton, and losses to Fulham, Crystal Palace, and Aston Villa. This marks their ninth consecutive season in the top flight of English football.
Nottingham Forest’s 2025/26 Premier League season has seen them battling in the lower half of the table, currently sitting in 17th position after 27 matches. They have accumulated 27 points from seven wins, six draws, and fourteen losses. The team has scored 25 goals while conceding 39, resulting in a goal difference of -14.
Morgan Gibbs-White is their leading scorer in the Premier League with six goals, supported by contributions from Callum Hudson-Odoi (three goals) and Ibrahim Sangaré (two goals, two assists). Forest’s season has included a notable 3-1 victory over Brentford in the opening matchweek and a 1-1 draw against Crystal Palace. Their form has been inconsistent, as they also participate in the Europa League, where Igor Jesus has been a key player.
Brighton team news
Brighton & Hove Albion have received a boost ahead of their Premier League clash with Nottingham Forest, as midfielder Yasin Ayari has returned to full-contact training following a shoulder dislocation and is in contention for the match. Manager Fabian Hurzeler also confirmed that James Milner is fit and sharp, despite a late substitution in the previous game. However, Solly March remains sidelined, with Hurzeler stressing the need for patience in his recovery.
Nottingham Forest team news
Nottingham Forest face Brighton under new management, with Vitor Pereira having replaced Sean Dyche on 15th February. The Reds are grappling with several key injuries. Striker Chris Wood is out with a knee injury, targeting an April return, while Willy Boly (knee) is sidelined until late May. John Victor (knee) is also a long-term absentee, expected back in June. Goalkeeper Matz Sels is out with a muscle injury, and Nicolò Savona is a doubt with a knee issue, though an early March return is anticipated. Despite these setbacks, key players like Igor Jesus and Jair Cunha are available, having recently featured in their Europa League campaign.
Season Form & Standings
Brighton sit 14th, seven points clear of Forest in 17th. Both sides are averaging less than a win every three games, and Forest’s goal difference of -14 underlines their struggles at both ends. Brighton’s +2 goal difference and higher possession stats hint at more control, even if their win rate remains modest.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton | 14 | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 36 | 34 | +2 | 34 |
| Nottingham Forest | 17 | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 27 |
Head-to-Head: Last 6 Meetings
The last six meetings between Brighton and Nottingham Forest have been unpredictable, with Brighton winning three of the last six and Nottingham Forest taking two victories. The most recent Premier League meeting saw Brighton win 2-0 away, but Forest’s 7-0 demolition last season remains fresh in memory.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 30/11/25 | Nottingham Forest 0-2 Brighton | Premier League |
| 29/03/25 | Brighton 0-0 Nottingham Forest (p: 3-4) | FA Cup |
| 01/02/25 | Nottingham Forest 7-0 Brighton | Premier League |
| 22/09/24 | Brighton 2-2 Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
| 10/03/24 | Brighton 1-0 Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
| 25/11/23 | Nottingham Forest 2-3 Brighton | Premier League |
Conclusion: Will Brighton’s Possession Pay Off?
Brighton have all the statistical advantages—more goals, higher xG, better possession and passing—but their conversion rate leaves the door open for Forest. Still, with Forest’s inability to turn chances into goals and their leaky defence, this looks like a strong opportunity for Brighton to secure a vital win. Our top tip: back Brighton to win at 11/10 with Bet365 (47.6% implied probability). Will Forest’s underperformance continue, or can they upset the odds at the Amex?
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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