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Squawka / News / Brentford vs Arsenal: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Brentford vs Arsenal: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Arsenal travel to Brentford in a Premier League clash where form, firepower, and defensive steel all tilt the narrative firmly towards the Gunners.

With Arsenal top of the table and boasting a near-flawless head-to-head record, Brentford will look to their in-form striker to spring a surprise. Kick-off is at 20:00 on Thursday 12 February at the Gtech Stadium, where Arsenal’s title ambitions meet Brentford’s hope of upsetting the odds.

Best Bets & Predictions

Based on Arsenal’s dominant defensive record and a lack of goals in this fixture, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in Arsenal’s defence holding firm given their league-leading clean sheet tally and Brentford’s struggles against the Gunners in recent years.

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Arsenal to Win & Under 3.5 Goals13/10 @ PricedUp
(43.5%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Arsenal have kept 13 clean sheets in 25 matches and average just 0.68 goals conceded per game. 7 of the last 8 meetings have ended with three or fewer goals, and Brentford have scored just 8 times in 11 meetings with Arsenal. The odds look generous given the Gunners’ defensive solidity.
Both Teams to Score – No20/21 @ PricedUp
(51.2%)
⭐⭐⭐Arsenal have shut out Brentford in 6 of their last 8 encounters. The Gunners’ 13 clean sheets this campaign and Brentford’s reliance on one main scorer suggest this market could offer value, especially if Arsenal control possession as they have all season.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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Brentford vs Arsenal match odds

How both teams head into Brentford vs Arsenal

It’s been a season of transition for Brentford, who are enjoying a solid campaign under new head coach Keith Andrews. The Bees sit seventh in the Premier League with 39 points, a testament to their resilience after the pre-season departures of manager Thomas Frank and key players Christian Norgaard and Bryan Mbeumo.

Their home form has been particularly strong, with seven wins at the Gtech Community Stadium, though they have struggled for consistency on the road, losing eight times. Striker Igor Thiago has been a revelation, netting an impressive 17 league goals to lead their attack. While a European push looks a possibility, fans will be delighted with their comfortable mid-table position and the team’s ability to adapt to significant changes, with a quarter-final run in the EFL Cup adding to a positive season.

Arsenal are enjoying a historic and hugely impressive 2025/26 campaign, their 100th consecutive season in the English top flight. Mikel Arteta’s side currently sit top of the Premier League table with 56 points from 25 games, playing with a swagger that suggests they could finally end their long wait for the title.

Their success has been built on a rock-solid defence, which has conceded a remarkable 17 goals all season. The Gunners have been formidable at the Emirates, winning ten of their 13 home league games. New signing Viktor Gyökeres has led the line superbly, netting eight league goals, while Bukayo Saka continues to be a creative force. With an EFL Cup final to look forward to and a place in the Champions League last 16, it’s shaping up to be a truly memorable season for the North London club.

Brentford team news

Brentford face a significant selection challenge ahead of their clash with league leaders Arsenal. The Bees will be without forward Kevin Schade, who is suspended following his red card against Aston Villa. Manager Keith Andrews also has a number of injuries to contend with, as Josh Dasilva, Fabio Carvalho, and emerging talent Milambo are all confirmed to be out.

Arsenal team news

Arsenal are facing some injury concerns ahead of their trip to Brentford. Key forward Bukayo Saka is confirmed to be out, along with midfielder Mikel Merino and youngster Max Dowman. There is a significant doubt over captain Martin Odegaard, who missed the weekend’s game, although Mikel Arteta is hopeful he will return soon.

Season Form & Standings

Arsenal sit top of the Premier League with a formidable 56 points from 25 matches, 49 goals scored, and just 17 conceded. Brentford, meanwhile, are 7th with 39 points, having scored 39 and conceded 34. While Arsenal have been the model of consistency, Brentford’s campaign has been defined by sharp attacking moments and defensive vulnerabilities.

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Arsenal12517534917+3256
Brentford725123103934+539

Head-to-Head: Last 6 Meetings

Arsenal have dominated this fixture, winning five of the last six encounters and conceding just three goals across those matches.

DateScoreCompetition
03/12/25Arsenal 2-0 BrentfordPremier League
12/04/25Arsenal 1-1 BrentfordPremier League
01/01/25Brentford 1-3 ArsenalPremier League
09/03/24Arsenal 2-1 BrentfordPremier League
25/11/23Brentford 0-1 ArsenalPremier League
27/09/23Brentford 0-1 ArsenalLeague Cup

Final Thoughts

Will Arsenal’s defensive discipline and all-round superiority prove too much for Brentford, or can Thiago’s remarkable finishing make the difference? With the Gunners’ record against Brentford and their impressive home form, the balance of evidence points towards a low-scoring Arsenal victory – but Brentford’s striker gives them a puncher’s chance. Our top pick is Arsenal to win and under 3.5 goals at 13/10 with PricedUp (43.5%).

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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