Third-placed Aston Villa host Brentford at Villa Park in a Premier League clash on Sunday afternoon. Kick-off is set for 2:00pm live on Sky Sports, and below you can find our match preview and best bets, which include a 12/1 shout.
Best Bets & Predictions
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa to Win | 1/1 @ Matchbook (50.0%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Aston Villa were winless in their first five Premier League games this season (D2 L3), scoring just one goal. However, since the start of MD6 (27th September), the Villans have won more points (43) and more games (14) than any other side. The hosts have won eight of their last nine at Villa Park, and put simply, they look too big a price here. |
| Morgan Rogers to Score from Outside the box | 12/1 @ William Hill (7.7%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Aston Villa have scored a league-high 13 goals from outside the box in the Premier League this season, with the Villans only netting more in a campaign in 2007-08 (16). They’ve also scored the highest share from outside the box this term (37%). Morgan Rogers has been a constant threat for Unai Emery’s side this season and three of his seven goals have arrived from outside the box in the Premier League. |
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Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
How both teams go into Aston Villa vs Brentford
After a rare home setback against Everton in mid January, Aston Villa have quickly regained momentum in their pursuit of silverware, winning three consecutive matches in all competitions. Their resilience was on display in the Europa League on Thursday, where they recovered from a sluggish start and a two goal deficit to defeat RB Salzburg and secure a top two finish in the League Phase.
Domestic results have also gone in Villa’s favour, with a win at Newcastle and Arsenal’s defeat to Manchester United leaving Unai Emery’s side just four points off the top of the Premier League. Villa have been strong at Villa Park, collecting 25 points from 11 home league games, a record bettered only by Manchester City and Arsenal despite the recent loss to Everton. As they continue their push for a first ever Premier League title, January has also carried a nostalgic feel with the returns of Douglas Luiz and Tammy Abraham.
Heading into Sunday’s trip to Villa Park, Brentford are looking to avoid three consecutive defeats for the first time since December 2024, following recent setbacks in their push for European qualification. Losses to Chelsea and Nottingham Forest, including last weekend’s goals from Igor Jesus and Taiwo Awoniyi, saw the Bees slip off course after a strong start to the season, with Forest becoming only the second team to beat them at the Gtech Community Stadium in 2025-26.
Despite the recent dips, Brentford remain in a solid position, sitting eighth and just four points behind fifth-placed Chelsea, far from the relegation worries predicted in pre-season. Away form has been a concern, yet the team has won three of their last four trips across league and FA Cup games. Igor Thiago has been a standout, breaking the record for most goals by a Brazilian in a Premier League season, easing the impact of losing Yoane Wissa and Bryan Mbeumo, with 16 strikes from 23 matches.
Aston Villa team news
Boubacar Kamara, Youri Tielemans, John McGinn and Ross Barkley are out injured. Ollie Watkins is touch-and-go after a knock in the Europa League.
Brentford team news
Josh Dasilva and Fabio Carvalho will miss the trip to Villa.
Season Form & Standings
2025/26 season to date. Aston Villa have been one of the most consistent sides in the league, while Brentford’s form has been patchy with their strong attack sometimes let down by a leaky defence.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 3 | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 35 | 25 | +10 | 46 |
| Brentford | 8 | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 35 | 32 | 0 | 33 |
Head-to-Head: Last 6 Meetings
The last six clashes between Aston Villa and Brentford have been closely contested, with goals at both ends and no clear dominance either way.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 16/09/25 | Brentford 1-1 Aston Villa (4-2 pens) | League Cup |
| 23/08/25 | Brentford 1-0 Aston Villa | Premier League |
| 08/03/25 | Brentford 0-1 Aston Villa | Premier League |
| 04/12/24 | Aston Villa 3-1 Brentford | Premier League |
| 06/04/24 | Aston Villa 3-3 Brentford | Premier League |
| 02/12/23 | Brentford 2-1 Aston Villa | Premier League |
Conclusion: Will Villa’s balance beat Brentford’s star power?
This fixture pits Villa’s collective control and home fortitude against Brentford’s directness and Igor Thiago’s outstanding goal tally. For punters, Villa to win at 1/1 with Matchbook (50%) looks a fair price for a side in the top three, while goals are likely given recent meetings and both teams’ attacking stats.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
